Swansea vs Nottingham prediction 17.09.2025 | EFL Cup

Kick off:

Date:

1

5.10

X

4.10

2

1.66

  • Competition: EFL Cup, 1/16 Finals
  • Date: Wednesday, 17th September, 2025
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

On Wednesday evening, a Championship side, Swansea, will welcome a Premier League side, Nottingham, in the EFL Cup 1/16 Finals at Swansea.com Stadium in Swansea. While the hosts hope to extend their unbeaten run to seven, the Forest look to bounce back with a win after back-to-back losses against Arsenal and West Ham. 

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Nottingham Forest

    5 : 1

    Swansea City

    Championship

  2. Swansea City

    1 : 4

    Nottingham Forest

    Championship

  3. Swansea City

    1 : 0

    Nottingham Forest

    Championship

  4. Swansea City

    5 : 1

    Nottingham Forest

    FA Cup

  5. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 1

    Swansea City

    Championship

  6. Nottingham Forest

    2 : 2

    Swansea City

    Championship

The last time these teams met was back in the 2021/22 season when both teams competed in the Championship. That time, Nottingham were better and won 5:1 at home and 4:1 on the road. However, looking further back, in the last ten (official) h2h games, each team won four times, while two games ended as draws. 

Regarding the number of goals, six of the last ten ended with three or more goals, while the same number of games finished with both teams scoring. 

Swansea team overview

Swansea are playing their eighth consecutive season in the Championship. Recently, in the last four seasons, they weren't among the playoff candidates, finishing constantly around the middle of the table. However, this year, the popular Swans are doing a better job as they have won eight points in five rounds and are sitting in 7th place, just one point behind the desired sixth place. 

After a 2:2 draw with Hull City, coach Alan Sheehan spoke to the media. He was absolutely disappointed, considering they allowed a 97th-minute equaliser. The coach said they had the lead for almost the entire game, but noted they did not have the game under control and allowed a lot of goalscoring chances.

For this game against Nottingham, we expect coach Alan Sheehan to play with his best squad because he already did that in the EFL Cup 1/32 against much weaker Plymouth. 

Last matches of

  1. Swansea City

    2 : 2

    Hull City

    Championship

  2. Sheffield Wednesday

    0 : 2

    Swansea City

    Championship

  3. Swansea City

    5 : 3

    Plymouth Argyle

    Carabao Cup

  4. Swansea City

    1 : 1

    Watford

    Championship

  5. Swansea City

    1 : 0

    Sheffield United

    Championship

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Lawrence Vigouroux

Defenders

  • 2

    Josh Key

  • 5

    Ben Cabango

  • 15

    Cameron Burgess

  • 14

    Josh Tymon

Midfielders

  • 30

    Ethan Galbraith

  • 8

    Malick Yalcouyé

  • 17

    Gonçalo Franco

Forwards

  • 35

    Ronald

  • 9

    Zan Vipotnik

  • 27

    Zidane Inoussa

Nottingham team overview

Nottingham came to this after a fantastic one in the Premier League, as they finished seventh and secured Europe. The Forest were close to securing the Champions League spot, but eventually missed it by one point. However, despite an incredible season by their standards, coach Nuno Espirito Santo got sacked. According to credible sources, there has been a breakdown in the relationship with the owners because of disagreements over future transfers. Instead of Nuno Espirito Santo, the club appointed Ange Postecoglou - a coach who led Tottenham to their first continental trophy (Europa League), but who also endured a disastrous Premier League campaign, with Spurs finishing 17th.

In the previous game vs Arsenal, central defender Murillo suffered an injury and had to leave the field after only 37 minutes. He hasn't suffered a big injury, but we expect him to miss the Cup game.

Last matches of

  1. Arsenal

    3 : 0

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  2. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 3

    West Ham United

    Premier League

  3. Crystal Palace

    1 : 1

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  4. Nottingham Forest

    3 : 1

    Brentford

    Premier League

  5. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 0

    Al-Qadsiah

    Club Friendlies 3

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 26

    Matz Sels

Defenders

  • 37

    Nicolo Savona

  • 30

    Willy Boly

  • 31

    Nikola Milenkovic

  • 4

    Morato

Midfielders

  • 6

    Ibrahim Sangare

  • 10

    Morgan Gibbs-White

  • 8

    Elliot Anderson

Forwards

  • 14

    Dan Ndoye

  • 11

    Chris Wood

  • 7

    Callum Hudson-Odoi

Prediction

Swansea are doing a good job, losing just once in seven games across the competitions. Their only loss came in the first game of the season vs Middlesbrough, but that one was on the road and only by 1:0.

Nottingham, on the other hand, lost back-to-back games with 3:0 vs Arsenal and West Ham, and only won once in the first four games. Yes, that was against better competition, but it's still a poor record. According to football experts, coach Postecoglou is forcing a defensive line that is too high, which isn't working as well as expected. 

Considering all the above, we expect a really close match, much closer than the odds suggest at the moment.

3 Reasons why Swansea should cover the +1 AH spread

  1. Swansea haven't lost in the last six games across the competitions
  2. Swansea are undefeated at home this season
  3. Nottingham lost the previous two games vs Arsenal and West Ham with a 6:0 combined goal difference

Main prediction -

AH1 (+1)

Updated

clock
winrate

0% winrate

wins

0 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.75

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Swansea vs Nottingham – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? Who could be the goalscorer for Swansea?

Zan Vipotnik, who scored four goals in the first six appearances this season.

? Who could be the goalscorer for Nottingham?

Chris Wood, who scored two goals in the first four appearances this season.