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St. Pauli vs Union Berlin prediction 23.11.2025 | Bundesliga

St Pauli

St Pauli

Kick off:

Date:

FC Union Berlin

FC Union Berlin

1

2.48

X

3.20

2

2.90

  • Competition: Bundesliga
  • Date: 23rd November, 2025
  • Kickoff: 16:30 UK / 17:30 CET
  • Venue: Millerntor-Stadion

FC St. Pauli host FC Union Berlin at the Millerntor-Stadion in the closing encounter of Bundesliga Round 11. St. Pauli are battling to climb out of the relegation zone, while Union Berlin - encouraged by a crucial draw away to Bayern Munich - aim to build momentum and push further up the table. The hosts are currently suffering one of the worst, if not the worst, losing streaks in Europe, having lost seven consecutive league matches since mid-September.

St Pauli vs FC Union Berlin Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. St Pauli

    3 : 0

    FC Union Berlin

    Bundesliga

  2. FC Union Berlin

    1 : 0

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

  3. FC Union Berlin

    2 : 1

    St Pauli

    DFB Pokal

  4. St Pauli

    3 : 2

    FC Union Berlin

    2. Bundesliga

  5. FC Union Berlin

    4 : 1

    St Pauli

    2. Bundesliga

  6. St Pauli

    0 : 1

    FC Union Berlin

    2. Bundesliga

Historically, Union Berlin have held the upper hand in their meetings with St. Pauli. Across their 26 previous encounters in all competitions, Union have won 13 times, while St. Pauli have recorded 8 victories, with the remaining 5 ending in draws. Their recent meetings have been more balanced: Union Berlin claimed a 1-0 win in 2024, while St. Pauli responded with a 3-0 victory in January 2025.

St Pauli

St. Pauli team overview

St. Pauli’s 2025/26 Bundesliga campaign has been extremely challenging. Although Alexander Blessin’s side sit only one point below the safety line in 15th place, they have endured one of the worst losing streaks in modern Bundesliga history. After beginning the season with a three-match unbeaten run, St. Pauli have collapsed dramatically, losing seven straight league games and failing to score in five of those fixtures. Their home form mirrors this decline: they are on a run of three consecutive defeats at the Millerntor-Stadion and have failed to score in their last two home outings.

In attack, Danel Sinani remains one of their primary threats, but the team’s ongoing inefficiency in the final third - combined with repeated defensive lapses - continues to undermine their performances.

Last matches of St Pauli

  1. SC Freiburg

    2 : 1

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

  2. St Pauli

    0 : 4

    Borussia M`gladbach

    Bundesliga

  3. St Pauli

    8 : 7

    Hoffenheim

    DFB Pokal

  4. Eintracht Frankfurt

    2 : 0

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

  5. St Pauli

    0 : 3

    Hoffenheim

    Bundesliga

St Pauli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Nikola Vasilj

Defenders

  • 5

    Hauke Wahl

  • 8

    Eric Smith

  • 3

    Karol Mets

  • 11

    Arkadiusz Pyrka

  • 23

    Louis Oppie

Midfielders

  • 6

    James Sands

  • 16

    Joel Chima Fujita

  • 24

    Connor Metcalfe

  • 28

    Mathias Pereira Lage

Forwards

  • 19

    Martijn Kaars

FC Union Berlin

Union Berlin team overview

Union Berlin enter this fixture on a positive note after earning a 2-2 draw away at Bayern Munich, where defender Danilho Doekhi produced a remarkable brace. His four Bundesliga goals this season make him Union’s highest-scoring defender by a considerable margin. That result against the reigning champions extended Union’s unbeaten run to two matches and helped stabilise their position in mid-table; they currently sit safely in 11th place after ten league games.

However, Union’s away record remains a concern. Seventy-five percent of their points this season have been collected at home, while on the road they have managed just one win from four attempts.

Last matches of FC Union Berlin

  1. FC Union Berlin

    2 : 2

    Bayern Munich

    Bundesliga

  2. FC Union Berlin

    0 : 0

    SC Freiburg

    Bundesliga

  3. FC Union Berlin

    1 : 1

    Arminia Bielefeld

    DFB Pokal

  4. Werder Bremen

    1 : 0

    FC Union Berlin

    Bundesliga

  5. FC Union Berlin

    3 : 1

    Borussia M`gladbach

    Bundesliga

FC Union Berlin lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Frederik Rønnow

Defenders

  • 5

    Danilho Doekhi

  • 14

    Leopold Querfeld

  • 4

    Diogo Leite

  • 28

    Christopher Trimmel

  • 19

    Janik Haberer

Midfielders

  • 6

    Aljoscha Kemlein

  • 13

    András Schäfer

  • 8

    Rani Khedira

Forwards

  • 10

    Ilyas Ansah

  • 23

    Andrej Ilić

Prediction

Given the statistical profile of both teams, this match favors Union Berlin to come away with at least a point, if not a narrow victory. Their higher goals-per-game average, improved results in recent fixtures, and ability to extract goals from unlikely sources like Doekhi give them an edge. St. Pauli, at home, can be more dangerous, but their abysmal run of seven consecutive defeats and defensive instability make it tough to back them for a clean result.

Prediction: Double chance x2.

Three reasons we expect Double chance x2

  1. St. Pauli have suffered seven consecutive league defeats.
  2. Union Berlin are undefeated in back-to-back Bundesliga encounters. 
  3. St. Pauli have only collected one win in their last five home matches at the Millerntor-Stadion (W1 D1 L3).

Main prediction St Pauli - FC Union Berlin

FC Union Berlin win or draw (X2)

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Best Odds:

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1.54

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St Pauli vs FC Union Berlin standings in Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 10 9 1 0 35 - 6 +29 28
2 RB Leipzig 10 7 1 2 20 - 13 +7 22
3 Borussia Dortmund 10 6 3 1 16 - 7 +9 21
4 VfB Stuttgart 10 7 0 3 17 - 12 +5 21
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 10 6 2 2 24 - 14 +10 20
6 TSG Hoffenheim 11 6 2 3 22 - 17 +5 20
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 10 5 2 3 23 - 19 +4 17
8 Werder Bremen 10 4 3 3 15 - 18 -3 15
9 FC Köln 10 4 2 4 17 - 15 +2 14
10 SC Freiburg 10 3 4 3 13 - 14 -1 13
11 FC Union Berlin 10 3 3 4 13 - 17 -4 12
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 10 2 3 5 13 - 19 -6 9
13 Hamburger SV 10 2 3 5 9 - 16 -7 9
14 VfL Wolfsburg 10 2 2 6 12 - 18 -6 8
15 FC Augsburg 10 2 1 7 14 - 24 -10 7
16 St. Pauli 10 2 1 7 9 - 20 -11 7
17 FSV Mainz 05 11 1 3 7 11 - 19 -8 6
18 Heidenheim 10 1 2 7 8 - 23 -15 5

St. Pauli vs Union Berlin – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch St. Pauli take on Union Berlin on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners St. Pauli have won in the Bundesliga season 2025/26?

5.3

? What is the average number of corners Union Berlin have won in the Bundesliga season 2025/26?

5.3