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St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig prediction 10.01.2026 | Bundesliga

St Pauli

St Pauli

Kick off:

Date:

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1

4.10

X

3.75

2

1.85

  • Competition: Bundesliga
  • Date: Saturday, 10th January 2026
  • Kickoff: 14:30 UK / 15:30 CET
  • Venue: Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)

After a short break, the Bundesliga continues this weekend. St. Pauli played well in December, but is still too far from the desired position. Can the team from Millerntor-Stadion avoid defeat on Saturday against one of the best teams in the competition, RB Leipzig? Let's find the best betting option for this tie. 

St Pauli vs RB Leipzig Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. RB Leipzig

    2 : 0

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

  2. RB Leipzig

    4 : 2

    St Pauli

    DFB Pokal

  3. St Pauli

    0 : 0

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  4. St Pauli

    1 : 0

    RB Leipzig

    2. Bundesliga

  5. RB Leipzig

    0 : 1

    St Pauli

    2. Bundesliga

  6. St Pauli

    1 : 0

    RB Leipzig

    2. Bundesliga

St. Pauli and RB Leipzig haven't met too often in the past. Both teams won three of seven H2H matches, with one draw. However, RB Leipzig won the previous two encounters, including a 2-0 victory this season. Also, it is worth noting that at least one of the two teams didn't score in six of the seven H2H games. 

St Pauli

St. Pauli team overview

After successfully avoiding relegation last season, St. Pauli's goal remains the same: to stay in the Bundesliga. However, that could be highly challenging for Alexander Blessin's team, as they collected only 12 points in the first 15 league rounds and will have to show up in much better form in the coming months. St. Pauli are currently enjoying their most encouraging spell of the campaign, going four games unbeaten. In the most recent outing, Blessin's team played to a 0-0 draw on the road against Mainz. The home side was better, but the visitors defended well and found a way to a valuable point. 

St. Pauli seems active in the transfer market this winter. They already signed defender Tomoya Ando from Avispa Fukuoka. However, it seems unlikely that the Japanese will start on Saturday against RB Leipzig. 

St. Pauli have almost a full squad available for the upcoming Bundesliga round. Only David Nemeth and Andreas Hountondji are unavailable, while Martijn Kaars is questionable, and his status will be clearer closer to the kickoff. 

Last matches of St Pauli

  1. St Pauli

    0 : 0

    Werder Bremen

    Club Friendlies 3

  2. FSV Mainz

    0 : 0

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

  3. St Pauli

    2 : 1

    Heidenheim

    Bundesliga

  4. FC Koln

    1 : 1

    St Pauli

    Bundesliga

  5. Borussia M`gladbach

    1 : 2

    St Pauli

    DFB Pokal

St Pauli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Nikola Vasilj

Defenders

  • 3

    Karol Mets

  • 25

    Adam Dzwigala

  • 5

    Hauke Wahl

Midfielders

  • 11

    Arkadiusz Pyrka

  • 7

    Jackson Irvine

  • 16

    Joel Chima Fujita

  • 6

    James Sands

  • 23

    Louis Oppie

Forwards

  • 28

    Mathias Pereira Lage

  • 26

    Ricky-Jade Jones

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig team overview

RB Leipzig significantly improved this season and are again looking like one of the top four Bundesliga teams, ready to return to the Champions League. However, they didn't end December well, as they lost the last two matches. In the previous game, RB Leipzig lost 3-1 at home against Bayer Leverkusen. The home side ended with an xG of 1.76, while the guests had 2.72, so it is no wonder that Ole Werner's team left empty-handed.

The biggest question for RB Leipzig this January is whether they will sell Yan Diomande. 19-year-old winger is a revelation this season with six goals and three assists in 14 league rounds. According to the reports, Manchester United, Manchester City, PSG, and Tottenham are interested in the youngster. 

Yan Diomande is still at the African Cup of Nations and will not play on Saturday in Hamburg. Also, Viggo Gebel and Benjamin Henrichs are injured, while Johan Bakayoko, Ezechiel Banzuzi, Antonio Nusa, and Assan Ouedraogo are questionable. 

Last matches of RB Leipzig

  1. RB Leipzig

    1 : 3

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

  2. FC Union Berlin

    3 : 1

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

  3. RB Leipzig

    6 : 0

    Eintracht Frankfurt

    Bundesliga

  4. RB Leipzig

    3 : 1

    Magdeburg

    DFB Pokal

  5. Borussia M`gladbach

    0 : 0

    RB Leipzig

    Bundesliga

RB Leipzig lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Peter Gulacsi

Defenders

  • 19

    Kosta Nedeljkovic

  • 4

    Willi Orban

  • 23

    Castello Lukeba

  • 22

    David Raum

Midfielders

  • 24

    Xaver Schlager

  • 13

    Nicolas Seiwald

  • 14

    Christoph Baumgartner

Forwards

  • 11

    Conrad Harder

  • 40

    Romulo

  • 27

    Tidiam Gomis

Prediction

St. Pauli are the worst offensive team in the Bundesliga with 13 goals in 15 matches. On the other hand, RB Leipzig have the third-best defense with 19 conceded goals. Also, it is worth repeating that usually at least one team in the H2H matches between St. Pauli and RB Leipzig doesn't score. We should expect a similar game on Saturday afternoon. Our prediction: BTTS - No.

4 Reasons why we shouldn't expect goals on both sides in this match

  1. St. Pauli scored only 13 goals in 15 league matches
  2. RB Leipzig conceded 19 goals in Bundesliga this season
  3. At least one team didn't score in five of the last six H2H games between these two teams
  4. RB Leipzig won 2-0 in the only H2H match this season

Main prediction St Pauli - RB Leipzig

Both Teams to Score - NO

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

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2.17

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St Pauli vs RB Leipzig standings in Bundesliga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 15 13 2 0 55 - 11 +44 41
2 Borussia Dortmund 16 9 6 1 29 - 15 +14 33
3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 15 9 2 4 33 - 20 +13 29
4 RB Leipzig 15 9 2 4 30 - 19 +11 29
5 TSG Hoffenheim 15 8 3 4 29 - 20 +9 27
6 VfB Stuttgart 15 8 2 5 25 - 22 +3 26
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 16 7 5 4 33 - 33 0 26
8 FC Union Berlin 15 6 3 6 20 - 23 -3 21
9 SC Freiburg 15 5 5 5 25 - 26 -1 20
10 Werder Bremen 15 4 5 6 18 - 28 -10 17
11 FC Köln 15 4 4 7 22 - 24 -2 16
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 15 4 4 7 18 - 24 -6 16
13 Hamburger SV 15 4 4 7 16 - 25 -9 16
14 VfL Wolfsburg 15 4 3 8 23 - 28 -5 15
15 FC Augsburg 15 4 2 9 17 - 28 -11 14
16 St. Pauli 15 3 3 9 13 - 26 -13 12
17 Heidenheim 15 3 2 10 13 - 34 -21 11
18 FSV Mainz 05 15 1 5 9 13 - 26 -13 8

St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for St. Pauli this season?

The average xG for St. Pauli in the Bundesliga this season is 1.24.

? How much is the average xG for RB Leipzig this season?

The average xG for RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga this season is 1.75.