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Southampton vs Arsenal prediction 04.04.2026 | FA Cup

Southampton

Southampton

Kick off:

Date:

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

12.00

X

6.10

2

1.24

  • Competition: FA Cup
  • Date: 4th April 2026
  • Kick-off: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: St Mary’s Stadium

Saturday night in Hampshire has that proper cup feel to it. A semi-final spot is on the line, which usually sharpens everything. Southampton arrive in strong Championship form, while the Gunners sit comfortably at the top of the Premier League. On paper, it leans one way. Still, cup ties have their own logic, and the Saints have caused Arsenal problems before.

Southampton vs Arsenal Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Southampton

    1 : 2

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  2. Arsenal

    3 : 1

    Southampton

    Premier League

  3. Arsenal

    3 : 3

    Southampton

    Premier League

  4. Southampton

    1 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  5. Southampton

    1 : 0

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  6. Arsenal

    3 : 0

    Southampton

    Premier League

Since 2020, these sides have met 10 times. The Gunners lead with five wins, including the last two. The Saints managed two victories, one of them in the FA Cup fourth round back in 2021, while three ended level. Goals tend to appear, with an average of 2.80 per match.

Southampton

Southampton team overview

The Saints likely weren't too pleased with the timing of the international break. Tonda Eckert’s side are unbeaten in fourteen games, including 11 wins and 7 clean sheets.

They looked sharp before the break, especially with that 2-0 victory over Oxford United. But, You never really know if this form will carry on after a break.

At St Mary’s, things are looking promising. Six games unbeaten at home, five of which were wins, and the defence has been solid too. Four clean sheets in the last five matches there show they know how to grind out results in front of their fans.

Cyle Larin, since his loan move, has added a lot to the attack—goals and a real physical presence. Still, missing Mads Roerslev and Alex McCarthy could impact depth, even though the team’s been handling it so far.

Last matches of Southampton

  1. Southampton

    2 : 0

    Oxford United

    Championship

  2. Southampton

    1 : 0

    Norwich City

    Championship

  3. Coventry City

    1 : 2

    Southampton

    Championship

  4. West Bromwich Albion

    1 : 1

    Southampton

    Championship

  5. Fulham

    0 : 1

    Southampton

    FA Cup

Southampton lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 41

    Daniel Peretz

Defenders

  • 14

    James Bree

  • 6

    Taylor Harwood-Bellis

  • 5

    Jack Stephens

  • 3

    Ryan Manning

Midfielders

  • 10

    Finn Azaz

  • 4

    Flynn Downes

  • 24

    Shea Charles

Forwards

  • 18

    Tom Fellows

  • 9

    Cyle Larin

  • 19

    Cameron Archer

Arsenal

Arsenal team overview

Arsenal’s got a lot going on, and balancing all these expectations can be tricky. That League Cup final loss to Manchester City, right before the break, might still sting a bit. It snapped a long 14 match unbeaten run, and, well, the first defeat after such a streak can mess with the team's vibe.

In the league, though, Mikel Arteta’s squad is in a strong position. With a nine-point cushion at the top, they’ve got some breathing room, even with City hot on their heels. Their away form’s been solid too, three wins in the last four games.

Several players returned early from international duty with knocks.  While most should recover, Mikel Merino and Eberechi Eze are expected to miss out.  Viktor Gyökeres comes in with confidence after scoring four times for Sweden, and that sharpness could matter.

Last matches of Arsenal

  1. Arsenal

    0 : 2

    Manchester City

    Carabao Cup

  2. Arsenal

    2 : 0

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Champions League

  3. Arsenal

    2 : 0

    Everton

    Premier League

  4. Bayer Leverkusen

    1 : 1

    Arsenal

    Champions League

  5. Mansfield Town

    1 : 2

    Arsenal

    FA Cup

Arsenal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Kepa Arrizabalaga

Defenders

  • 4

    Ben White

  • 2

    William Saliba

  • 6

    Gabriel Magalhães

  • 5

    Piero Hincapié

Midfielders

  • 36

    Martín Zubimendi

  • 29

    Kai Havertz

  • 41

    Declan Rice

Forwards

  • 7

    Bukayo Saka

  • 14

    Viktor Gyökeres

  • 19

    Leandro Trossard

Prediction

Arsenal probably  don’t need to be dazzling here, just solid. The Gunners have won three of their last four away games, keeping things tight at the back, with just one of their last six matches seeing more than two goals.

Southampton are in decent form, but facing a higher level of competition matters. So, a controlled 2-0 win for Arsenal feels like a fair expectation.

Three reasons we expect under 3.5 goals in this game

  1. Southampton kept a clean sheet in four of their last five home matches.
  2. Only one of the last six games of Arsenal produced more than two goals.
  3. Bets on under 3.5 goals won in four of the last six meetings between Southampton and Arsenal.

Main prediction Southampton - Arsenal

Under 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

Megapari

1.66

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Southampton vs Arsenal – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Saturday’s FA Cup contest⁠ between Southampton and Arsenal.

? What⁠ is Southampton’s average number⁠ of corners in their league home matches this season?

5.67

? What is Arsenal’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in their away games this season?

1.44