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Smouha vs Al Ahly prediction 23.02.2026 | Premier League

Smouha

Smouha

Kick off:

Date:

Al Ahly SC

Al Ahly SC

1

6.20

X

3.45

2

1.57

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Monday, 23rd February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:30 UK / 20:30 CET
  • Venue: Alexandria Stadium (Alexandria)

On Monday evening, Smouha will host the reigning Egyptian champions, Al Ahly. The home team comes into the match after back-to-back losses to Al Ittihad and Zamalek, while Al Ahly arrives after winning the last two Premier League games. The plans for the teams are very different at the moment: Smouha are trying to climb into the Championship Group with a positive result, while Al Ahly needs a win to potentially reach the top. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie.

Smouha vs Al Ahly SC Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Al Ahly SC

    2 : 0

    Smouha

    Premier League

  2. Smouha

    0 : 1

    Al Ahly SC

    Premier League

  3. Al Ahly SC

    0 : 0

    Smouha

    Premier League

  4. Smouha

    0 : 2

    Al Ahly SC

    Premier League

  5. Al Ahly SC

    3 : 1

    Smouha

    Egypt Cup

  6. Al Ahly SC

    0 : 0

    Smouha

    Premier League

In the previous H2H game, Al Ahly won 2:0 at Al Salam Stadium in Cairo. In the previous ten H2H games, Al Ahly won six games, and Smouha two. Interestingly, Al Ahly covered the -1.5 AH spread on five out of those six victories.

Regarding the number of goals, the past four ended with fewer than three goals. During that four-game stretch, we haven't seen both teams score.

Smouha

Smouha team overview

Smouha had a terrible last season, finishing in the Relegation Group and only two points away from relegation. This season, they are doing a much better job and are currently on par with ZED for seventh and eighth place, with 25 points in 17 rounds. The popular Blue Wave have been exceptional at home, and they must continue winning points in home matches, even against arguably the best team in the league. 

After a 1:0 loss against Al Ittihad, coach Ahmed Abdelaziz spoke to the media. The coach said they are trying to address the problems, with an emphasis on their finishing. He said the strikers are in poor form and not making the most of the easy opportunities they are creating. 

Last matches of Smouha

  1. Al Ittihad Alexandria

    1 : 0

    Smouha

    Premier League

  2. Zamalek

    1 : 0

    Smouha

    Premier League

  3. Smouha

    2 : 1

    Pyramids FC

    Premier League

  4. ENPPI

    1 : 2

    Smouha

    Premier League

  5. Smouha

    2 : 0

    Pharco

    Premier League

Smouha lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 28

    Ahmed Mayhoub

Defenders

  • 21

    Mido Mostafa

  • 2

    Hesham Hafez

  • 4

    Mohamed Dabash

  • 6

    Abdelrahman Amer

Midfielders

  • 7

    Amr El Sisi

  • 10

    Khaled El Ghandour

  • 35

    Ahmed Fawzi

  • 8

    Samir Fekri

Forwards

  • 23

    Samuel Amadi

  • 20

    Pape Badji

Al Ahly SC

Al Ahly team overview

Al Ahly, a 45-time Egyptian champion, have been fantastic in recent seasons. That was the case in domestic competitions and in the CAF Champions League as well. This season, the goal for possibly the greatest African team is once again the same - to win it all. 

In the Premier League, Al Ahly aren't as dominant as we are used to. They are currently in fourth place, only two points behind the top spot and having played one game fewer. In the CAF Champions League, they secured a place in the knockout phase but could have done better, with two wins and four draws in six rounds. So, despite being in a good position, the Red Devils' season could have been better, at least by their standards. 

For the upcoming match, Marwan Attia and Yasser Ibrahim will serve their one-game suspension after receiving their third yellow cards. Moreover, the team's best goal scorers, Zizo and Trezegeut, should remain sidelined with injuries. 

Last matches of Al Ahly SC

  1. Al Ahly SC

    1 : 0

    El Gounah

    Premier League

  2. Al Ahly SC

    0 : 0

    FAR Rabat

    CAF Champions League

  3. Al Ahly SC

    2 : 0

    Ismaily

    Premier League

  4. JS Kabylie

    0 : 0

    Al Ahly SC

    CAF Champions League

  5. National Bank of Egypt

    1 : 1

    Al Ahly SC

    Premier League

Al Ahly SC lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Mohamed El Shenawy

Defenders

  • 30

    Mohamed Hany

  • 6

    Yasser Ibrahim

  • 2

    Yassin Marei

  • 20

    Youssef Belammari

Midfielders

  • 13

    Marwan Ateya

  • 5

    Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane

  • 23

    Aliou Dieng

  • 22

    Emam Ashour

Forwards

  • 17

    Achraf Bencharki

  • 9

    Ieltsin Camões

Prediction

Smouha have failed to score in the past two games against Zamalek and Al Ittihad, and also in the past four H2H matches. So, scoring against Al Ahly, which recorded four consecutive clean sheets across competitions, seems pretty unreal. Also, Smouha did very well defensively at home, keeping their net intact in three of the past five games. 

Another plus for this game is that Al Ahly haven't been as dominant on the offensive end, scoring only five goals in the past six matches. A big part of the problem is the absence of their best goal scorers, Zizo and Trezeguet, who should remain sidelined. Also, on the road, the Red Devils have scored one or zero goals in eight of the past nine matches - 89%. 

Considering all the above, we believe that at least one team (most likely Smouha) will fail to score in this Premier League tie.

4 Reasons why at least one team will fail to score

  1. Smouha failed to score in back-to-back games against Al Ittihad and Zamalek
  2. Smouha failed to score in the past four H2H games
  3. Al Ahly kept a clean sheet in the last four games
  4. Al Ahly scored one or zero goals in eight of the past nine road games

Main prediction Smouha - Al Ahly SC

Both Teams to Score - NO

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.62

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Smouha vs Al Ahly SC standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Ceramica Cleopatra 17 11 2 4 25 - 12 +13 35
2 Zamalek 16 10 4 2 28 - 11 +17 34
3 Pyramids FC 16 10 4 2 26 - 12 +14 34
4 Al Ahly 16 9 6 1 27 - 15 +12 33
5 Wadi Degla 18 7 6 5 22 - 19 +3 27
6 Al Masry 16 6 8 2 24 - 16 +8 26
7 ZED FC 17 6 7 4 17 - 13 +4 25
8 Smouha 17 6 7 4 15 - 11 +4 25
9 National Bank of Egypt 16 4 10 2 14 - 8 +6 22
10 Modern Sport FC 16 5 7 4 17 - 17 0 22
11 ENPPI 16 4 9 3 14 - 12 +2 21
12 Petrojet 17 4 9 4 18 - 20 -2 21
13 El Gounah 16 4 8 4 12 - 13 -1 20
14 Ghazl El Mehalla 17 2 12 3 11 - 10 +1 18
15 Al Ittihad 17 5 2 10 13 - 22 -9 17
16 Al Mokawloon 18 3 8 7 11 - 17 -6 17
17 Pharco 17 2 8 7 8 - 19 -11 14
18 Haras El Hodood 17 3 5 9 13 - 25 -12 14
19 El Geish 16 2 6 8 7 - 20 -13 12
20 Kahraba Ismailia 17 3 3 11 17 - 33 -16 12
21 Ismaily 17 3 1 13 9 - 23 -14 10

Smouha vs Al Ahly – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Smouha this season?

The average xG for Smouha in the Premier League this season is 1.27.

? How much is the average xG for Al Ahly this season?

The average xG for Al Ahly in the Premier League this season is 1.85.