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Seychelles vs Lesotho Prediction 25.03.2026 | AFCON Qualification

Kick off:

Date:

1

13.80

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7.06

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1.10

  • Competition: AFCON Qualification - 1st leg
  • Date: Wednesday, 25th, March 2026
  • Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CET
  • Venue: Free State Stadium (South Africa)

The long road to the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations begins in earnest on Wednesday afternoon as Seychelles host Lesotho at the Free State Stadium in the first leg of their preliminary round qualifier.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lesotho

    1 : 1

    Seychelles

    Cosafa Cup

  2. Lesotho

    3 : 1

    Seychelles

    Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

  3. Seychelles

    0 : 0

    Lesotho

    Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

  4. Lesotho

    2 : 1

    Seychelles

    Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

  5. Seychelles

    2 : 0

    Lesotho

    Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications

The two national teams have faced each other four times in the group stage of this competition, with both sides recording home victories in 2017, while six years later Lesotho emerged as the stronger side, playing out a goalless draw in Seychelles before securing a 3-1 win on home soil.

Seychelles team overview

Ranked at the very bottom of the African football ladder in 203rd place in the FIFA World Rankings, Seychelles enter this preliminary round under significant pressure to halt a worrying trend of defensive vulnerability, having conceded 53 goals across just 10 fixtures during a bruising 2025 World Cup qualifying campaign.

Head coach Ralph Jean-Louis has opted for a clear rebuilding approach, introducing a youthful squad largely composed of players between the ages of 17 and 25, yet heavy 7-0 capitulations to both Ivory Coast and Gambia towards the end of 2025 still linger as stark reminders of the gap in quality at this level.

The Pirates’ bid to gain any competitive footing is further complicated by the continued absence of a FIFA-approved home venue, forcing them to stage their ‘home’ fixtures in Mauritius rather than at their traditional base, Stad Linite.

Despite a discouraging qualifying run, Seychelles can draw a measure of encouragement from their last meeting with Lesotho at the COSAFA Cup in 2024, where a disciplined display earned them a respectable 1-1 draw.

Much of their hope for a potential upset will rest on captain Dean Mothe, whose composure and leadership in midfield remain central to any ambitions the island nation may harbor in this competition.

Last matches of

  1. Seychelles

    0 : 7

    Gambia

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

  2. Seychelles

    0 : 7

    Ivory Coast

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

  3. Kenya

    5 : 0

    Seychelles

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

  4. Seychelles

    0 : 4

    Gabon

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

  5. Burundi

    5 : 0

    Seychelles

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Carlos Simeon

Defenders

  • 5

    Don Fanchette

  • 12

    Warren Mellie

  • 14

    Anil Dijoux

  • 3

    Elie Sopha

  • 2

    Juninho Mathiot

Midfielders

  • 20

    Imra Raheriniaina

  • 9

    Jerron Joubert

  • 4

    Alfie Walters

Forwards

  • 11

    Neil Mario Aaron Confiance

  • 7

    Brandon Labrosse

Lesotho team overview

Currently perched at 148th in the FIFA rankings, Lesotho approach Wednesday’s encounter as heavy favourites, buoyed by a markedly improved 2025 campaign which included a historic 1-0 victory over Zimbabwe in World Cup qualifying.

Under the astute guidance of Leslie Notsi, the South Africa-based core within the squad has introduced a level of discipline and structure that had been notably absent in previous qualifying cycles, reshaping Lesotho into a far more resilient and tactically organised unit, particularly in transitional phases.

While qualification for the 2026 World Cup may remain beyond their reach, their performances throughout the campaign have underlined significant progress, shedding their long-standing reputation as whipping boys in CAF competitions, and they will be keen to reinforce that upward trajectory in this two-legged affair against Seychelles.

Much of Likuena’s attacking output is expected to revolve around the experienced Sera Motebang, with the 30-year-old forward’s exposure to the South African Premier Soccer League offering a composed and clinical edge in front of goal, something that could prove decisive against their island opponents.

Last matches of

  1. Lesotho

    0 : 1

    Malawi

    Friendly International

  2. Lesotho

    0 : 0

    Malawi

    Friendly International

  3. Lesotho

    1 : 0

    Zimbabwe

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

  4. Lesotho

    1 : 2

    Nigeria

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

  5. Benin

    4 : 0

    Lesotho

    CAF World Cup Qualifiers

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Sekhoane Moerane

Defenders

  • 21

    Rethabile Mokokoane

  • 20

    Thabo Makhele

  • 2

    Motlomelo Mkwanazi

  • 17

    Thabang Malane

Midfielders

  • 13

    Fusi Matlabe

  • 6

    Mphale Mphalaole

  • 15

    Tsepang Sefali

  • 10

    Makara Ntaitsane

  • 19

    Lehlohonolo Matsau

Forwards

  • 14

    Keketso Snyder

Prediction

While the beauty of cup football often lies in its unpredictability, all signs point to a commanding performance from Lesotho in this opening leg. Seychelles find themselves in the midst of a painful rebuilding phase, and a defensive record that has seen them ship over 50 goals in their recent qualifying cycle suggests they will struggle to contain a motivated Likuena frontline.

The Pirates’ lack of a true "home" advantage further tilts the scales toward the visitors, who will effectively be playing in familiar southern African conditions. Leslie Notsi’s men possess a significant edge in technical quality and match fitness, and with the added lure of a performance-related windfall from their federation, we expect the visitors to be clinical from the first whistle.

Expect Lesotho to dominate possession and exploit the wide areas against an inexperienced Seychelles backline. A comfortable, multi-goal victory for the "away" side seems the most plausible outcome, effectively killing off the tie before the return leg in Maseru.

Four Reasons we expect AH2 -1.5

  1. Seychelles have suffered nine defeats from their previous ten matches across all competitions.
  2. Seychelles have lost by a margin of three or more goals in six consecutive matches.
  3. Lesotho have kept a clean sheet in two of their last three outings.
  4. Lesotho have recorded four wins from their last seven away fixtures.

Main prediction -

AH2 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

57% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

don_andres is the professional football and basketball tipster who can give you deep analytic for each match 

Additional predictions

Seychelles vs Lesotho odds

Seychelles vs Lesotho – FAQ

? Who is Seychelles' player to watch?

Two of Seychelles’ last four goals have been scored by Brandon Labrosse.

? Who is Lesotho's player to watch?

Hlompho Kalake has netted both of Lesotho’s goals across their last four appearances.