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SC Freiburg vs Genk prediction 19.03.2026 | Europa League

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

Kick off:

Date:

Genk

Genk

1

1.62

X

4.36

2

5.84

  • Competition: Europa League
  • Date: 19th March 2026
  • Kick-off: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CET
  • Venue: Europa-Park-Stadion

Freiburg head back to Germany with a small but tricky task ahead. The Breisgau-Brasilianer trail Genk by just one goal after the first leg, so the tie still feels open. One goal can shift everything, although these matches are rarely that simple. Freiburg sit eighth in the Bundesliga, while Genk are seventh in Belgium. Not a massive gap, at least on paper.

Bookmakers lean toward a home win, which feels logical given the setting. However, Genk did not look second best in the first leg. If anything, the Smurfs seemed a bit sharper when chances appeared, which adds some doubt here.

SC Freiburg vs Genk Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Genk

    1 : 0

    SC Freiburg

    Europa League

The first leg at the Cegeka Arena stands as the only meeting between Freiburg and Genk so far. Not much history to rely on, really. Genk had less possession, around 48 percent, but created more chances. The Smurfs took 15 shots and won 1-0, while Freiburg struggled to turn control into real danger.

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg team overview

Freiburg are beginning to look quite familiar at this stage of the Europa League. The Breisgau-Brasilianer have reached the round of 16 three times in the last four seasons, which sounds solid at first. Still, there is a catch. Freiburg failed to move beyond this stage in the last two attempts, and this tie feels slightly uncomfortable again.

Recent form does not exactly inspire confidence either. Julian Schuster’s side are winless in four matches, losing three of those. You could argue momentum is not on their side right now. However, the home record softens that concern a little. Freiburg have won five of the last seven matches at the Europa-Park-Stadion.

Vincenzo Grifo remains a key figure, even if his two Europa League goals seem modest. The 32-year-old is set to partner with Igor Matanović in the final third.

Maximilian Eggestein is suspended, while Max Rosenfelder, Daniel Kofi Kyereh, and Lukas Kübler are still out.

Last matches of SC Freiburg

  1. SC Freiburg

    0 : 1

    FC Union Berlin

    Bundesliga

  2. Genk

    1 : 0

    SC Freiburg

    Europa League

  3. SC Freiburg

    3 : 3

    Bayer Leverkusen

    Bundesliga

  4. Eintracht Frankfurt

    2 : 0

    SC Freiburg

    Bundesliga

  5. SC Freiburg

    2 : 1

    Borussia M`gladbach

    Bundesliga

SC Freiburg lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Noah Atubolu

Defenders

  • 30

    Christian Günter

  • 43

    Bruno Ogbus

  • 28

    Matthias Ginter

  • 29

    Philipp Treu

Midfielders

  • 44

    Johan Manzambi

  • 6

    Patrick Osterhage

  • 14

    Yuito Suzuki

Forwards

  • 32

    Vincenzo Grifo

  • 31

    Igor Matanović

  • 19

    Jan-Niklas Beste

Genk

Genk team overview

Genk seem to be enjoying this European run more than expected. The Smurfs have not reached this stage of the Europa League since the 2016-17 season, when they pushed all the way to the quarter finals. So, this campaign already feels like progress.

Recent results have been tight rather than explosive. Nicky Hayen’s side come into this match after two straight 1-0 wins. Not flashy, but effective. Away form has also been solid. The Smurfs have won four of the last five matches on the road, which gives them a certain edge heading into Germany.

In midfield, Daan Heymans has been productive, scoring four Europa League goals this season. Zakaria El Ouahdi has matched that tally but will miss this match due to suspension after bookings in the first leg.

Mujaid Sadick is unavailable due to illness. Aside from that, Hayen has a relatively stable squad to work with.

Last matches of Genk

  1. Genk

    1 : 0

    Sint-Truiden

    Pro League

  2. Genk

    1 : 0

    SC Freiburg

    Europa League

  3. Union Saint-Gilloise

    2 : 1

    Genk

    Pro League

  4. Genk

    3 : 0

    K.A.A. Gent

    Pro League

  5. Genk

    2 : 0

    Dinamo Zagreb

    Europa League

Genk lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Tobias Lawal

Defenders

  • 3

    Mujaid Sadick

  • 44

    Josué Kongolo

  • 6

    Matte Smets

  • 18

    Joris Kayembe

Midfielders

  • 38

    Daan Heymans

  • 8

    Bryan Heynen

  • 21

    Ibrahima Sory Bangoura

Forwards

  • 23

    Aaron Bibout

  • 20

    Konstantinos Karetsas

  • 32

    Noah Adedeji-Sternberg

Prediction

A narrow Freiburg win feels like the sensible call here. The Breisgau-Brasilianer have won their last eight home Europa League matches, keeping six clean sheets in that run. That kind of control usually translates well in tight European ties. Genk, however, arrive with back-to-back 1-0 wins themselves. Still, Freiburg’s home edge could just about deliver a 1-0 result.

Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Freiburg won each of their last eight home games with six clean sheets.
  2. Only one of the last five European games of Freiburg produced more than two goals.
  3. Seven of the last 10 games of Freiburg ended with under 2.5 goals.

Main prediction SC Freiburg - Genk

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.20

Bet here

SC Freiburg vs Genk standings in Europa League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Olympique Lyonnais 8 7 0 1 18 - 5 +13 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14 - 6 +8 21
3 FC Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18 - 8 +10 19
4 Real Betis 8 5 2 1 13 - 7 +6 17
5 Porto 8 5 2 1 13 - 7 +6 17
6 Sporting Braga 8 5 2 1 11 - 5 +6 17
7 SC Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10 - 4 +6 17
8 Roma 8 5 1 2 13 - 6 +7 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11 - 7 +4 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14 - 7 +7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15 - 9 +6 15
12 Ferencvárosi 8 4 3 1 12 - 11 +1 15
13 Nottingham Forest 8 4 2 2 15 - 7 +8 14
14 Viktoria Plzeň 8 3 5 0 8 - 3 +5 14
15 Crvena Zvezda 8 4 2 2 7 - 6 +1 14
16 Celta de Vigo 8 4 1 3 15 - 11 +4 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17 - 14 +3 12
18 LOSC Lille 8 4 0 4 12 - 9 +3 12
19 Fenerbahçe 8 3 3 2 10 - 7 +3 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11 - 9 +2 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13 - 15 -2 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12 - 15 -3 10
23 Dinamo Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12 - 16 -4 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9 - 11 -2 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10 - 16 -6 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5 - 11 -6 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9 - 16 -7 7
28 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 1 5 6 - 14 -8 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11 - 15 -4 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9 - 13 -4 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10 - 15 -5 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5 - 14 -9 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7 - 15 -8 3
34 FC Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5 - 15 -10 1
35 Malmö FF 8 0 1 7 4 - 15 -11 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2 - 22 -20 1

SC Freiburg vs Genk – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Thursday’s Europa League contest⁠ between Freiburg and Genk.

? What⁠ is Freiburg’s average number⁠ of corners in their European home matches this season?

6.60

? What is Genk’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in their Europa League away encounters this season?

1.82