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Real Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid prediction 28.02.2026 | La Liga

Real Oviedo

Real Oviedo

Kick off:

Date:

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

5.50

X

3.60

2

1.66

  • Competition: La Liga
  • Date: Saturday, 28th February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo)

On Saturday evening, the last-placed team in La Liga, Real Oviedo, will welcome Atletico Madrid after the Colchoneros just secured the Champions League 1/8 Finals after a big 4:1 win over Club Brugge. Real Oviedo are desperately trying to collect points and close the gap between them and the safe zone, while Atletico Madrid will look for a win and maybe move to third place. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this La Liga tie.

Real Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 0

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  2. Real Oviedo

    0 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    Copa Del Rey

In the first H2H game of the season, Atletico Madrid won 2:0. Colchoneros completely controlled the game, allowing only one shot on goal over the entire 90 minutes. Looking further back, in the past ten H2H games, Atletico Madrid were (expectedly) much better, winning six times, while Real Oviedo won only once. 

Regarding the number of goals, five of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in four of them. 

Real Oviedo

Real Oviedo team overview

Real Oviedo managed to secure promotion to La Liga after ten seasons spent in La Liga 2. Their goal for the season has been "only" to survive, but it became obvious from the start that could be a massive challenge. Recently, Los Azules had some OK games, earning four points in the past three matches. However, the team from Asturias is still very far away from their season's goal. At the moment, they are in 20th place with 17 points from 24 rounds - eight points away from the safe zone, although with fewer games played. 

For the upcoming game against Atletico Madrid, coach Almada will have Santiago Colombatto back after a one-game suspension. The 29-year-old midfielder has been one of their best players recently, and his presence should be a big plus for Real Oviedo. Meanwhile, David Costas and Oviemuno Ejaria, who missed the previous games with injuries, should remain sidelined. 

Last matches of Real Oviedo

  1. Real Sociedad

    3 : 3

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  2. Real Oviedo

    1 : 2

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

  3. Real Oviedo

    1 : 0

    Girona

    La Liga

  4. FC Barcelona

    3 : 0

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  5. Osasuna

    3 : 2

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

Real Oviedo lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Aarón Escandell

Defenders

  • 22

    Nacho Vidal

  • 2

    Eric Bailly

  • 16

    David Carmo

  • 25

    Javi López

Midfielders

  • 6

    Kwasi Sibo

  • 5

    Alberto Reina

  • 11

    Santiago Colombatto

Forwards

  • 10

    Haissem Hassan

  • 9

    Federico Viñas

  • 7

    Ilyas Chaira

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid team overview

Atletico Madrid are playing a very good season. Maybe they could be a bit better in La Liga, considering they are in 4th place with 48 points from 25 rounds and are 13 points away from the top spot. Still, to be fair, they are averaging around the same number of points compared to the last few seasons, and they cannot be too unhappy. 

However, the team from the capital impressed most in Cup competitions, reaching the 1/8 Finals of the Champions League and the Semi-Finals in the Copa del Rey. In the Copa del Rey, Colchoneros dominated Real Betis in the quarter finals, beating them 5:0, and then continued with another amazing performance against Barcelona, beating them 4:0. Now, after the Oviedo game, they will only have to finish the job in the second leg. With Real Madrid already eliminated from the competition, Atletico have a really good chance to win their 13th Cup title.

After a 4:1 over Club Brugge, coach Diego Simeone spoke to the media. He was very happy with the win and qualifying in the top 16. When asked about a possible next opponent, the coach said they aren't focusing on the opponents and are only looking to develop and improve as a team. 

Last matches of Atletico Madrid

  1. Atletico Madrid

    4 : 1

    Club Brugge

    Champions League

  2. Atletico Madrid

    4 : 2

    Espanyol

    La Liga

  3. Club Brugge

    3 : 3

    Atletico Madrid

    Champions League

  4. Rayo Vallecano

    3 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Atletico Madrid

    4 : 0

    FC Barcelona

    Copa Del Rey

Atletico Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Jan Oblak

Defenders

  • 14

    Marcos Llorente

  • 18

    Marc Pubill

  • 17

    Dávid Hancko

  • 3

    Matteo Ruggeri

Midfielders

  • 20

    Giuliano Simeone

  • 6

    Koke

  • 10

    Álex Baena

Forwards

  • 22

    Ademola Lookman

  • 19

    Julián Alvarez

  • 9

    Alexander Sørloth

Prediction

Real Oviedo have struggled this season, and are deservedly at the bottom of the league table. They lost 13 of 24 games thus far - 54%. And looking strictly against the top four (Barcelona, Real Madrid, Villarreal, and Atletico Madrid), Real Oviedo have played five games and lost each, with a terrible goal difference of 1:13.

On the other hand, were amazing in the last two games, beating Club Brugge and Espanyol while scoring eight goals. To be fair, before those wins, they were a little inconsistent, but we believe they are a very good team and that they could go on a streak soon. 

Considering the trend in the previous h2h games and all the above, we believe Atletico Madrid are closer to winning the upcoming La Liga tie.

4 Reasons why Atletico Madrid should win

  1. Real Oviedo lost three of the past five games
  2. Real Oviedo lost all five games against the teams from the top four in La Liga
  3. Atletico Madrid won back-to-back games against Club Brugge and Espanyol
  4. Atletico won the first H2H game 2:0

Main prediction Real Oviedo - Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid to win

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.80

Bet here

Real Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 25 20 1 4 67 - 25 +42 61
2 Real Madrid 25 19 3 3 54 - 21 +33 60
3 Villarreal 25 16 3 6 47 - 27 +20 51
4 Atlético Madrid 25 14 6 5 42 - 23 +19 48
5 Real Betis 25 11 9 5 40 - 30 +10 42
6 Celta de Vigo 25 9 10 6 34 - 27 +7 37
7 Espanyol 25 10 5 10 31 - 37 -6 35
8 Athletic Club 25 10 4 11 29 - 35 -6 34
9 Osasuna 25 9 6 10 30 - 29 +1 33
10 Real Sociedad 25 8 8 9 37 - 38 -1 32
11 Girona 25 7 9 9 26 - 40 -14 30
12 Sevilla 25 8 5 12 32 - 39 -7 29
13 Getafe 25 8 5 12 20 - 29 -9 29
14 Deportivo Alavés 25 7 6 12 23 - 32 -9 27
15 Rayo Vallecano 24 6 8 10 22 - 31 -9 26
16 Valencia 25 6 8 11 26 - 39 -13 26
17 Elche 25 5 10 10 32 - 37 -5 25
18 Mallorca 25 6 6 13 29 - 41 -12 24
19 Levante 25 4 6 15 26 - 44 -18 18
20 Real Oviedo 24 3 8 13 16 - 39 -23 17

Real Oviedo vs Atletico Madrid – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Real Oviedo this season?

The average xG for Real Oviedo in La Liga this season is 1.10.

? How much is the average xG for Atletico Madrid this season?

The average xG for Atletico Madrid in La Liga this season is 1.63.