Real Madrid vs Barcelona prediction 26.10.2025 | La Liga
Real Madrid
Kick off:
Date:
FC Barcelona
1
1.99
X
4.00
2
3.25
Contents
- Competition: La Liga
- Date: 26th October, 2025
- Kickoff: 15:15 UK / 16:15 CET
- Venue: Santiago Bernabéu
El Clásico returns to the spotlight on Sunday, as Real Madrid host FC Barcelona at the Santiago Bernabéu in what promises to be a defining early-season encounter in La Liga. Both sides are chasing momentum in the title race, with Real Madrid currently sitting slightly ahead in the standings (24 points), but Barcelona’s impressive 6-1 win over Olympiacos in the Champions League in mid-week suggests that this Clásico may be more balanced than some previous editions. Matches between the two are rarely decided by form alone, and thus big-moment efficiency will likely determine the outcome on Sunday night.
Real Madrid vs FC Barcelona Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
FC Barcelona
4 : 3
Real Madrid
La Liga
-
Real Madrid
2 : 5
FC Barcelona
Super Cup
-
Real Madrid
0 : 4
FC Barcelona
La Liga
-
Real Madrid
3 : 2
FC Barcelona
La Liga
-
Real Madrid
4 : 1
FC Barcelona
Super Cup
-
FC Barcelona
1 : 2
Real Madrid
La Liga
The recent head-to-head record between the two giants has leaned in Barcelona’s favour. The Blaugrana have picked up four consecutive wins across all competitions in recent seasons, including victories in the Copa del Rey and the Supercopa de España, while Real Madrid have not beaten their arch-rivals since April 2024.
Real Madrid team overview
Real Madrid enter this Clásico in strong league form, having won eight of their first nine matches this season. Despite a 5-2 setback away to Atlético Madrid around a month ago, they quickly recovered with two league wins and back-to-back Champions League victories. They come into this fixture on the back of a narrow 1-0 win over Juventus in the Champions League, a match in which they were notably more threatening in attack, recording an expected goals (xG) total of 2.69.
Across their last seven matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have averaged 2.1 goals per game and have kept four clean sheets in that period. Their home performances have also been particularly strong, with four wins from four at the Bernabéu this season.
Antonio Rüdiger is the only confirmed absentee for the hosts ahead of El Clásico.
Last matches of Real Madrid
-
Real Madrid
1 : 0
Juventus
Champions League
-
Getafe
0 : 1
Real Madrid
La Liga
-
Real Madrid
3 : 1
Villarreal
La Liga
-
Kairat Almaty
0 : 5
Real Madrid
Champions League
-
Atletico Madrid
5 : 2
Real Madrid
La Liga
Real Madrid lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Thibaut Courtois
Defenders
-
8
Federico Valverde
-
3
Éder Militão
-
24
Dean Huijsen
-
18
Álvaro Carreras
Midfielders
-
15
Arda Güler
-
14
Aurélien Tchouaméni
-
15
Franco Mastantuono
-
7
Vinícius Júnior
-
5
Jude Bellingham
Forwards
-
10
Kylian Mbappé
Barcelona team overview
Barcelona’s season began unevenly, but their form has improved since the October international break. After back-to-back defeats - against PSG in the Champions League and Sevilla in La Liga - Hansi Flick’s side responded with a 2-1 win over Girona and an emphatic 6-1 victory against Olympiacos in the Champions League in midweek.
Barcelona’s home form has been excellent, with four wins from four in La Liga, but they have not looked as sharp or efficient away from home (W3, D1, L1). Their defensive vulnerability on the road remains a concern - they have already conceded eight goals in away league matches (an average of 1.6 per game).
Barcelona also enter the match with more squad absences than their rivals. Raphinha and Dani Olmo are confirmed to be sidelined, while Robert Lewandowski - who missed the 6-1 win over Olympiacos with a minor issue - will require a late fitness assessment.
Last matches of FC Barcelona
-
FC Barcelona
6 : 1
Olympiacos Piraeus
Champions League
-
FC Barcelona
2 : 1
Girona
La Liga
-
Sevilla
4 : 1
FC Barcelona
La Liga
-
FC Barcelona
1 : 2
PSG
Champions League
-
FC Barcelona
2 : 1
Real Sociedad
La Liga
FC Barcelona lineup
Goalkeeper
-
25
Wojciech Szczęsny
Defenders
-
23
Jules Koundé
-
5
Pau Cubarsí
-
24
Eric García
-
3
Alejandro Balde
Midfielders
-
8
Pedri
-
21
Frenkie de Jong
-
14
Marcus Rashford
-
10
Lamine Yamal
-
16
Fermín López
Forwards
-
7
Ferran Torres
Prediction
Both teams arrive with winning momentum, and as always, the attacking quality on display suggests another open and dynamic Clásico. Real Madrid hold the stronger home record and appear to have slightly more rhythm, while Barcelona’s recent upturn in form and improved chance creation show they remain highly competitive. However, the recent head-to-head trend clearly favours Barcelona, who have won the last four meetings across all competitions.
With Real Madrid missing a key defensive leader and Barcelona proving dangerous even amid injuries, the visitors appear well-placed to avoid defeat.
Prediction: Barcelona not to lose (double chance x2).
Three reasons we expect Double chance x2
- Barcelona have recorded back-to-back La Liga wins against Real Madrid in the last two seasons.
- Barcelona have defeated Real Madrid in 4 consecutive head-to-head fixtures across all competitions. The last time Real Madrid triumphed over Barcelona in a h2h meeting was back in April 2024.
- Barcelona have only suffered one defeat in their last 15 away matches in La Liga (W10, D4, L1).
Main prediction Real Madrid - FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona win or draw (X2)
Best Odds:
20Bet
1.8
Real Madrid vs FC Barcelona standings in La Liga
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20 - 9 | +11 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Barcelona | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 - 10 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 - 10 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Atlético Madrid | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 - 10 | +6 | 16 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 - 10 | +5 | 16 |
| 6 | Espanyol | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 - 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Elche | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 - 9 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 - 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 - 16 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 | Deportivo Alavés | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 - 8 | +1 | 12 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 - 10 | +1 | 11 |
| 12 | Getafe | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 - 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 - 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 - 14 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Valencia | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 - 14 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Levante | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 - 17 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 - 14 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Celta de Vigo | 9 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 8 - 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Real Oviedo | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 - 16 | -12 | 6 |
| 20 | Girona | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 - 19 | -13 | 6 |