Home Bookmakers Tips Bonuses

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid prediction 22.03.2026 | LaLiga

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

Kick off:

Date:

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

1

2.00

X

3.96

2

3.80

  • Competition: LaLiga
  • Date: 22nd March, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Bernabéu

The Madrid derby headlines Round 29 of the 2025/26 La Liga season as Real Madrid host Atlético Madrid in a clash with major title implications. Real Madrid enter the fixture second in the table with 66 points, four points behind direct title rivals Barcelona, while Atlético sit third on 57 points and can no longer realistically challenge for the La Liga crown.

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    Super Cup

  2. Atletico Madrid

    5 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  3. Atletico Madrid

    2 : 4

    Real Madrid

    Champions League

  4. Real Madrid

    2 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    Champions League

  5. Real Madrid

    1 : 1

    Atletico Madrid

    La Liga

  6. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 1

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

However, recent encounters suggest a shift toward greater competitiveness. Atlético’s emphatic 5-2 league win earlier this season exposed defensive vulnerabilities in their rivals, while Real responded with a narrow 2-1 victory in the Spanish Super Cup in January. At the Bernabéu, however, Atlético have historically struggled - their last league win at Real Madrid’s home ground dates back to 2016.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid team overview

Real Madrid have been one of the league’s most consistent sides this season, winning 20 of their 27 matches, although their recent league performances have raised a few eyebrows as they continue to chase Barcelona for the La Liga title. Álvaro Arbeloa’s men had crumbled to two consecutive defeats in Rounds 25 and 26, losing to Osasuna and Getafe, but eventually bounced back with back-to-back wins over Celta and Elche.

However, a major turning point in Real’s form could be their elimination of Manchester City from the UEFA Champions League knockout stages - the 15-time winners secured a comprehensive 5-1 aggregate victory over the two legs.

Creatively, the team continues to rely on a dynamic midfield and forward line, with players like Vinícius Júnior and Federico Valverde contributing consistently in both goals and assists. However, injuries could play a decisive role. Éder Militão is still recovering from a hamstring issue and remains a doubt, while goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois is also uncertain after picking up a minor groin injury ahead of this fixture. The likes of Kylian Mbappe and Jude Bellingham are also not 100 percent fit and are unlikely to feature on Sunday.

Last matches of Real Madrid

  1. Manchester City

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    Champions League

  2. Real Madrid

    4 : 1

    Elche

    La Liga

  3. Real Madrid

    3 : 0

    Manchester City

    Champions League

  4. Celta Vigo

    1 : 2

    Real Madrid

    La Liga

  5. Real Madrid

    0 : 1

    Getafe

    La Liga

Real Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Andriy Lunin

Defenders

  • 12

    Trent Alexander-Arnold

  • 22

    Antonio Rüdiger

  • 24

    Dean Huijsen

  • 20

    Fran García

Midfielders

  • 14

    Aurélien Tchouaméni

  • 45

    Thiago Pitarch

  • 8

    Federico Valverde

  • 15

    Arda Güler

Forwards

  • 7

    Vinicius Júnior

  • 10

    Kylian Mbappé

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid team overview

Atlético Madrid arrive in strong overall league form, currently on a four-game winning run over the past couple of weeks. Diego Simeone’s men recorded high-scoring victories over Espanyol and Real Sociedad, alongside mature, defensively solid performances against Getafe and Real Oviedo, clearly showcasing their ability to be both adventurous in attack and resolute at the back.

The only minor setback came in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League Round of 16 tie against Tottenham, which they lost 3-2 after securing a scintillating 5-2 win in the first leg in Madrid.

In terms of availability, Atlético also face concerns. Clément Lenglet and Nicolás González are ruled out, while Pablo Barrios remains a doubt. Additionally, recent reports indicate goalkeeper Jan Oblak has been dealing with a muscle issue, which could impact selection decisions. 

Last matches of Atletico Madrid

  1. Tottenham Hotspur

    3 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    Champions League

  2. Atletico Madrid

    1 : 0

    Getafe

    La Liga

  3. Atletico Madrid

    5 : 2

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Champions League

  4. Atletico Madrid

    3 : 2

    Real Sociedad

    La Liga

  5. FC Barcelona

    3 : 0

    Atletico Madrid

    Copa Del Rey

Atletico Madrid lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Juan Musso

Defenders

  • 16

    Nahuel Molina

  • 24

    Robin Le Normand

  • 17

    Dávid Hancko

  • 3

    Matteo Ruggeri

Midfielders

  • 14

    Marcos Llorente

  • 5

    Johnny Cardoso

  • 20

    Giuliano Simeone

  • 22

    Ademola Lookman

Forwards

  • 19

    Julián Alvarez

  • 7

    Antoine Griezmann

Prediction

Given the stakes and the tactical caution typically associated with this fixture, a tightly contested game is likely. Real Madrid’s home advantage may give them a slight edge, as does the head-to-head record at the Bernabéu, which leans heavily in Real’s favour.

Prediction: Real Madrid to Win.

Three reasons we expect Real Madrid to Win

  1. Real Madrid have picked up three wins from their last six meetings with Atlético at the Bernabéu. 
  2. They are unbeaten in their last nine head-to-head home matches against Atlético, recording six wins during that run. 
  3. Atlético have managed just one win in their last four La Liga away fixtures.

Main prediction Real Madrid - Atletico Madrid

Real Madrid to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.00

Bet here

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid standings in La Liga

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 FC Barcelona 28 23 1 4 77 - 28 +49 70
2 Real Madrid 28 21 3 4 60 - 24 +36 66
3 Villarreal 29 18 4 7 54 - 34 +20 58
4 Atlético Madrid 28 17 6 5 47 - 25 +22 57
5 Real Betis 28 11 11 6 43 - 35 +8 44
6 Celta de Vigo 28 10 11 7 38 - 31 +7 41
7 Real Sociedad 29 10 8 11 44 - 45 -1 38
8 Espanyol 28 10 7 11 35 - 42 -7 37
9 Getafe 28 10 5 13 23 - 30 -7 35
10 Athletic Club 28 10 5 13 30 - 40 -10 35
11 Osasuna 28 9 7 12 33 - 35 -2 34
12 Girona 28 8 10 10 31 - 43 -12 34
13 Rayo Vallecano 28 7 11 10 28 - 34 -6 32
14 Valencia 28 8 8 12 30 - 42 -12 32
15 Sevilla 28 8 7 13 37 - 47 -10 31
16 Mallorca 28 7 7 14 33 - 45 -12 28
17 Deportivo Alavés 28 7 7 14 26 - 38 -12 28
18 Elche 28 5 11 12 36 - 45 -9 26
19 Levante 28 5 8 15 30 - 46 -16 23
20 Real Oviedo 28 4 9 15 18 - 44 -26 21

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Real Madrid take on Atletico Madrid on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Real Madrid have won in the LaLiga 2025/26?

6.5

? What is the average number of corners Atletico Madrid have won in the LaLiga 2025/26?

6.9