RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund prediction 21.02.2026 | Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
Kick off:
Date:
Borussia Dortmund
1
2.32
X
4.00
2
3.00
Contents
- Competition: Bundesliga
- Date: 21st February, 2026
- Kickoff: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CET
- Venue: Red Bull Arena
Matchday 23 brings a compelling clash in the Bundesliga as RB Leipzig host Borussia Dortmund in what shapes up to be an intriguing Bundesliga encounter. Dortmund sit comfortably in second place with 51 points from 22 games, while Leipzig are fifth on 40 points.
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Borussia Dortmund
1 : 1
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga
-
RB Leipzig
2 : 0
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga
-
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 1
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga
-
RB Leipzig
4 : 1
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga
-
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 3
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga
-
RB Leipzig
2 : 0
Borussia Dortmund
DFB Pokal
In their most recent meeting this campaign, the sides shared a 1-1 draw, with Leipzig scoring first before Dortmund responded. Looking at the last five H2H results, Leipzig have edged more wins overall, but the balance emphasises how tightly matched these teams typically are.
RB Leipzig team overview
Leipzig enter this fixture with mixed form: they drew 2-2 with Wolfsburg on Matchday 22 and have alternated wins and draws across their last five Bundesliga matches. While they can score - averaging around 2.0 goals scored per game in recent matches - their defensive record shows vulnerability, having conceded in 4 of their last 5 outings. Leipzig’s strength has been their attacking variety, seeing contributions from Christoph Baumgartner (8 league goals) and Yan Diomande (8) so far this season.
However, Leipzig suffer a significant setback: first-choice goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi is ruled out until late March with a knee ligament injury, removing a keeper with one of the league’s best clean sheet rates (9 shutouts from 22 games).
Last matches of RB Leipzig
-
RB Leipzig
2 : 2
VfL Wolfsburg
Bundesliga
-
Bayern Munich
2 : 0
RB Leipzig
DFB Pokal
-
FC Koln
1 : 2
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga
-
RB Leipzig
1 : 2
FSV Mainz
Bundesliga
-
St Pauli
1 : 1
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig lineup
Goalkeeper
-
26
Maarten Vandevoordt
Defenders
-
17
Ridle Baku
-
4
Willi Orbán
-
23
Castello Lukeba
-
22
David Raum
Midfielders
-
14
Christoph Baumgartner
-
24
Xaver Schlager
-
13
Nicolas Seiwald
Forwards
-
7
Antonio Nusa
-
49
Yan Diomande
-
40
Rômulo
Borussia Dortmund team overview
Dortmund arrive in strong momentum, unbeaten in their last 15 Bundesliga matches and currently enduring a six-game winning streak, including a convincing 4-0 win over Mainz where Serhou Guirassy scored a brace. With 71 goals in the league this season and an over-1.5-goals rate in roughly 94% of matches, Dortmund pose a serious threat to Leipzig’s defense. They have averaged two or more goals in eight consecutive league outings, boasting the joint-second most potent attack with 47 goals.
That said, Dortmund’s defensive resources are stretched: key defenders Nico Schlotterbeck, Niklas Süle, and Emre Can have faced injuries, prompting the club to register several youngsters for European ties and stretching squad depth.
Last matches of Borussia Dortmund
-
Borussia Dortmund
2 : 0
Atalanta
Champions League
-
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 0
FSV Mainz
Bundesliga
-
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 2
Borussia Dortmund
Bundesliga
-
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 2
Heidenheim
Bundesliga
-
Borussia Dortmund
0 : 2
Inter Milan
Champions League
Borussia Dortmund lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gregor Kobel
Defenders
-
5
Ramy Bensebaini
-
3
Waldemar Anton
-
26
Julian Ryerson
-
2
Yan Couto
-
24
Daniel Svensson
Midfielders
-
8
Felix Nmecha
-
7
Jobe Bellingham
-
10
Julian Brandt
-
14
Maximilian Beier
Forwards
-
9
Serhou Guirassy
Prediction
A Dortmund win feels a plausible outcome, aligning with current attacking potency and form. However, the only concern Borussia Dortmund must address ahead of this fixture is their dismal recent record away at RB Leipzig. They have lost four consecutive meetings at the Red Bull Arena, which suggests this may be a more competitive contest than initially anticipated.
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund not to lose (double chance x2).
Three reasons we expect Double chance x2
- Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in seven consecutive Bundesliga away matches.
- Borussia Dortmund have recorded six successive league wins since early December.
- RB Leipzig have failed to win four of their last five Bundesliga home matches.
Main prediction RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund win or draw (X2)
Best Odds:
22bet
1.68
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund standings in Bundesliga
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 82 - 19 | +63 | 57 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 47 - 20 | +27 | 51 |
| 3 | TSG Hoffenheim | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 47 - 28 | +19 | 45 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 41 - 29 | +12 | 42 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 42 - 30 | +12 | 40 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 43 - 27 | +16 | 39 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 44 - 46 | -2 | 31 |
| 8 | SC Freiburg | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 32 - 36 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 - 31 | -7 | 25 |
| 10 | FC Union Berlin | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 28 - 37 | -9 | 25 |
| 11 | FC Augsburg | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 - 39 | -14 | 25 |
| 12 | FC Köln | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 31 - 37 | -6 | 23 |
| 13 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 25 - 37 | -12 | 22 |
| 14 | FSV Mainz 05 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25 - 37 | -12 | 21 |
| 15 | VfL Wolfsburg | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 31 - 46 | -15 | 20 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 22 - 42 | -20 | 19 |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 - 39 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 - 48 | -29 | 13 |