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Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor prediction 19.03.2026 | Conference League

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

Kick off:

Date:

Samsunspor

Samsunspor

1

1.67

X

3.99

2

5.45

  • Competition: Conference League, 1/8 Finals, 2nd Leg
  • Date: Thursday, 19th March, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid)

After a 3:1 win for Rayo Vallecano over Samsunspor in the first leg of the Conference League 1/8 Finals, these teams will face off in the second leg in Spain. At the moment, the bookies heavily favor Rayo Vallecano to advance, offering odds of only 1.01 to reach the Quarter Finals, while the odds on Samsunspor are around 21.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Europa League tie.

Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Samsunspor

    1 : 3

    Rayo Vallecano

    Europa Conference League

The first leg in the Conference League was the only H2H game between these teams. It was an interesting game where Samsunspor dominated possession (63%), but Rayo managed to control the game defensively, especially in the second half.

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano team overview

Rayo Vallecano came to this season after a really good one last year, when they finished 8th in La Liga. This season, after some ups and downs, it seems they have found their rhythm as they are currently on a six-game unbeaten streak in La Liga. After 28 rounds, Los Franjirrojos are in 13th place, and securing European Qualifiers doesn't seem likely. So, we believe they will be focused only on just avoiding relegation in La Liga and trying to win the Conference League. Right now, the bookies see them as the fourth favorite, only behind Crystal Palace, Strasbourg, and Fiorentina. 

After a 1:1 draw with Levante, coach Iñigo Pérez spoke to the media. The coach was slightly frustrated with the performance, but praised the team for showing character after Mendy's red card. "It's a point I might appreciate in the long run, but I'm not satisfied," the coach added.

Last matches of Rayo Vallecano

  1. Rayo Vallecano

    1 : 1

    Levante

    La Liga

  2. Samsunspor

    1 : 3

    Rayo Vallecano

    Europa Conference League

  3. Sevilla

    1 : 1

    Rayo Vallecano

    La Liga

  4. Rayo Vallecano

    3 : 0

    Real Oviedo

    La Liga

  5. Rayo Vallecano

    1 : 1

    Athletic Bilbao

    La Liga

Rayo Vallecano lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 13

    Augusto Batalla

Defenders

  • 2

    Andrei Rațiu

  • 32

    Nobel Mendy

  • 24

    Florian Lejeune

  • 3

    Pep Chavarría

Midfielders

  • 17

    Unai López

  • 6

    Pathé Ciss

  • 23

    Óscar Valentín

Forwards

  • 7

    Isi Palazón

  • 18

    Álvaro García

  • 19

    Jorge de Frutos

Samsunspor

Samsunspor team overview

Samsunspor had a magnificent last season, by far their best in the 21st century, finishing third - only behind Galatasaray and Fenerbahce. They managed to secure Europe after a 27-year break. This year, the Red and Whites had an awesome start and looked poised for another strong season. Unfortunately, since December, their results have heavily declined. At the moment, after 26 rounds, they are in 7th place in Super Lig with 35 points - pretty far from European spots. 

However, in the cup competitions, they did well, reaching the Conference League knockout phase and the Turkish Cup Quarter Finals, where they will face Trabzonspor. 

In the previous game against Kayserispor, midfielder Olivier Ntcham suffered an injury and had to leave the field after only four minutes. The 30-year-old has been one of the team's best players in recent months, and his absence could be a massive problem.

Last matches of Samsunspor

  1. Samsunspor

    2 : 1

    Kayserispor

    Super Lig

  2. Samsunspor

    1 : 3

    Rayo Vallecano

    Europa Conference League

  3. Fenerbahce

    3 : 2

    Samsunspor

    Super Lig

  4. Antalyaspor

    0 : 2

    Samsunspor

    Turkish Cup

  5. Samsunspor

    0 : 0

    Gaziantep

    Super Lig

Samsunspor lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Okan Kocuk

Defenders

  • 18

    Zeki Yavru

  • 37

    Lubomir Satka

  • 4

    Rick van Drongelen

  • 17

    Logi Tómasson

Midfielders

  • 29

    Antoine Makoumbou

  • 5

    Celil Yüksel

  • 21

    Carlo Holse

Forwards

  • 9

    Marius Mouandilmadji

  • 11

    Emre Kılınç

  • 19

    Cherif Ndiaye

Prediction

Rayo Vallecano are in good form, currently on a seven-game unbeaten run. Also, at home, they have been good throughout the season, losing twice in 19 games across competitions. And in Conference League home games, Rayo managed to win all four matches.

Samsunspor have been pretty inconsistent in recent months, and it is hard to predict what kind of performance we will see from them. 

Moreover, in the first leg, we saw that Rayo Vallecano are a much more experienced team in big games, and we trust them here much more. Considering all the above, we believe Rayo Vallecano are much closer to winning the upcoming Conference League tie.

3 Reasons why Rayo Vallecano should win

  1. Rayo Vallecano won the first leg 3:1
  2. Rayo Vallecano are undefeated in the past seven games
  3. Samsunspor lost two of the past three games

Main prediction Rayo Vallecano - Samsunspor

Rayo Vallecano to win

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.67

Bet here

Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor standings in Europa Conference League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 6 5 1 0 11 - 5 +6 16
2 Raków Częstochowa 6 4 2 0 9 - 2 +7 14
3 AEK Athens 6 4 1 1 14 - 7 +7 13
4 Sparta Praha 6 4 1 1 10 - 3 +7 13
5 Rayo Vallecano 6 4 1 1 13 - 7 +6 13
6 Shakhtar Donetsk 6 4 1 1 10 - 5 +5 13
7 FSV Mainz 05 6 4 1 1 7 - 3 +4 13
8 AEK Larnaca 6 3 3 0 7 - 1 +6 12
9 Lausanne Sport 6 3 2 1 6 - 3 +3 11
10 Crystal Palace 6 3 1 2 11 - 6 +5 10
11 Lech Poznań 6 3 1 2 12 - 8 +4 10
12 Samsunspor 6 3 1 2 10 - 6 +4 10
13 Celje 6 3 1 2 8 - 7 +1 10
14 AZ 6 3 1 2 7 - 7 0 10
15 Fiorentina 6 3 0 3 8 - 5 +3 9
16 Rijeka 6 2 3 1 5 - 2 +3 9
17 Jagiellonia Białystok 6 2 3 1 5 - 4 +1 9
18 Omonia Nicosia 6 2 2 2 5 - 4 +1 8
19 Noah 6 2 2 2 6 - 7 -1 8
20 Drita 6 2 2 2 4 - 8 -4 8
21 KuPS 6 1 4 1 6 - 5 +1 7
22 Skendija 79 6 2 1 3 4 - 5 -1 7
23 Zrinjski 6 2 1 3 8 - 10 -2 7
24 Sigma Olomouc 6 2 1 3 7 - 9 -2 7
25 Universitatea Craiova 6 2 1 3 6 - 8 -2 7
26 Lincoln Red Imps 6 2 1 3 7 - 15 -8 7
27 Dynamo Kyiv 6 2 0 4 9 - 9 0 6
28 Legia Warszawa 6 2 0 4 8 - 8 0 6
29 Slovan Bratislava 6 2 0 4 5 - 9 -4 6
30 Breidablik 6 1 2 3 6 - 11 -5 5
31 Shamrock Rovers 6 1 1 4 7 - 13 -6 4
32 Häcken 6 0 3 3 5 - 8 -3 3
33 Hamrun Spartans 6 1 0 5 4 - 11 -7 3
34 Shelbourne 6 0 2 4 0 - 7 -7 2
35 Aberdeen 6 0 2 4 3 - 14 -11 2
36 SK Rapid 6 0 1 5 3 - 14 -11 1

Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Rayo Vallecano this season?

The average xG for Rayo Vallecano in the Conference League this season is 1.85.

? How much is the average xG for Samsunspor this season?

The average xG for Samsunspor in the Conference League this season is 1.50.