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Qarabag vs Newcastle prediction 18.02.2026 | Champions League

Qarabag FK

Qarabag FK

Kick off:

Date:

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

1

8.50

X

4.90

2

1.37

  • Competition: Champions League
  • Date: Wednesday, 18th February 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:45 UK / 18:45 CET
  • Venue: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

On Wednesday night, Qarabag and Newcastle will meet in the Champions League playoff. It is not surprising to see the English team in the knockout phase, but the Azerbaijani team surprised everyone without a doubt. Can Qarabag stun the Magpies in the upcoming clash? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Qarabag FK

Qarabag team overview

Qarabag were excellent this season in the most elite European competition. They collected ten points in eight matches and progressed to the Champions League knockout phase for the first time in their history. Qarabag are playing well in the domestic Premier League, too, where they are one point behind the league leader, Sabah Baku. However, Qarabag's form is not at its peak, as they failed to impress in the last couple of matches. In the most recent outing, Qarabag won 1-0 on the road against Imisli. Although Qurban Qurbanov's team won, they failed to impress and will have to do much better to have any chance against Newcastle. 

Qarabag's head coach, Quraban Qurabanov, was very disappointed with Imisli's home field. He said that due to the poor conditions of the pitch, his players needed to use more strength than they should have for one match, and that it would be hard to recover in time for the Champions League game. 

Shahrudin Mahammadaliyev is injured and will not be ready for Wednesday's game. The good news for Qarabag is that the head coach Qurbanov confirmed after the previous game that the goalkeeper Mateusz Kochalski is not seriously injured, so he should start against Newcastle. 

Last matches of Qarabag FK

  1. İmişli FK

    0 : 1

    Qarabag FK

    Premier League

  2. Keshla

    1 : 2

    Qarabag FK

    Premier League

  3. Keshla

    2 : 1

    Qarabag FK

    Azerbaidjan Cup

  4. Qarabag FK

    1 : 0

    Turan

    Premier League

  5. Liverpool

    6 : 0

    Qarabag FK

    Champions League

Qarabag FK lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 97

    Fabijan Buntic

Defenders

  • 2

    Matheus Silva

  • 13

    Bahlul Mustafazada

  • 81

    Kevin Medina

  • 44

    Elvin Cafarquliyev

Midfielders

  • 8

    Marko Jankovic

  • 9

    Joni Montiel

  • 35

    Pedro Bicalho

Forwards

  • 15

    Leandro Andrade

  • 17

    Camilo Duran

  • 10

    Abdellah Zoubir

Newcastle United

Newcastle team overview

Newcastle expected more from their season. In the Champions League, they were two points short of a direct place in the 1/8 final, while in the Premier League, Eddie Howe's team is only a mid-table team. However, recently, there were some signs of encouragement as Newcastle won the last two matches. Last weekend, the Magpies won 3-1 on the road in the FA Cup against Aston Villa. The visitors dominated in the second half after the hosts left with ten players. That was enough for victory, which should provide a major confidence boost before the trip to Baku. 

Newcastle are not playing well this season, but the board still stands behind the manager, Eddie Howe. However, recently, there has been speculation in the English media about his future. Newcastle are big favorite to progress to the next Champions League round, and a possible defeat against Qarabag could prove costly for Howe.  

Newcastle have problems with missing players ahead of the trip to Azerbaijan. They will be without Bruno Guimaraes, Fabian Schar, Valentino Livramento, and Emil Krafth on Wednesday evening. Also, Joelinton, Lewis Miley, Yoane Wissa, and Sven Botman are questionable, and their status will be clearer closer to the kickoff. 

Last matches of Newcastle United

  1. Aston Villa

    1 : 3

    Newcastle United

    FA Cup

  2. Tottenham Hotspur

    1 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  3. Newcastle United

    2 : 3

    Brentford

    Premier League

  4. Manchester City

    3 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Carabao Cup

  5. Liverpool

    4 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

Newcastle United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 32

    Aaron Ramsdale

Defenders

  • 2

    Kieran Trippier

  • 12

    Malick Thiaw

  • 33

    Dan Burn

  • 3

    Lewis Hall

Midfielders

  • 41

    Jacob Ramsey

  • 27

    Nick Woltemade

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

Forwards

  • 23

    Jacob Murphy

  • 18

    William Osula

  • 11

    Harvey Barnes

Prediction

Qarabag won the last three matches in the domestic league, but failed to impress in any of the games. On the other hand, Newcastle finally found some consistency with two solid wins in the last two matches. Both teams had problems recently, but Newcastle's good form should continue. We should expect the Magpies to win and cover AH-1.5 spread on Wednesday in Baku. 

3 Reasons why we should expect Newcastle to win and cover AH -1.5 spread

  1. Qarabag scored onlyfive goals in the last six matches
  2. Newcastle won the previous two games
  3. Newcastle scored five goals in the last two matches

Main prediction Qarabag FK - Newcastle United

AH2 (-1.5)

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Megapari

2.24

Bet here

Qarabag FK vs Newcastle United standings in Champions League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 23 - 4 +19 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 7 0 1 22 - 8 +14 21
3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 20 - 8 +12 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8 5 2 1 17 - 7 +10 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 5 1 2 22 - 14 +8 16
6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 17 - 10 +7 16
7 Sporting CP 8 5 1 2 17 - 11 +6 16
8 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 15 - 9 +6 16
9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 21 - 12 +9 15
10 Inter 8 5 0 3 15 - 7 +8 15
11 Paris Saint Germain 8 4 2 2 21 - 11 +10 14
12 Newcastle United 8 4 2 2 17 - 7 +10 14
13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 14 - 10 +4 13
14 Atlético Madrid 8 4 1 3 17 - 15 +2 13
15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 10 - 10 0 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 13 - 14 -1 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 3 2 3 19 - 17 +2 11
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8 3 2 3 10 - 14 -4 11
19 Club Brugge 8 3 1 4 15 - 17 -2 10
20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 9 - 11 -2 10
21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 8 - 14 -6 10
22 Qarabağ 8 3 1 4 13 - 21 -8 10
23 Bodø / Glimt 8 2 3 3 14 - 15 -1 9
24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 10 - 12 -2 9
25 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11 - 14 -3 9
26 Pafos FC 8 2 3 3 8 - 11 -3 9
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8 - 17 -9 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 16 - 16 0 8
29 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9 - 14 -5 8
30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9 - 15 -6 8
31 FC København 8 2 2 4 12 - 21 -9 8
32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8 - 21 -13 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10 - 21 -11 4
34 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5 - 19 -14 3
35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5 - 18 -13 1
36 Kairat 8 0 1 7 7 - 22 -15 1

Qarabag vs Newcastle – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the beIN Sports channel.

? How much is the average xG for Qarabag this season?

The average xG for Qarabag in the Champions League this season is 1.45.

? How much is the average xG for Newcastle this season?

The average xG for Newcastle in the Champions League this season is 1.56.