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PSG vs Monaco prediction 25.02.2026 | Champions League

PSG

PSG

Kick off:

Date:

Monaco

Monaco

1

1.28

X

6.80

2

11.40

  • Competition: Champions League
  • Date: Wednesday, 25th February 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Parc des Princes (Paris)

On Wednesday night, the Champions League defending champions, PSG, will welcome Monaco in the 1/16 final second leg. Last week, in the first match, PSG won 3-2. Monaco started the match perfectly, taking a 2–0 lead, but they were unable to withstand PSG's dominance for the remainder of the game. Let's break down the second leg and find the best betting option. 

PSG vs Monaco Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Monaco

    2 : 3

    PSG

    Champions League

  2. Monaco

    1 : 0

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  3. PSG

    4 : 1

    Monaco

    Ligue 1

  4. PSG

    1 : 0

    Monaco

    Super Cup

  5. Monaco

    2 : 4

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  6. Monaco

    0 : 0

    PSG

    Ligue 1

PSG are usually dominant in the H2H matches, having won four, while Monaco managed only one victory in the last five meetings. The two sides have already met twice this season, with each claiming a win. Monaco edged a tight Ligue 1 clash 1–0, but PSG responded last week with a 3–2 victory in the Champions League. 

PSG

PSG team overview

PSG have another excellent season. They are at the top of the Ligue 1 standings with two points more than Lens, while in the Champions League, Luis Enrique's team is considered one of the main candidates for the trophy. PSG won four of the last five matches across all competitions. In the most recent outing, they won 3-0 at home against Metz. The hosts completely outplayed the opponents, so PSG's victory never came into question. 

PSG could lose Luis Enrique this summer. According to reports, Manchester United representatives met with the coach's agent. The English side sees the Spaniard as the primary candidate and are trying to persuade Luis Enrique not to extend his current deal with PSG. 

PSG's Desire Doue came on at the start of the second half in the previous Ligue 1 round due to injury, but after the game, the player said he was fine and that the substitution was only a precaution. Fabian Ruiz, Quentin Ndjantou, Senny Mayulu, and Ousmane Dembele remained sidelined and will not play on Wednesday night. 

Last matches of PSG

  1. PSG

    3 : 0

    Metz

    Ligue 1

  2. Monaco

    2 : 3

    PSG

    Champions League

  3. Rennes

    3 : 1

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  4. PSG

    5 : 0

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  5. Strasbourg

    1 : 2

    PSG

    Ligue 1

PSG lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 39

    Matvey Safonov

Defenders

  • 2

    Achraf Hakimi

  • 5

    Marquinhos

  • 51

    Willian Pacho

  • 25

    Nuno Mendes

Midfielders

  • 33

    Warren Zaire-Emery

  • 17

    Vitinha

  • 87

    Joao Neves

Forwards

  • 7

    Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

  • 9

    Goncalo Ramos

  • 29

    Bradley Barcola

Monaco

Monaco team overview

Monaco expected a better 2025/26 season. They are only eighth in Ligue 1, but with six points fewer than the Champions League positions. The bigger problem is inconsistent form, as Sebastien Pocognoli's team won only two of the last five matches. In the previous game, Monaco won 3-2 on the road against Lens. The teams were pretty even and the match could go either way, but eventually, the guests' better efficiency was enough for all three points.

After a victory in Lens, Monaco's head coach, Sebastien Pocognoli, commented the upcoming clash at Parc des Princes. He said, "Wednesday will be a different context, in the Champions League. We will go to the reigning European champions with a one-goal deficit, so the mission is difficult, but not impossible."

Monaco have big problems with missing players. Andriy Golovin will serve a suspension, while Maghnes Akliouche, Pape Cabral, Eric Dier, Lukas Hradecky, Christian Mawissa, Takumi Minamino, Kassoum Ouattara, Paul Pogba, and Mohamed Salisu will skip the upcoming game due to injuries.

Last matches of Monaco

  1. RC Lens

    2 : 3

    Monaco

    Ligue 1

  2. Monaco

    2 : 3

    PSG

    Champions League

  3. Monaco

    3 : 1

    Nantes

    Ligue 1

  4. OGC Nice

    0 : 0

    Monaco

    Ligue 1

  5. Strasbourg

    3 : 1

    Monaco

    Coupe de France

Monaco lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Philipp Kohn

Defenders

  • 2

    Vanderson

  • 4

    Jordan Teze

  • 25

    Wout Faes

  • 12

    Caio Henrique

Midfielders

  • 15

    Lamine Camara

  • 28

    Mamadou Coulibaly

  • 6

    Denis Zakaria

Forwards

  • 27

    Krepin Diatta

  • 9

    Folarin Balogun

  • 24

    Simon Adingra

Prediction

Although PSG won only 3-2 in the first leg, the difference between the two teams was even more significant. Luis Enrique's team ended with 80% ball possession and 30 shots on the goal and we should expect a similar game on Wednesday night. Our prediction: PSG to win and cover AH -2 spread. 

4 Reasons why we should expect PSG to win and cover AH -2 spread

  1. PSG won four of the last five matches
  2. PSG scored 14 goals in the previous five games
  3. Monaco won only two of the last five matches
  4. PSG won four of the previous five H2H games against Monaco

Main prediction PSG - Monaco

AH1 (-2)

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Melbet

2.05

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PSG vs Monaco standings in Champions League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 23 - 4 +19 24
2 FC Bayern München 8 7 0 1 22 - 8 +14 21
3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 20 - 8 +12 18
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8 5 2 1 17 - 7 +10 17
5 FC Barcelona 8 5 1 2 22 - 14 +8 16
6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 17 - 10 +7 16
7 Sporting CP 8 5 1 2 17 - 11 +6 16
8 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 15 - 9 +6 16
9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 21 - 12 +9 15
10 Inter 8 5 0 3 15 - 7 +8 15
11 Paris Saint Germain 8 4 2 2 21 - 11 +10 14
12 Newcastle United 8 4 2 2 17 - 7 +10 14
13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 14 - 10 +4 13
14 Atlético Madrid 8 4 1 3 17 - 15 +2 13
15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 10 - 10 0 13
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 13 - 14 -1 12
17 Borussia Dortmund 8 3 2 3 19 - 17 +2 11
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8 3 2 3 10 - 14 -4 11
19 Club Brugge 8 3 1 4 15 - 17 -2 10
20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 9 - 11 -2 10
21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 8 - 14 -6 10
22 Qarabağ 8 3 1 4 13 - 21 -8 10
23 Bodø / Glimt 8 2 3 3 14 - 15 -1 9
24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 10 - 12 -2 9
25 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11 - 14 -3 9
26 Pafos FC 8 2 3 3 8 - 11 -3 9
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8 - 17 -9 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 16 - 16 0 8
29 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9 - 14 -5 8
30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9 - 15 -6 8
31 FC København 8 2 2 4 12 - 21 -9 8
32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8 - 21 -13 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10 - 21 -11 4
34 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5 - 19 -14 3
35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5 - 18 -13 1
36 Kairat 8 0 1 7 7 - 22 -15 1

PSG vs Monaco – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for PSG this season?

The average xG for PSG in the Champions League this season is 2.47.

? How much is the average xG for Monaco this season?

The average xG for Monaco in the Champions League this season is 1.53.