Home Bookmakers Tips Bonuses

Porto vs Sporting CP Prediction 09.02.2026 | Primeira Liga

Kick off:

Date:

1

2.41

X

3.11

2

3.39

  • Competition: Portugal - Primeira Liga
  • Date: Monday, 9th, February 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:45 UK / 21:45 CET
  • Venue: Estadio do Dragao (Porto)

In what is undoubtedly the most significant fixture of the 2025-26 Primeira Liga calendar so far, league leaders Porto welcome title rivals Sporting CP to the Estadio do Dragao on Monday night for a high-stakes edition of O Classico.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Sporting CP

    1 : 2

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  2. Porto

    1 : 1

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  3. Sporting CP

    1 : 0

    Porto

    Taça da Liga

  4. Sporting CP

    2 : 0

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  5. Sporting CP

    0 : 1

    Porto

    Super Cup

  6. Porto

    1 : 0

    Sporting CP

    Taça De Portugal

Porto hold the historical edge in head-to-head meetings against Sporting, having won 48 of their 113 encounters, while the Lions have claimed 32 victories and the remaining 33 matches ended in draws.

Porto team overview

Porto head into this mouth-watering showdown fully aware that their domestic supremacy is about to face its sternest examination yet, despite sitting comfortably atop the Primeira Liga standings with an outstanding 55 points from a possible 60.

There is little debate that the Dragons have been nothing short of a juggernaut this season, but the psychological impact of their recent 2-1 capitulation away at Casa Pia — their first league loss of the campaign — cannot be ignored. That setback has raised legitimate questions over whether the relentless pressure of the title race is finally beginning to take its toll.

Even so, the Estadio do Dragao continues to stand as one of the division’s most unforgiving venues. Porto have dropped points there just once all season and conceded a mere two goals in the process, underlining just how close to untouchable they have been in front of their passionate home support.

However, Italian tactician Francesco Farioli will be forced to navigate this crucial encounter without several key figures. Nehuen Perez, Seko Fofana, and experienced striker Luuk de Jong are all unavailable, while winger William Gomes is suspended and will miss the highly anticipated clash with Sporting.

Last matches of

  1. Casa Pia

    2 : 1

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

  2. Porto

    3 : 1

    Rangers FC

    Europa League

  3. Porto

    3 : 0

    Gil Vicente

    Liga Portugal

  4. Viktoria Plzen

    1 : 1

    Porto

    Europa League

  5. Vitoria Guimaraes

    0 : 1

    Porto

    Liga Portugal

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 99

    Diogo Costa

Defenders

  • 74

    Francisco Moura

  • 5

    Jan Bednarek

  • 3

    Thiago Silva

  • 52

    Martim Fernandes

Midfielders

  • 10

    Gabri Veiga

  • 22

    Alan Varela

  • 13

    Pablo Rosario

Forwards

  • 17

    Borja Sainz

  • 9

    Samu Aghehowa

  • 11

    Pepê

Sporting CP team overview

Meanwhile, Sporting CP head north for a daunting assignment fully aware that anything less than victory could deal a serious blow to their Primeira Liga title ambitions. That said, the reigning champions arrive in buoyant form, suggesting they are more than ready for the challenge that awaits.

Under the astute guidance of Rui Borges, the Lions have navigated the post-Amorim transition with remarkable success, evolving into a ruthless attacking force. Sporting have plundered a league-high 54 goals this season, a tally that includes a thrilling 2-1 victory over Nacional in their most recent outing.

While the Dragons pride themselves on defensive solidity, Sporting’s formidable away-day mentality — remaining unbeaten on their league travels this season (W8, D2) — will give the Lisbon faithful genuine belief that the four-point gap at the summit can be overturned.

However, Borges faces a significant tactical headache ahead of this clash, as highly rated winger Geovany Quenda is ruled out with a metatarsal fracture, while Greek centre-forward Fotis Ioannidis is also unavailable due to a knee issue.

Last matches of

  1. Sporting CP

    1 : 0

    AVS

    Taça De Portugal

  2. Sporting CP

    2 : 1

    CD Nacional

    Liga Portugal

  3. Athletic Bilbao

    2 : 3

    Sporting CP

    Champions League

  4. Arouca

    1 : 2

    Sporting CP

    Liga Portugal

  5. Sporting CP

    2 : 1

    PSG

    Champions League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Rui Silva

Defenders

  • 20

    Maxi Araújo

  • 72

    Eduardo Quaresma

  • 26

    Ousmane Diomande

  • 22

    Iván Fresneda

Midfielders

  • 52

    João Simões

  • 5

    Hidemasa Morita

  • 31

    Luís Guilherme

  • 8

    Pedro Gonçalves

  • 10

    Geny Catamo

Forwards

  • 97

    Luis Suárez

Prediction

This is arguably the most difficult game to call in the Portuguese Primeira Liga calendar this season, pitting Porto’s impenetrable defensive wall against Sporting’s irresistible attacking force. The Dragons will be desperate to prove that their recent slip-up against Casa Pia was merely a statistical anomaly, and with the backing of a raucous Estadio do Dragão crowd, they are unlikely to remain passive.

Sporting CP, led by the prolific Luis Suarez, possess the tactical tools to breach any backline in Europe, but the Lions have historically found the atmosphere in Porto to be a stifling one. While Rui Borges would dearly love a win to slash the gap at the top to a single point, he will also be wary of overcommitting and allowing Porto’s clinical frontmen to exploit the space on the counter-attack.

Given that Porto have conceded just four goals at home all season and Sporting are yet to taste defeat on the road, a high-stakes tactical stalemate seems the most plausible outcome. Both managers may ultimately view a point as a 'safety-first' result that keeps the title race alive without handing a psychological hammer blow to their own dressing room. We expect a cagey, high-intensity affair where individual brilliance—rather than tactical dominance—determines the split of the spoils.

Four Reasons we expect Draw

  1. Porto have accumulated 25 of a possible 27 points from their first nine Primeira Liga home fixtures.
  2. Porto have conceded just twice across their opening nine home league matches.
  3. Sporting CP boast an unbeaten record on the road, registering eight wins and two draws.
  4. The most recent meeting between these rivals at the Estádio do Dragão ended in a balanced 1–1 draw.

Main prediction -

Draw

Updated

clock
winrate

57% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

don_andres is the professional football and basketball tipster who can give you deep analytic for each match 

Best Odds:

20Bet

3.15

Bet here

vs standings in Liga Portugal

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Porto 20 18 1 1 41 - 6 +35 55
2 Sporting CP 20 16 3 1 54 - 11 +43 51
3 Benfica 20 13 7 0 42 - 11 +31 46
4 Gil Vicente 21 10 7 4 31 - 17 +14 37
5 Sporting Braga 20 10 6 4 41 - 18 +23 36
6 Estoril 21 8 6 7 43 - 35 +8 30
7 Moreirense 21 9 3 9 27 - 29 -2 30
8 Famalicão 20 8 5 7 24 - 19 +5 29
9 Vitória Guimarães 21 8 4 9 23 - 30 -7 28
10 Alverca 20 7 3 10 20 - 34 -14 24
11 Estrela Amadora 21 5 8 8 25 - 37 -12 23
12 Arouca 21 6 5 10 26 - 46 -20 23
13 Nacional 20 5 5 10 27 - 30 -3 20
14 Rio Ave 20 4 8 8 22 - 38 -16 20
15 Casa Pia 20 4 6 10 22 - 39 -17 18
16 Santa Clara 21 4 5 12 16 - 26 -10 17
17 Tondela 21 3 5 13 14 - 35 -21 14
18 AVS 20 0 5 15 14 - 51 -37 5

Porto vs Sporting CP – FAQ

? Who is Porto's player to watch?

With 13 goals to his name, Samu is Porto’s most lethal attacker in the current season.

? Who is Sporting's player to watch?

Sporting CP’s biggest threat comes from Luis Suarez, who has netted 18 goals and provided four assists.