Poland vs Finland prediction 07.09.2025 | World Cup qualification

Kick off:

Date:

1

1.65

X

4.19

2

5.73

  • Competition: World Cup qualification
  • Date: Sunday, 7th September 2025
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CEST
  • Venue: Stadion Śląski (Chorzów)

On Sunday night in Chorzow, Poland will welcome Finland in the World Cup qualifications. After four rounds, both teams are in contention for the tournament that will be held next year in the USA, Canada, and Mexico. However, bookies see Poland as a significant favorite. Can Finland take at least one point from the upcoming clash? Let's break down the matchup and find out the best betting option for this tie. 

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Finland

    2 : 1

    Poland

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Poland

    5 : 1

    Finland

    Friendly International

  3. Poland

    5 : 0

    Finland

    Friendly International

  4. Poland

    0 : 0

    Finland

    Friendly International

  5. Finland

    0 : 1

    Poland

    Friendly International

  6. Finland

    0 : 0

    Poland

    Euro Qualification

Poland are usually better than Finland, winning three of the last five H2H matches. One game finished with a draw, while the most recent outing, in June, Finland won 2-1. Another interesting fact for the games between these two teams is that the last three matches ended with three or more goals. 

Poland team overview

Poland played in the last five major tournaments in a row, and they hope for another successful World Cup qualification. However, with the Netherlands in the same group, Jan Urban's team will possibly have to search for their luck in the playoffs. Poland currently shares the top spot in the group with the Netherlands and Finland, but the Dutchmen have played one game fewer.

Poland are solid lately with only one defeat in the last five matches. In the most recent outing, they played 1-1 on the road against the Netherlands. The home side dominated as they ended the game with 74% ball possession and eight shots on the goal more than the opponent, but Poland found a way to pick up another point.

Poland drew on Thursday against the group favorite, the Netherlands, and the head coach, Jan Urban, was very satisfied. He said, "There were good moments, and we can definitely be happy with the result. Although there's still room for improvement. We knew the Dutch would dominate many phases of the match. However, it wasn't clear from that fact how many chances they would create. Moreover, there were moments where we came out well with a quick attack, but then we lacked that final, good pass."

Last matches of

  1. Finland

    2 : 1

    Poland

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Poland

    2 : 0

    Moldova

    Friendly International

  3. Poland

    2 : 0

    Malta

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Poland

    1 : 0

    Lithuania

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Poland

    1 : 2

    Scotland

    UEFA Nations League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Lukasz Skorupski

Defenders

  • 5

    Jan Bednarek

  • 3

    Przemyslaw Wisniewski

  • 14

    Jakub Kiwior

Midfielders

  • 2

    Matty Cash

  • 10

    Piotr Zielinski

  • 17

    Bartosz Slisz

  • 21

    Nicola Zalewski

Forwards

  • 20

    Sebastian Szymanski

  • 9

    Robert Lewandowski

  • 13

    Jakub Kaminski

Finland team overview

Finland played in only one major tournament in their football history, the UEFA Euro 2020. Most pundits see them as the third-best team in the World Cup qualification group, but Finland currently shares the top position with the Netherlands and Poland and the fans can't stop dreaming. 

Although Finland have played well so far in the World Cup qualifications, the reality is that they have won only two of the last 13 matches. On Thursday, Finland lost 1-0 on the road in a friendly game against Norway. The home side dominated throughout the match and probably deserved to score at least one more goal. 

Finland's head coach, Jacob Friis, slightly experimented with his squad in the friendly against Norway as Kaan Kairinen and Oliver Antman skipped the match. We should expect both players in the starting lineup on Sunday in Chorzow. 

Last matches of

  1. Finland

    2 : 1

    Poland

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Finland

    0 : 2

    Netherlands

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Lithuania

    2 : 2

    Finland

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Malta

    0 : 1

    Finland

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Finland

    0 : 2

    Greece

    UEFA Nations League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 12

    Viljami Sinisalo

Defenders

  • 5

    Ville Koski

  • 15

    Miro Tenho

  • 4

    Robert Ivanov

Midfielders

  • 13

    Adam Stahl

  • 14

    Kaan Kairinen

  • 6

    Glen Kamara

  • 9

    Fredrik Jensen

Forwards

  • 7

    Oliver Antman

  • 20

    Joel Pohjanpalo

  • 21

    Topi Keskinen

Prediction

Both teams have played mostly low-scoring games lately. Four of the last five Poland matches finished with two or fewer goals. On the other hand, Finland have big problems scoring goals as they scored only five goals in the previous seven games. We shouldn't expect more than two goals on Sunday in Chorzow. 

4 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. Poland allowed only three goals in the last five matches
  2. There were two or fewer goals in four of the previous five Poland games
  3. Finland scored five goals in the last seven matches
  4. There were two or fewer goals in five of the previous seven Finland games

Main prediction -

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

0% winrate

wins

0 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

vs standings in WC Qualification Europe

Group G P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Netherlands 4 3 1 0 14 - 3 +11 10
2 Poland 4 2 1 1 5 - 3 +2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 5 - 5 0 7
4 Lithuania 5 0 3 2 5 - 7 -2 3
5 Malta 5 0 2 3 1 - 12 -11 2

Poland vs Finland – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Poland?

The average xG for Poland in the World Cup qualifications is 2.16.

? How much is the average xG for Finland?

The average xG for Finland in the World Cup qualifications is 1.62.