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Pisa vs AC Milan prediction 13.02.2026 | Serie A

Pisa

Pisa

Kick off:

Date:

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

7.00

X

4.25

2

1.45

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Friday, 13th February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

On Friday evening, two teams with very different objectives this season, Pisa and AC Milan, will face off. Pisa are only looking to survive in the Italian top-flight division, while AC Milan are looking for their 20th Scudetto. These teams come to the game with very different momentum as the Nerazzurri are on a 13-game winless streak, while the Rossoneri will try to extend their unbeaten streak to nine. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for the upcoming Serie A tie.

Pisa vs AC Milan Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. AC Milan

    2 : 2

    Pisa

    Serie A

In the first h2h game this season, these teams drew 2:2 at San Siro. It was a close match in which AC Milan created more goal-scoring chances, but it ended as a fair draw. 

Before that duel this season, these teams met two more times in the 1990/91 season. In those matchups, AC Milan won both games 1:0. That season was Pisa's last appearance in the Serie A before this season.

Pisa

Pisa team overview

Last season, Pisa secured promotion to Serie A, and their only goal was to survive. Unfortunately, that goal isn't going according to plan. Nerazzurri are 19th with 15 points from 24 rounds and are six points away from the safe zone. To be fair, they aren't playing as poorly as the league's standings suggest, but they were simply unlucky in some of the games. 

On 1st February, the club sacked coach Alberto Gilardino due to a poor run of results and appointed Oscar Hiljemark two days later. In his first game, Pisa drew 0:0 with Verona, but were a much better team and objectively deserved all three points. Unfortunately, once again, they played well but failed to secure all three points.

For the upcoming game, the team will miss Marius Marin, who will serve a one-game suspension. Meanwhile, Raul Albiol, Daniel Denoon, Adrian Semper, and Isak Vural should remain sidelined with their injuries. 

Last matches of Pisa

  1. Hellas Verona

    0 : 0

    Pisa

    Serie A

  2. Pisa

    1 : 3

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  3. Inter Milan

    6 : 2

    Pisa

    Serie A

  4. Pisa

    1 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  5. Udinese

    2 : 2

    Pisa

    Serie A

Pisa lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Simone Scuffet

Defenders

  • 5

    Simone Canestrelli

  • 4

    Antonio Caracciolo

  • 2

    Rosen Bozhinov

Midfielders

  • 15

    Idrissa Touré

  • 35

    Felipe Loyola

  • 20

    Michel Aebischer

  • 3

    Samuele Angori

Forwards

  • 32

    Stefano Moreo

  • 81

    Filip Stojilkovic

  • 17

    Rafiu Durosinmi

AC Milan

AC Milan team overview

AC Milan are coming into this season after a terrible last season, failing to even secure a place in Europe. This season, the situation is much different, and the Rossoneri are playing much better. Right now, they are in 2nd place with 50 points - eight points away from the 1st-placed Inter, although with one game played less. While that gap may look significant at first glance, Milan's numbers tell a different story. Napoli won last season's Scudetto with an average of 2.16 points per game, and Milan are currently slightly above that mark at over 2.17 ppg - a clear indication of just how strong their season has been thus far.

After a 3:0 win over Bologna, coach Massimiliano Allegri spoke to the media. He said they played a good technical game and defended well. The coach praised the team for reaching 50 points in 23 rounds. Still, he noted that means little if it does not lead to something bigger this season.

Davide Bartesaghi suffered an injury in the previous game and will most likely miss the upcoming match. Moreover, Alexis Saelemaekers, Christian Pulisic, and Santiago Tomas Gimenez will remain sidelined with their injuries.

Last matches of AC Milan

  1. Bologna

    0 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  2. AS Roma

    1 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  3. AC Milan

    1 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

  4. Como

    1 : 3

    AC Milan

    Serie A

  5. Fiorentina

    1 : 1

    AC Milan

    Serie A

AC Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Mike Maignan

Defenders

  • 46

    Matteo Gabbia

  • 31

    Strahinja Pavlović

  • 5

    Koni De Winter

  • 24

    Zachary Athekame

Midfielders

  • 19

    Youssouf Fofana

  • 12

    Adrien Rabiot

  • 14

    Luka Modrić

  • 8

    Ruben Loftus-Cheek

  • 2

    Pervis Estupiñán

Forwards

  • 18

    Christopher Nkunku

Prediction

Pisa are currently on a 13-game winless streak. In fact, they won just once in 24 Serie A rounds. Additionally, at home, they have had massive problems, winning just one point in the past six matches. Their offense has been atrocious throughout the season, but it was particularly bad at home, where they scored three goals in 12 rounds - 0.25 per game. 

Meanwhile, AC Milan are undefeated in the past eight games. They are also undefeated in all 12 Serie A road matches, winning 7 of those 12 (58%). Rossoneri look like a real title material and shouldn't have problems against struggling Pisa.

Given the difference in form and what we have seen throughout the season, we firmly believe AC Milan should dominate and win by two goals.

3 Reasons why AC Milan should win and cover the -1 AH spread

  1. Pisa won once in 24 rounds
  2. AC Milan are undefeated in 12 Serie A away rounds
  3. AC Milan are undefeated in the past eight games

Main prediction Pisa - AC Milan

AH2 (-1)

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.90

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Pisa vs AC Milan standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 24 19 1 4 57 - 19 +38 58
2 AC Milan 23 14 8 1 38 - 17 +21 50
3 Napoli 24 15 4 5 36 - 23 +13 49
4 Juventus 24 13 7 4 41 - 20 +21 46
5 Roma 24 15 1 8 29 - 14 +15 46
6 Como 23 11 8 4 37 - 16 +21 41
7 Atalanta 24 10 9 5 32 - 21 +11 39
8 Lazio 24 8 9 7 26 - 23 +3 33
9 Udinese 24 9 5 10 27 - 36 -9 32
10 Bologna 24 8 6 10 32 - 31 +1 30
11 Sassuolo 24 8 5 11 27 - 34 -7 29
12 Cagliari 24 7 7 10 28 - 33 -5 28
13 Torino 24 7 6 11 24 - 42 -18 27
14 Parma 24 6 8 10 16 - 30 -14 26
15 Cremonese 24 5 8 11 21 - 33 -12 23
16 Genoa 24 5 8 11 29 - 37 -8 23
17 Lecce 24 5 6 13 15 - 31 -16 21
18 Fiorentina 24 3 9 12 27 - 38 -11 18
19 Pisa 24 1 12 11 19 - 40 -21 15
20 Hellas Verona 24 2 9 13 18 - 41 -23 15

Pisa vs AC Milan – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Pisa this season?

The average xG for Pisa in the Serie A this season is 1.14.

? How much is the average xG for AC Milan this season?

The average xG for AC Milan in the Serie A this season is 1.52.