Paris W vs Real Madrid W prediction 11.02.2026 | Women's Champions League
Kick off:
Date:
1
4.42
X
3.14
2
1.80
Contents
- Competition: Women's Champions League, 1/8 Finals
- Date: Wednesday, 11th February, 2026
- Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
- Venue: Stade Charlety (Paris)
The Women's Champions League knockout phase is about to begin. One of the duels in the 1/8 Finals will see Paris W host Real Madrid W in the first leg in France. The hosts are coming to the game after a big 3:0 loss to PSG W in the domestic league, while Real Madrid W secured a comfortable 3:0 win over Espanyol W in their domestic league.
Let's break down the match and find the best possible bet for the upcoming CL W tie.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Real Madrid W
1 : 1
Paris W
UEFA Women's Champions League
-
Real Madrid W
0 : 1
Paris W
UEFA Women's Champions League
-
Paris W
2 : 1
Real Madrid W
UEFA Women's Champions League
These teams have already met in the league phase, with the match ending 1:1 in Spain. Looking further back, they've met two more times before that draw, back in 2023. The French team managed to win both games.
Regarding the number of goals, one of those three h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored twice.
Paris W team overview
Paris W have been mostly the 3rd-best teams in France, just behind Lyon W and PSG W. Last season, they impressed in the Cup, winning their first major trophy since 2004/05 (when they won as FCF Juvisy before the merger with Paris W). This season, they are around their usual place in the domestic league, sitting in 4th place, just two points behind 2nd-placed Nantes.
In the Champions League, despite reaching the knockout phase, we weren't impressed by their performances. They won their only two matches against Valerenga W and Benfica W, in which the opposing teams received red cards early in the game. Still, they have a right to be optimistic before the game, as they put in their best performance against Real Madrid W in the league phase.
Last matches of
-
Paris W
0 : 3
Paris SG W
Premiere Ligue Women
-
Olympique Marseille W
0 : 3
Paris W
Premiere Ligue Women
-
Saint Malo W
0 : 1
Paris W
Coupe de France Féminine
-
Paris W
0 : 0
OL Lyonnes W
Premiere Ligue Women
-
Paris W
1 : 2
Nantes W
Premiere Ligue Women
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
16
Mylene Chavas
Defenders
-
18
Melween N'Dongala
-
2
Celina Hocine
-
19
Thea Greboval
-
3
Lou Bogaert
Midfielders
-
4
Kaja Korosec
-
11
Sheika Scott
-
24
Anaele Le Moguedec
Forwards
-
15
Hawa Sangare
-
10
Clara Mateo
-
7
Maelle Garbino
Real Madrid W team overview
Real Madrid W are the second-best team in Spain, behind Barcelona. That was the case in the previous seasons, and that is the case again this year. After 19 rounds in Liga F Women, Real Madrid are 2nd with a ten-point deficit to Barcelona W. Recently, it became evident they are (again) not even close to Barcelona's level, as the Catalan team beat them in the Super Cup Finals and eliminated them from the Copa de la Reina with a combined goal difference of 6:0.
However, if we eliminate those games against Barcelona, which seem invincible, Real Madrid are doing a fine job winning 10 of the past 12 games across competitions.
For the duel against Paris W, the bookies see RM W as a massive favorite, offering odds of only 1.12 for their advancement in the Quarter Finals.
Last matches of
-
Real Madrid W
3 : 0
Espanyol W
Primera Division Women
-
Real Madrid W
0 : 4
Barcelona W
Copa de la Reina
-
Deportivo de La Coruña W
2 : 4
Real Madrid W
Primera Division Women
-
Barcelona W
2 : 0
Real Madrid W
Supercopa Femenina
-
Real Madrid W
3 : 1
Atletico Madrid W
Supercopa Femenina
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Misa
Defenders
-
19
Eva Navarro
-
23
Maelle Lakrar
-
14
Maria Mendez
-
12
Yasmim
Midfielders
-
10
Caroline Weir
-
8
Sara Dabritz
-
16
Filippa Angeldal
Forwards
-
7
Athenea del Castillo
-
20
Naomie Feller
-
18
Linda Caicedo
Prediction
Paris W were solid for this type of bet as they went over 2.5 goals in two of the past four games. On the other hand, Real Madrid W were amazing as five of the past six games ended with three or more goals. That was mostly due to their good offensive displays, considering they have scored two or more goals in six of the past nine matches - 67%.
In the first h2h game this season, only a few months ago, we saw a 1:1 draw. However, we saw many chances on both sides for that third goal. We saw a total of 30 goal attempts, and the teams were combined for 4.03 xG. So, it was a miracle we haven't seen another goal.
Considering all the above, an over 2.5 goals bet seems like the best possible bet for this Women's Champions League tie.
3 Reasons why we should see three or more goals
- Paris W scored five goals in the past four games
- Real Madrid W went over 2.5 goals in six of the past seven games
- Real Madrid scored two or more goals in six of the past nine games
Main prediction -
Over 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Melbet
1.83
vs standings in UEFA Women's Champions League
| League Stage | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 - 3 | +17 | 16 |
| 2 | OL Lyonnes W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 - 5 | +13 | 16 |
| 3 | Chelsea W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 - 3 | +17 | 14 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 - 13 | +1 | 13 |
| 5 | Arsenal W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 - 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 6 | Manchester United W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 - 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 7 | Real Madrid W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 - 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 | Juventus W | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 - 8 | +5 | 10 |
| 9 | Wolfsburg W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 - 10 | +3 | 9 |
| 10 | Paris W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 - 9 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Atletico Madrid W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 - 9 | +4 | 7 |
| 12 | OH Leuven W | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 - 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Vålerenga W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 - 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | Roma W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 - 19 | -10 | 4 |
| 15 | FC Twente W | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 - 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | SL Benfica W | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 - 11 | -7 | 2 |
| 17 | Paris SG W | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 - 12 | -8 | 2 |
| 18 | St. Polten W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 - 28 | -25 | 1 |