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Norway vs Estonia prediction 13.11.2025 | World Cup 2026 Qualification

Norway

Norway

Kick off:

Date:

Estonia

Estonia

1

1.02

X

17.00

2

63.00

  • Competition: World Cup 2026 Qualification, Europe
  • Date: 13th November, 2025
  • Kickoff: 17:00 UK / 18:00 CET
  • Venue: Ullevaal

On Thursday, the Norway national football team host Estonia in a crucial fixture of the 2026 FIFA World Cup European Qualifiers (Group I). The match comes with high stakes: Norway are firmly in command of the group and chasing automatic qualification, whereas Estonia are fighting to avoid being written off. With Norway averaging over three goals per game in this campaign and Estonia struggling for consistency, the statistical backdrop suggests a contest tilted heavily in the home side’s favour.

Norway vs Estonia Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Estonia

    0 : 1

    Norway

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Estonia

    0 : 0

    Norway

    Friendly International

  3. Norway

    0 : 1

    Estonia

    Friendly International

Historically, the two sides have met eight times, with Norway registering four wins, Estonia two, and two matches drawn. In their most recent encounter, Norway prevailed 1-0 away in Tallinn in June 2025 - courtesy of a goal from Erling Haaland.

Norway

Norway team overview

Norway’s qualifying campaign has been outstanding. They are currently sitting on a perfect six wins from six matches with a mindblowing goal-difference of +26, scoring 29 and conceding just 3. Their recent results include a 5-0 home win over Israel (October 2025) and an 11-1 demolition of Moldova (September) in which the Manchester City goal machine Haaland scored five. Remarkably, their 1-0 away win against Estonia was the only time Norway scored fewer than three goals in this World Cup 2026 qualification campaign. In the remaining five fixtures, Ståle Solbakken’s men scored three or more, including a 3-0 home win over the four-time World Cup winners, Italy.

In their June away win at Estonia they dominated the statistical matrix: 62% possession, 19 total shots vs 7, with three on target against two for Estonia. 

On the injury front Norway must manage the absence of long-term midfield influence. Captain and playmaker Martin Ødegaard is out of the squad due to a medial collateral ligament injury in his left knee and will not feature.

Last matches of Norway

  1. Norway

    1 : 1

    New Zealand

    Friendly International

  2. Norway

    5 : 0

    Israel

    WC Qualification Europe

  3. Norway

    11 : 1

    Moldova

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Norway

    1 : 0

    Finland

    Friendly International

  5. Estonia

    0 : 1

    Norway

    WC Qualification Europe

Norway lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Ørjan Nyland

Defenders

  • 14

    Julian Ryerson

  • 3

    Kristoffer Ajer

  • 17

    Torbjørn Heggem

  • 5

    David Möller Wolfe

Midfielders

  • 8

    Sander Berge

  • 6

    Patrick Berg

  • 20

    Antonio Nusa

  • 22

    Oscar Bobb

Forwards

  • 7

    Alexander Sørloth

  • 9

    Erling Haaland

Estonia

Estonia team overview

Estonia’s qualifying journey has been much more challenging. They have managed only one win and one draw in seven Group I matches, accumulating just four points and registering a goal-difference of -10 (seven scored, 17 conceded). Their away form is even worse: in qualifying they average fewer than one point per game in away fixtures. Estonia’s only win in the qualifying campaign so far came away to Moldova, where Jurgen Henn’s men scored nearly half of their total goals in the entire World Cup qualification, defeating the Moldovans 3-2 in a match that saw a player sent off for each side.

In terms of personnel news, the Estonian squad will be missing midfielder Mattias Käit (broken toe) and defender Maksim Paskotši (ankle injury) for this match.

Last matches of Estonia

  1. Estonia

    1 : 1

    Moldova

    WC Qualification Europe

  2. Estonia

    0 : 0

    Andorra

    Friendly International

  3. Italy

    5 : 0

    Estonia

    WC Qualification Europe

  4. Estonia

    0 : 1

    Norway

    WC Qualification Europe

  5. Estonia

    1 : 3

    Israel

    WC Qualification Europe

Estonia lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Karl Hein

Defenders

  • 19

    Michael Schjønning-Larsen

  • 3

    Maksim Paskotsi

  • 18

    Karol Mets

  • 23

    Vlasiy Sinyavskiy

Midfielders

  • 4

    Mattias Käit

  • 8

    Markus Soomets

  • 9

    Ioan Yakovlev

  • 7

    Robi Saarma

Forwards

  • 14

    Patrik Kristal

  • 15

    Rauno Sappinen

Prediction

Given Norway’s dominant statistical profile, attacking firepower and superior defensive record, they enter this fixture as overwhelming favourites. Estonia’s injury list and poor away record compound the difficulty of the task. A reasonable forecast is a comfortable home win for Norway, likely with multiple goals and a clean sheet - Norway have kept clean sheets in three of their last four matches. 

Prediction: Over 3.5 Goals

Three reasons we expect Over 3.5 Goals

  1. Norway have averaged 4.3 goals per game in home matches and 4.0 goals overall across their last 10 international fixtures.
  2. In this World Cup 2026 qualification campaign, Norway have averaged 4.8 goals per game - scoring 26 times in six qualifiers.
  3. Over 3.5 goals have been scored in 60% of Norway’s World Cup qualifying matches.

Main prediction Norway - Estonia

Over 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Best Odds:

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1.38

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Norway vs Estonia standings in WC Qualification Europe

Group I P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Norway 6 6 0 0 29 - 3 +26 18
2 Italy 6 5 0 1 18 - 8 +10 15
3 Israel 7 3 0 4 15 - 19 -4 9
4 Estonia 7 1 1 5 7 - 17 -10 4
5 Moldova 6 0 1 5 4 - 26 -22 1

Norway vs Estonia – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Norway take on Estonia on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Norway have won in the World Cup 2026 Qualification?

5.0

? What is the average number of corners Estonia have won in the World Cup 2026 Qualification?

2.4