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Newcastle vs Manchester United prediction 04.03.2026 | Premier League

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

Kick off:

Date:

Manchester United

Manchester United

1

2.60

X

3.50

2

2.62

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Wednesday, 4th March 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:15 UK / 21:15 CET
  • Venue: St. James' Park (Newcastle)

Newcastle will be the stage for one of the standout derbies of the upcoming Premier League round, as the Magpies host Manchester United. Although there was a lot of criticism of another Red Devils season, they are actually on course to return to the Champions League, and a potential victory at St. James' Park would be another step toward that goal. Let's break down the match and find the best betting options. 

Newcastle United vs Manchester United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Manchester United

    1 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  2. Newcastle United

    4 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  3. Manchester United

    0 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Manchester United

    3 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  5. Newcastle United

    1 : 0

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  6. Manchester United

    0 : 3

    Newcastle United

    Carabao Cup

Newcastle were more successful than Manchester United in recent years, winning five of the last seven H2H matches, while the Red Devils triumphed twice. In the only meeting this season, Manchester United won 1-0. 

Newcastle United

Newcastle team overview

Newcastle have a terrible season. Although being one of the wealthiest teams in the Premier League, the Magpies are far from the desired level, as they seem stuck in mid-table. Newcastle didn't play well lately as they lost two of the last three matches across all competitions. In the most recent outing, Eddie Howe's team lost 3-2 at home against Everton. The home side dominated ball possession and had significantly more shots on goal, but the guests' efficiency left Newcastle empty-handed.

Newcastle's manager, Eddie Howe, was disappointed after last weekend's defeat to Everton. He said, "I felt attacking-wise, we could still do loads better today. But we had enough ball around their box. We had enough crossing opportunities, half-chances, and Sandro's volley hit the end. It could have been a very different result again. But we're just making too many individual errors. It's costing us goals at the other end. We can't do that at this level."

Newcastle have some problems with injuries. On Wednesday night, they will be without Emil Krafth, Bruno Guimaraes, Fabian Schar, Lewis Miley, and Valentino Livramento. Also, Jacob Ramsey is questionable.

Last matches of Newcastle United

  1. Newcastle United

    2 : 3

    Everton

    Premier League

  2. Newcastle United

    3 : 2

    Qarabag FK

    Champions League

  3. Manchester City

    2 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Qarabag FK

    1 : 6

    Newcastle United

    Champions League

  5. Aston Villa

    1 : 3

    Newcastle United

    FA Cup

Newcastle United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Nick Pope

Defenders

  • 2

    Kieran Trippier

  • 12

    Malick Thiaw

  • 33

    Dan Burn

  • 3

    Lewis Hall

Midfielders

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

  • 27

    Nick Woltemade

  • 28

    Joe Willock

Forwards

  • 20

    Anthony Elanga

  • 10

    Anthony Gordon

  • 7

    Joelinton

Manchester United

Manchester United team overview

After finishing in 15th position in the Premier League last season, Manchester United improved dramatically in the current campaign. They are third in the standings, and it will not be surprising if the Red Devils return to the Champions League. The last few weeks were excellent for Manchester United, as Michael Carrick's team won six of the last seven matches. In the previous game, they won 2-1 at home against Crystal Palace. The hosts ended with xG of 2.16, while the guests had only 0.39, so anything other than Manchester United's victory would be undeserved. 

Everything changed for Manchester United when Michael Carrick came. With him in charge, the Red Devils won six of seven matches. There is a lot of optimism around the squad, and with the way the team is playing, it wouldn't be surprising if the board offers him a permanent job beyond the current campaign. 

Matthijs de Ligt, Patrick Dorgu, and Mason Mount are unavailable for the trip to St. James' Park. Luke Shaw, Harry Maguire, and Lisandro Martinez have some problems, too, but they could recover in time for Wednesday night. 

Last matches of Manchester United

  1. Manchester United

    2 : 1

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  2. Everton

    0 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  3. West Ham United

    1 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  4. Manchester United

    2 : 0

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  5. Manchester United

    3 : 2

    Fulham

    Premier League

Manchester United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Senne Lammens

Defenders

  • 2

    Diogo Dalot

  • 15

    Leny Yoro

  • 26

    Ayden Heaven

  • 3

    Noussair Mazraoui

Midfielders

  • 18

    Casemiro

  • 8

    Bruno Fernandes

  • 37

    Kobbie Mainoo

Forwards

  • 19

    Bryan Mbeumo

  • 30

    Benjamin Sesko

  • 10

    Matheus Cunha

Prediction

Newcastle lost two of the last three matches across all competitions. On the other hand, Manchester United won six of seven games with Michael Carrick in charge. Although the Red Devils didn't have too many successes at St. James' Park in recent years, they should be closer to victory on Wednesday night. 

5 Reasons why Manchester United should win against Newcastle

  1. Newcastle lost two of the last three matches
  2. Newcastle conceded seven goals in the previous three games
  3. Manchester United won six of the last seven matches
  4. Manchester United scored 14 goals in the previous seven games
  5. Manchester United won 1-0 in the only meeting with Newcastle this season

Main prediction Newcastle United - Manchester United

AH2 (0)

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

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2.00

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Newcastle United vs Manchester United standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 29 19 7 3 58 - 22 +36 64
2 Manchester City 28 18 5 5 57 - 25 +32 59
3 Manchester United 28 14 9 5 50 - 38 +12 51
4 Aston Villa 28 15 6 7 38 - 30 +8 51
5 Liverpool 28 14 6 8 47 - 37 +10 48
6 Chelsea 28 12 9 7 49 - 33 +16 45
7 Brentford 28 13 4 11 44 - 40 +4 43
8 Everton 28 11 7 10 32 - 33 -1 40
9 Fulham 28 12 4 12 40 - 42 -2 40
10 AFC Bournemouth 28 9 12 7 44 - 46 -2 39
11 Brighton & Hove Albion 28 9 10 9 38 - 35 +3 37
12 Sunderland 28 9 10 9 29 - 34 -5 37
13 Newcastle United 28 10 6 12 40 - 42 -2 36
14 Crystal Palace 28 9 8 11 30 - 34 -4 35
15 Leeds United 28 7 10 11 37 - 47 -10 31
16 Tottenham Hotspur 28 7 8 13 38 - 43 -5 29
17 Nottingham Forest 28 7 6 15 26 - 41 -15 27
18 West Ham United 28 6 7 15 34 - 54 -20 25
19 Burnley 28 4 7 17 32 - 56 -24 19
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 29 2 7 20 20 - 51 -31 13

Newcastle vs Manchester United – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Newcastle this season?

The average xG for Newcastle in the Premier League this season is 1.59.

? How much is the average xG for Manchester United this season?

The average xG for Manchester United in the Premier League this season is 1.78.