Newcastle vs Leeds prediction 07.01.2026 | English Premier League

Newcastle enter this match having achieved a 2-0 home victory over Crystal Palace in their most recent outing, a performance built on goals from Bruno Guimarães and Malick Thiaw and a consolidated defensive shape. This win followed a mixed run of results, reflecting three wins, two losses and one draw from their last six matches across competitions. Back-to-back victories against Burnley and Palace have lifted the Magpies within touching distance of the Champions League places - Eddie Howe’s men are currently sitting just five points below Liverpool.

At home, Newcastle typically perform better; their attacking output and set-piece effectiveness are notable, averaging more corners and demonstrating above-average goal production relative to Leeds. Injury concerns persist - particularly in defensive and midfield areas - and squad rotation is possible given Newcastle’s involvement in cup competitions. While some key players have returned from injury, potential absences could affect tactical decisions. Dan Burn and William Osula are the most notable absences ahead of Wednesday.

Leeds United’s recent form suggests consistency rather than dominance: they remain undefeated in their last seven matches across competitions, including draws with Manchester United and Liverpool, and a series of competitive results that highlight solidity in defence and opportunistic attacking play. In the most recent Premier League fixture, Leeds drew 1-1 with Manchester United, with Brenden Aaronson on the scoresheet. 

Statistically, Leeds have scored an average of around 1.22 goals per match this season while conceding slightly more, reflecting a natural tendency toward open games that often feature goals but also defensive vulnerability. Their recent matches have seen a relative decline in scoring frequency, with under 2.5 goals in the majority of recent fixtures.

Daniel James and Joe Rodon are the only two players missing through injury, which should not significantly alter Daniel Farke’s starting XI selection.