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Newcastle vs Bournemouth prediction 10.01.2026 | FA Cup

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

Kick off:

Date:

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

1

1.85

X

3.98

2

4.20

  • Competition: FA Cup
  • Date: 10th January, 2026
  • Kickoff: 15:00 UK / 16:00 CET
  • Venue: St James' Park

The FA Cup Third Round fixture sets up a compelling battle between the two Premier League sides as Newcastle United host Bournemouth. As one of English football’s oldest and most prestigious knockout competitions, the FA Cup often produces unpredictable outcomes, and this tie is no exception. Newcastle - also competing in European competition - carry momentum into the new year, while Bournemouth arrive with mixed form amid a challenging Premier League season.

Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. AFC Bournemouth

    0 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  2. Newcastle United

    1 : 4

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  3. AFC Bournemouth

    1 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Newcastle United

    2 : 2

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  5. AFC Bournemouth

    2 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  6. AFC Bournemouth

    1 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

The head-to-head record between Newcastle and Bournemouth reflects a reasonably balanced history. Across 22 competitive meetings, both sides have registered seven wins each, with eight draws. In recent seasons, Bournemouth have had the upper hand in this fixture: Newcastle are currently winless in six head-to-head meetings across all competitions, during which the Cherries have recorded two wins.

Newcastle United

Newcastle team overview

Newcastle enter this FA Cup tie with positive momentum and a strong recent run of results. Eddie Howe’s men will be notably buoyed after a thrilling 4-3 injury-time Premier League victory over Leeds on Wednesday, a result that leaves them just two points adrift of the Champions League places.

In their last six competitive matches, the Magpies have recorded four wins, one draw and one defeat across Premier League and cup competitions, highlighting some inconsistency but also a consistent scoring threat. Overall, Newcastle have gathered momentum at an important moment ahead of their FA Cup campaign, having won three successive league matches and, most importantly, recorded back-to-back home victories at St James’ Park.

Defensively, Newcastle have conceded in the majority of recent games, and centre-back Fabian Schär suffered an ankle injury against Leeds, which could affect selection depending on his fitness. Bournemouth have historically scored in many of their meetings with Newcastle, suggesting that defensive solidity will be a key focus for Howe’s side.

Last matches of Newcastle United

  1. Newcastle United

    4 : 3

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  2. Newcastle United

    2 : 0

    Crystal Palace

    Premier League

  3. Burnley

    1 : 3

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Manchester United

    1 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  5. Newcastle United

    2 : 2

    Chelsea

    Premier League

Newcastle United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Nick Pope

Defenders

  • 67

    Lewis Miley

  • 12

    Malick Thiaw

  • 41

    Jacob Ramsey

  • 3

    Lewis Hall

Midfielders

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

  • 7

    Joelinton

  • 39

    Bruno Guimarães

Forwards

  • 10

    Anthony Gordon

  • 11

    Harvey Barnes

  • 27

    Nick Woltemade

AFC Bournemouth

Bournemouth team overview

Bournemouth’s recent form has been mixed, with only sporadic victories in Premier League action. However, their most recent league win was a dramatic one: Antoine Semenyo, in what proved to be his final appearance for the Cherries, secured all three points with a last-gasp injury-time winner against Tottenham, bringing an end to their 11-game winless run in the Premier League.

Despite that prolonged winless spell prior to Wednesday night’s late victory over Spurs, Bournemouth collected five draws and remained reasonably competitive in the majority of their matches. They possess sufficient attacking quality to score on a regular basis - averaging 1.6 goals per Premier League game - but have also been fragile defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in six successive league outings.

Bournemouth’s squad stability is now in question, however. Winger Antoine Semenyo is set to depart in the January transfer window, while forward Justin Kluivert is scheduled to undergo knee surgery, potentially limiting their attacking options for this FA Cup tie. These absences could reduce Bournemouth’s goal threat and necessitate tactical adjustments.

Last matches of AFC Bournemouth

  1. AFC Bournemouth

    3 : 2

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  2. AFC Bournemouth

    2 : 3

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  3. Chelsea

    2 : 2

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  4. Brentford

    4 : 1

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  5. AFC Bournemouth

    1 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

AFC Bournemouth lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Đorđe Petrović

Defenders

  • 20

    Álex Jiménez

  • 23

    James Hill

  • 5

    Marcos Senesi

  • 3

    Adrien Truffert

Midfielders

  • 4

    Lewis Cook

  • 8

    Alex Scott

  • 22

    Eli Junior Kroupi

Forwards

  • 16

    Marcus Tavernier

  • 7

    David Brooks

  • 9

    Evanilson

Prediction

Statistical trends point toward an open and competitive FA Cup tie. Newcastle’s stronger recent form, higher scoring average at home, and familiarity with cup competition give them a slight edge. Bournemouth’s attacking potential is notable but impaired by squad uncertainty and defensive inconsistency. As both sides tend to concede and seek goals, a match with multiple goals is a realistic expectation.

Prediction: Both Teams to Score (BTTS).

Three reasons we expect BTTS

  1. BTTS has been the outcome in Bournemouth’s last six Premier League fixtures.
  2. BTTS has landed in four of Newcastle’s last six games across all competitions.
  3. Both teams have scored in three of the last four direct meetings between Newcastle and Bournemouth.

Main prediction Newcastle United - AFC Bournemouth

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

Best Odds:

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1.60

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Newcastle vs Bournemouth – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Newcastle take on Bournemouth on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Newcastle have won in the Premier League 2025/26?

6.4

? What is the average number of corners Bournemouth have won in the Premier League 2025/26?

5.7