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Newcastle United vs Sunderland prediction 22.03.2026 | Premier League

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

Kick off:

Date:

Sunderland

Sunderland

1

1.74

X

4.12

2

5.08

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: 22nd March 2026
  • Kick-off: 12:00 UK / 13:00 CET
  • Venue: James Park

The Tyne-Wear derby rolls around again, and you can almost feel the buzz already. Newcastle sit ninth, Sunderland 13th, only two points apart but in a derby, those numbers seem larger. On paper, the Magpies look stronger at St James’ Park. Yet the Black Cats took the earlier fixture this season, and such wins tend to stick in the mind. Factor in the usual electric atmosphere, and predicting a straightforward result feels risky. Newcastle have a small edge, sure, but derbies rarely hand anything over without a fight.

Newcastle United vs Sunderland Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Sunderland

    1 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  2. Sunderland

    0 : 3

    Newcastle United

    FA Cup

  3. Newcastle United

    1 : 1

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  4. Sunderland

    3 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  5. Sunderland

    1 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  6. Newcastle United

    0 : 1

    Sunderland

    Premier League

Since 2012, Newcastle and the Black Cats have met 12 times. Sunderland have taken six wins, the Magpies just two. Four ended even. Goals have been scarce, averaging less than two per game, so expect another tight affair.

Newcastle United

Newcastle United team overview

Newcastle come into this after a difficult European night, and it still feels fresh. The Magpies drew 2-2 early against Barcelona before things slipped badly, eventually losing heavily and exiting the competition.

That kind of result can linger, even if players say otherwise. Domestically, Eddie Howe’s side have not quite found rhythm either, sitting 9th and already out of both domestic cups. Still, the gap to the top six is only six points, so the season is not gone.

At home, there is some comfort. Newcastle have lost just once in their last five at St James’ Park, including a gritty win over Manchester United with ten men.

Anthony Elanga should keep his place after scoring twice in midweek. Tino Livramento and Yoane Wissa are pushing for starts. Fabian Schär, Bruno Guimarães, Emil Krafth, and Lewis Miley remain unavailable.

Last matches of Newcastle United

  1. FC Barcelona

    7 : 2

    Newcastle United

    Champions League

  2. Chelsea

    0 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  3. Newcastle United

    1 : 1

    FC Barcelona

    Champions League

  4. Newcastle United

    1 : 3

    Manchester City

    FA Cup

  5. Newcastle United

    2 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

Newcastle United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 32

    Aaron Ramsdale

Defenders

  • 21

    Tino Livramento

  • 12

    Malick Thiaw

  • 33

    Dan Burn

  • 3

    Lewis Hall

Midfielders

  • 7

    Joelinton

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

  • 41

    Jacob Ramsey

Forwards

  • 10

    Anthony Gordon

  • 27

    Nick Woltemade

  • 20

    Anthony Elanga

Sunderland

Sunderland team overview

Sunderland’s return to the Premier League has been more convincing than many expected. The Black Cats, fresh from promotion, have picked up 40 points from 30 matches, which gives them a useful cushion above trouble.

That said, form has dipped slightly. Régis Le Bris’ side arrive after two narrow 1-0 defeats, and you can sense a small drop in momentum. Away from home, however, things look steadier.

Sunderland have lost just one of their last four away matches, picking up two wins and a draw in that spell. That suggests a team comfortable playing on the counter.

Brian Brobbey, with five goals, is expected to lead the line, supported by Chemsdine Talbi and Chris Rigg. Injuries could play a role though. Bertrand Traoré, Reinildo Mandava, Romaine Mundle, Robin Roefs, and Enzo Le Fée are all unavailable.

Last matches of Sunderland

  1. Sunderland

    0 : 1

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  2. Port Vale

    1 : 0

    Sunderland

    FA Cup

  3. Leeds United

    0 : 1

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  4. AFC Bournemouth

    1 : 1

    Sunderland

    Premier League

  5. Sunderland

    1 : 3

    Fulham

    Premier League

Sunderland lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Melker Ellborg

Defenders

  • 6

    Lutsharel Geertruida

  • 5

    Daniel Ballard

  • 15

    Omar Alderete

  • 32

    Trai Hume

Midfielders

  • 27

    Noah Sadiki

  • 19

    Habib Diarra

  • 34

    Granit Xhaka

Forwards

  • 7

    Chemsdine Talbi

  • 9

    Brian Brobbey

  • 11

    Chris Rigg

Prediction

Newcastle could edge this, though nothing feels certain. The Magpies have been solid at St James’ Park, losing just once in their last five home games. Sunderland are struggling to score, coming off two 1-0 defeats. Historically, these derbies are tight, so a narrow 1-0 home victory seems like a fair guess.

Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Sunderland have conceded more than once just twice in their last nine matches.
  2. 13 of the last 15 meetings between Newcastle and Sunderland ended with under 2.5 goals.
  3. Six of the last seven games of Sunderland ended with under 2.5 goals.

Main prediction Newcastle United - Sunderland

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

4 wins in a row

Football betting expert with a background in data science and statistical modeling.

Best Odds:

1xBet

2.02

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Newcastle United vs Sunderland standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 31 21 7 3 61 - 22 +39 70
2 Manchester City 30 18 7 5 60 - 28 +32 61
3 Manchester United 31 15 10 6 56 - 43 +13 55
4 Aston Villa 30 15 6 9 40 - 37 +3 51
5 Liverpool 30 14 7 9 49 - 40 +9 49
6 Chelsea 30 13 9 8 53 - 35 +18 48
7 Brentford 30 13 6 11 46 - 42 +4 45
8 Everton 30 12 7 11 34 - 35 -1 43
9 Newcastle United 30 12 6 12 43 - 43 0 42
10 AFC Bournemouth 31 9 15 7 46 - 48 -2 42
11 Fulham 30 12 5 13 40 - 43 -3 41
12 Brighton & Hove Albion 30 10 10 10 39 - 36 +3 40
13 Sunderland 30 10 10 10 30 - 35 -5 40
14 Crystal Palace 30 10 9 11 33 - 35 -2 39
15 Leeds United 30 7 11 12 37 - 48 -11 32
16 Tottenham Hotspur 30 7 9 14 40 - 47 -7 30
17 Nottingham Forest 30 7 8 15 28 - 43 -15 29
18 West Ham United 30 7 8 15 36 - 55 -19 29
19 Burnley 30 4 8 18 32 - 58 -26 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 31 3 8 20 24 - 54 -30 17

Newcastle United vs Sunderland – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Sunday’s Premier League contest⁠ between Newcastle and Sunderland.

? What⁠ is Newcastle United’s average number⁠ of corners in their league home matches this season?

7.07

? What is Sunderland’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in their Premier League away encounters this season?

0.87