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Newcastle United vs Aston Villa prediction 25.01.2026 | Premier League

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

Kick off:

Date:

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1

2.06

X

3.80

2

3.74

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: 25th January 2026
  • Kick-off: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CET
  • Venue: James Park

Sunday afternoon brings a game that feels trickier than the table suggests. Newcastle want to build a bit of momentum at last, while Aston Villa arrive looking every inch a top-two side. Ten points separate them, yes, but St James’ Park has a habit of bending logic. You can see why the odds feel undecided. Let’s talk through form, context, and where this might land.

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Aston Villa

    0 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  2. Newcastle United

    3 : 0

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  3. Aston Villa

    1 : 3

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  4. Newcastle United

    5 : 1

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  5. Newcastle United

    3 : 3

    Aston Villa

    Premier League Summer Series

  6. Aston Villa

    3 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

Since 2021, these two have crossed paths 12 times in all competitions. The Magpies hold a narrow edge with five wins, while Villa have four. Three ended level. Goals tend to show up too, with an average just north of three per game, which already hints at chaos.

Newcastle United

Newcastle United team overview

It has been a stop-start few weeks for Newcastle. A League Cup defeat to City and a flat draw followed, and confidence looked thin. Then came PSV. Suddenly the tempo was back.

Eddie Howe’s side flew out of the blocks, scored twice inside half an hour, added a third later, and actually enjoyed defending for once.

That win matters. The Magpies have now taken three victories from their last five home games, scoring freely in a couple of them. History helps as well. Twelve of Newcastle’s last 13 wins against Villa came on this ground, which supporters will happily remind you of.

Anthony Gordon is growing into a leader here. His latest goal took him to eight for the season, and he should start alongside Wissa, who opened his European account midweek.

Injuries remain a concern, though. Lascelles, Krafth, Livramento, Burn, Murphy, and Schär are all sidelined, which leaves the back line feeling patched together.

Last matches of Newcastle United

  1. Newcastle United

    3 : 0

    PSV Eindhoven

    Champions League

  2. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    0 : 0

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  3. Newcastle United

    0 : 2

    Manchester City

    Carabao Cup

  4. Newcastle United

    7 : 6

    AFC Bournemouth

    FA Cup

  5. Newcastle United

    4 : 3

    Leeds United

    Premier League

Newcastle United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Nick Pope

Defenders

  • 2

    Kieran Trippier

  • 12

    Malick Thiaw

  • 4

    Sven Botman

  • 3

    Lewis Hall

Midfielders

  • 39

    Bruno Guimarães

  • 8

    Sandro Tonali

  • 7

    Joelinton

Forwards

  • 11

    Harvey Barnes

  • 9

    Yoane Wissa

  • 10

    Anthony Gordon

Aston Villa

Aston Villa team overview

Villa keep winning, almost casually. A 2–0 success over Fenerbahce in midweek sealed automatic progression in Europe and stretched their run to 14 wins in 17 games across all competitions. That is serious form.

Still, Unai Emery will have noticed something. Two of the three games Villa failed to win during that run came away from home. It is not a flaw, exactly, but it is a reminder.

Ollie Watkins continues to carry the attacking load and his seven league goals keep him nailed on up front. There was a strange moment in midweek involving Emery and Tielemans, a bit too animated for comfort.

The club insists it is settled, and it probably is, though it adds a slight edge to an already intense fixture. Barkley and Kamara remain out, while Leon Bailey is a doubt.

Last matches of Aston Villa

  1. Fenerbahce

    0 : 1

    Aston Villa

    Europa League

  2. Aston Villa

    0 : 1

    Everton

    Premier League

  3. Tottenham Hotspur

    1 : 2

    Aston Villa

    FA Cup

  4. Crystal Palace

    0 : 0

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  5. Aston Villa

    3 : 1

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

Aston Villa lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Emiliano Martínez

Defenders

  • 2

    Matty Cash

  • 4

    Ezri Konsa

  • 14

    Pau Torres

  • 22

    Ian Maatsen

Midfielders

  • 26

    Lamare Bogarde

  • 27

    Morgan Rogers

  • 8

    Youri Tielemans

Forwards

  • 7

    John McGinn

  • 11

    Ollie Watkins

  • 10

    Emi Buendía

Prediction

Newcastle look capable of edging this at St James’ Park. The Magpies have won three of their last five home games and beaten Aston Villa in 12 of the last 13 home meetings. Villa arrive in great form, but two of their last three non-wins came away. A tight 2–1 home victory feels plausible.

Three reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Seven of the last eight meetings between Newcastle and Aston Villa ended with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Nine of the last 12 games of Aston Villa produced three or more goals.
  3. Bets on over 2.5 goals won in six of the last ten games of Newcastle United.

Main prediction Newcastle United - Aston Villa

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

1 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.73

Bet here

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 22 15 5 2 40 - 14 +26 50
2 Manchester City 22 13 4 5 45 - 21 +24 43
3 Aston Villa 22 13 4 5 33 - 25 +8 43
4 Liverpool 22 10 6 6 33 - 29 +4 36
5 Manchester United 22 9 8 5 38 - 32 +6 35
6 Chelsea 22 9 7 6 36 - 24 +12 34
7 Brentford 22 10 3 9 35 - 30 +5 33
8 Newcastle United 22 9 6 7 32 - 27 +5 33
9 Sunderland 22 8 9 5 23 - 23 0 33
10 Everton 22 9 5 8 24 - 25 -1 32
11 Fulham 22 9 4 9 30 - 31 -1 31
12 Brighton & Hove Albion 22 7 9 6 32 - 29 +3 30
13 Crystal Palace 22 7 7 8 23 - 25 -2 28
14 Tottenham Hotspur 22 7 6 9 31 - 29 +2 27
15 AFC Bournemouth 22 6 9 7 35 - 41 -6 27
16 Leeds United 22 6 7 9 30 - 37 -7 25
17 Nottingham Forest 22 6 4 12 21 - 34 -13 22
18 West Ham United 22 4 5 13 24 - 44 -20 17
19 Burnley 22 3 5 14 23 - 42 -19 14
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 22 1 5 16 15 - 41 -26 8

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Sunday’s Premier League contest⁠ between Newcastle United and Aston Villa.

? What⁠ is Aston Villa’s average number⁠ of corners in their away league matches this season?

5.50

? What is Newcastle United’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in their Premier League encounters this season?

1.80