Napoli vs Chelsea prediction 28.01.2026 | UEFA Champions League

Napoli’s Champions League campaign this season has been inconsistent, reflected in their results and underlying metrics. After a 1-1 draw with Copenhagen in their most recent European outing, Napoli remain under pressure to convert performances into wins if they are to advance to the playoffs. Recent domestic form has also been mixed, with a heavy 3-0 defeat to Juventus in Serie A at the weekend, which also highlighted fitness and availability issues in the squad, including absences for key players such as Kevin De Bruyne, David Neres, and others due to injury.

At home, they have been particularly competitive in games with multiple goal events, indicating an ability to contribute to open, end-to-end matches. Napoli also tend to concede more than one goal per game at home, pointing to defensive vulnerabilities when under sustained pressure. Antonio Conte’s men remain unbeaten at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Europe this season, which should give the reigning Serie A champions much needed confidence ahead of a crucial clash on Wednesday.

Key midfielder Scott McTominay has been influential in Napoli’s Champions League attacking output, contributing important goals, and maintaining a scoring presence despite limited opportunities.

Chelsea arrive in Naples with momentum, having won their most recent Premier League fixture over Crystal Palace and securing a 1-0 Champions League victory over Pafos, lifting them up the group standings. Under new head coach Liam Rosenior, Chelsea have shown signs of improved consistency, recording four victories in their last five matches across competitions.

Their defensive record in European competition has been tighter than in domestic play, with two clean sheets in recent three outings. Midfield dynamism from Moisés Caicedo and creativity from Estêvão and Enzo Fernández have supported much of Chelsea’s go-forward threat.

Chelsea’s goal production on the road has been notable, with a significant portion of away matches seeing both teams score, suggesting an unpredictable but attacking approach when playing away from Stamford Bridge.