Contents
- Competition: Copa Sudamericana
- Date: Tuesday, 6th May, 2025
- Kickoff: 23:00 UK / 00:00 CEST
- Venue: Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte (Potosí)
On the night between Tuesday and Wednesday, National Potosi from Bolivia will welcome Paraguayan Guarani in the fourth round of the Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Víctor Agustín Ugarte in Potosí.
National Potosi finished between fourth and sixth place in the last three seasons and is definitely not among the best teams in Bolivia. This year, they had a pretty bad start, considering they sit in 12th place with just four points in the first five rounds. When it comes to the Copa Sudamericana, Nacional Potosi won three points in three rounds and are in third place. In order to have a chance of securing the next stage for only the second time ever, they have to secure a positive result in this home game.
Guarani, an 11-time Paraguayan champ, finished the previous Clausura in second place, just behind Olimpia Asuncion. This year, in the Apertura, they are doing a good job as they are in second place, with 32 points from 17 rounds - three points away from the first-placed Libertad Asuncion, but with a game played more. In the Copa Sudamericana, the popular "Chiefs" had an excellent start, winning seven points in the first three rounds, and a potential win would put them in a great position to secure the next stage of the competition.
Nacional Potosi vs Guarani pick: Both teams to score
Bolivian teams are notorious for their home pitch advantage, and Nacional Potosi is no different. We could see that in the first game of the group stage when they beat Independiente 2:0. If we look further at their home games, we can see that they scored at least a goal in 19 of the last 20 games. Meanwhile, we do not trust their defense, especially after allowing two goals per game in six of the previous seven games.
Guarani are in excellent form, having won four in a row and scoring 10 goals - 2.5 per game. So, we feel confident in their offense against struggling Nacional Potosi. And away from home, they are scoring pretty much constantly, considering they did so in four of the last five - 80%.
In the first h2h game, we saw a 2:0 win for Guarani, but Nacional Potosi had their chances and absolutely deserved at least one goal. They had 19 goal attempts and 2.04 xG!
Considering all the above, we believe that both teams to score is the best option for this Copa Sudamericana tie.
Nacional Potosí vs Guaraní Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Guaraní
2 : 0
Nacional Potosí
Copa Sudamericana
Nacional Potosí team news
In the previous Copa Sudamericana game against Boston River, attacking winger Duban Palace received a red card and will serve his one-game suspension against Guarani. However, he is not one of the key pieces for this team, and his absence shouldn't be a massive factor. The 28-year-old is yet to score and has assisted twice in nine games this season.
Last matches of Nacional Potosí
-
Blooming
2 : 0
Nacional Potosí
Copa de la División Profesional
-
Nacional Potosí
1 : 2
Wilstermann
Liga De Futbol Prof
-
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2 : 2
Nacional Potosí
Liga De Futbol Prof
-
Guaraní
2 : 0
Nacional Potosí
Copa Sudamericana
-
The Strongest
2 : 0
Nacional Potosí
Liga De Futbol Prof
Nacional Potosí lineup
Goalkeeper
-
23
Pedro Galindo
Defenders
-
7
Saul Torres
-
26
Santiago Echeverria
-
33
Luis Demiquel
-
16
Andres Torrico
Midfielders
-
11
Jorge Rojas
-
22
Diego Hoyos
-
15
Jhojan Arce Pari
-
17
Saulo Guerra
Forwards
-
19
Victor Abrego
-
20
Martin Prost
Guaraní team news
After a 3:0 over Recoleta, coach Francisco Arce spoke to the media. He was delighted with a win because they closed the gap between them and the first-placed Libertad Asuncion. Still, the coach mostly spoke about the referees because he had some negative comments about referee Carlos Paúl Benítez prior to the game. This time, the coach had no complaints after the match and said that "even Benitez" had a good game.
Last matches of Guaraní
-
Guaraní
2 : 0
Nacional Potosí
Copa Sudamericana
-
Guaraní
2 : 1
Olimpia
Division 1
-
Guaraní
1 : 3
Deportivo Recoleta
Division 1
-
Nacional Asunción
1 : 2
Guaraní
Division 1
-
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Guaraní
Division 1
Guaraní lineup
Goalkeeper
-
12
Martin Rodriguez
Defenders
-
37
Daniel Perez
-
5
Mario Lopez
-
14
Gustavo Vargas
-
20
Alexandro Maidana
Midfielders
-
2
Alcides Javier Benitez Cabrera
-
7
Agustin Manzur
-
36
Luis Martinez
-
32
Alexis Cantero
Forwards
-
40
Fernando Fernandez
-
17
Torales Richard
3 Reasons why both teams should score
- Nacional Potosi allowed two goals per game in the previous four matches
- Nacional Potosi scored at least a goal in 19 out of the last 20 home games
- Guarani scored ten goals in the previous four matches
Main prediction Nacional Potosí - Guaraní
Both Teams to Score
Best Odds:
Additional predictions
Nacional Potosí & Guaraní current standing in Copa Sudamericana
Group A | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Guaraní | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 - 4 | +3 | 7 |
2 | Boston River | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 - 6 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Nacional Potosí | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 - 4 | -1 | 3 |
4 | Independiente | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 - 5 | -2 | 3 |