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Milton Keynes Dons vs Oxford prediction 09.01.2026 | FA Cup

MK Dons

MK Dons

Kick off:

Date:

Oxford United

Oxford United

1

2.72

X

3.35

2

2.55

  • Competition: FA Cup
  • Date: 9th January 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:30 UK / 20:30 CET
  • Venue: Stadium MK

Friday night in Buckinghamshire comes with a bit of edge to it. MK Dons are trying to stop a three-game winless slide as they host Oxford United in the FA Cup third round. The Dons sit 5th in League Two, which sounds solid enough, while the Yellows are down in 23rd in the Championship and scrapping for stability. Oddly, the bookmakers cannot split them. Still, MK Dons will quietly like this matchup, having won two of the last three meetings.

MK Dons vs Oxford United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Oxford United

    0 : 1

    MK Dons

    EFL Trophy

  2. MK Dons

    1 : 1

    Oxford United

    League One

  3. Oxford United

    1 : 2

    MK Dons

    League One

  4. Oxford United

    1 : 0

    MK Dons

    League One

  5. MK Dons

    1 : 2

    Oxford United

    League One

  6. MK Dons

    1 : 1

    Oxford United

    League One

Since 2018, these sides have met nine times in competitive games. Oxford United shade it slightly with four wins, while MK Dons have taken three. Two ended level. Goals tend to show up without things getting silly, averaging 2.44 per game, which feels about right given how these matches usually play out.

MK Dons

Milton Keynes Dons team overview

Two games without a win and just one goal scored was starting to irritate the fanbase. You could feel it last weekend when the Dons hosted Chesterfield. The response was better going forward, scoring twice, yet familiar problems crept in. Two second-half goals conceded, a 2–2 draw, and another reminder that defensive concentration remains an issue.

That result stretched the winless run to three, although Paul Warne will cling to the home form. MK Dons are unbeaten in their last seven at Stadium MK, picking up four wins along the way. That matters in a cup tie.

Callum Paterson, with eight league goals, should be the focal point again. Captain Alex Gilbey also has eight but misses out with a groin injury, which is a blow. Marvin Ekpiteta remains a doubt, adding more uncertainty at the back.

Last matches of MK Dons

  1. MK Dons

    2 : 2

    Chesterfield

    League Two

  2. Colchester United

    1 : 0

    MK Dons

    League Two

  3. MK Dons

    1 : 1

    Notts County

    League Two

  4. MK Dons

    1 : 0

    Swindon Town

    League Two

  5. Harrogate Town

    0 : 4

    MK Dons

    League Two

MK Dons lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Craig MacGillivray

Defenders

  • 22

    Jon Mellish

  • 32

    Jack Sanders

  • 2

    Gethin Jones

Midfielders

  • 6

    Liam Kelly

  • 24

    Connor Lemonheigh-Evans

  • 7

    Daniel Crowley

  • 15

    Luke Offord

Forwards

  • 16

    Aaron Nemane

  • 13

    Callum Paterson

  • 29

    Rushian Hepburn-Murphy

Oxford United

Oxford team overview

Oxford are not exactly arriving with momentum either. The Yellows have managed just one win from their last seven Championship games, and away from home it has been even rougher. Three defeats from four recent trips and no away win in six tells its own story.

Craig Short’s side were at Portman Road last week. Going behind early, responding well, then conceding again soon after felt painfully familiar. Another defeat followed, their second in a row.

Trips to Stadium MK have not been kind either. Oxford have failed to win on their last three visits here, and injuries are making life harder. Ole Romeny, Brodie Spencer and James Golding are all sidelined.

Will Lankshear’s goal last time out took him to six for the season, and the teenager should lead the line again. Support is likely to come from Przemysław and Krastev out wide, a pair who have four goals between them.

Last matches of Oxford United

  1. Ipswich Town

    2 : 1

    Oxford United

    Championship

  2. Oxford United

    0 : 1

    Swansea City

    Championship

  3. Oxford United

    2 : 1

    Southampton

    Championship

  4. Charlton Athletic

    1 : 0

    Oxford United

    Championship

  5. Oxford United

    1 : 2

    Preston North End

    Championship

Oxford United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jamie Cumming

Defenders

  • 26

    Jack Currie

  • 3

    Ciaron Brown

  • 6

    Michał Helik

  • 2

    Sam Long

Midfielders

  • 14

    Brian De Keersmaecker

  • 19

    Tyler Goodrham

  • 4

    Will Vaulks

Forwards

  • 50

    Filip Krastev

  • 27

    Will Lankshear

  • 7

    Przemysław Płacheta

Prediction

This looks like a cup tie that never quite settles. MK Dons are strong at Stadium MK but keep conceding late, while the Yellows struggle away yet usually find a goal. With both sides winless in recent spells and neither convincing defensively, a scrappy 1–1 draw feels about right.

Three reasons we expect both teams to score in this game

  1. Both teams scored in five of the last seven meetings between MK Dons and Oxford United.
  2. Oxford United have not kept a clean sheet in their last 15 matches, home or away.
  3. MK Dons have managed just two clean sheets in their last ten games.

Main prediction MK Dons - Oxford United

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.90

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Milton Keynes Dons vs Oxford – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Friday’s FA Cup encounter⁠ between MK Dons and Oxford United.

? What⁠ is Oxford’s average number⁠ of corners in their away matches this season?

4.64

? What is MK Dons’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in their last five Cup outings?

2.20