Millwall vs Birmingham City prediction 25.02.2026 | Championship
Millwall
Kick off:
Date:
Birmingham City
1
2.52
X
3.15
2
2.80
Contents
- Competition: Championship
- Date: 25th February 2026
- Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
- Venue: The Den
Millwall head into Wednesday knowing automatic promotion is still within reach, but there is no cushion. The Lions sit third, seven points ahead of Birmingham in seventh. That gap sounds comfortable. It is not. The bookmakers seem undecided, and that feels fair when you look at recent form and the tight nature of this fixture.
Millwall vs Birmingham City Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Birmingham City
4 : 0
Millwall
Championship
-
Millwall
1 : 0
Birmingham City
Championship
-
Birmingham City
1 : 1
Millwall
Championship
-
Millwall
0 : 1
Birmingham City
Championship
-
Birmingham City
0 : 0
Millwall
Championship
-
Birmingham City
2 : 2
Millwall
Championship
Since 2010, these sides have met 10 times in the Championship. Millwall edge it with three wins to Birmingham’s two, while four games ended level. The average of 1.80 goals per match tells its own story. This has rarely been a thriller.
Millwall team overview
The Lions have been Championship regulars since promotion through the 2017-18 playoffs. An eighth place finish first time back was impressive, and matching that twice in the last three seasons showed consistency.
This year, though, feels different. Alex Neil’s side sit third and have lost just one of the last five matches. That defeat hurt. A 3-1 loss to Portsmouth at The Den ended a six match unbeaten home run and probably stung more than most.
Discipline could also become an issue. Tristan Crama is on nine yellow cards, one away from suspension. Danny McNamara remains sidelined with a long term knee injury, while Lukas Jensen and Will Smallbone continue recovering from Achilles and muscle problems.
Last matches of Millwall
-
Millwall
1 : 3
Portsmouth
Championship
-
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 2
Millwall
Championship
-
Wrexham
0 : 2
Millwall
Championship
-
Millwall
1 : 1
Sheffield United
Championship
-
Millwall
4 : 0
Charlton Athletic
Championship
Millwall lineup
Goalkeeper
-
13
Anthony Patterson
Defenders
-
4
Tristan Crama
-
6
Caleb Taylor
-
5
Jake Cooper
-
14
Alfie Doughty
Midfielders
-
24
Casper De Norre
-
10
Camiel Neghli
-
8
Billy Mitchell
Forwards
-
11
Femi Azeez
-
9
Mihailo Ivanović
-
22
Tom Watson
Birmingham City team overview
The Blues’ recent history has not been dull. Relegation in 2023-24 ended a 13 year stay in the Championship, yet the response was immediate.
Winning League One brought Birmingham straight back up, and now there is genuine talk of another promotion push. Only two points separate Chris Davies’ side from the playoff spots.
Form is the real headline. Unbeaten in 10 across all competitions, and four wins from five away in that stretch, suggests belief travels well.
Ibrahim Osman opened his account in the win over Leicester and should stay on the right. Jay Stansfield, with nine goals and five assists, remains the creative heartbeat in the number 10 role.
Last matches of Birmingham City
-
Norwich City
1 : 2
Birmingham City
Championship
-
Birmingham City
2 : 4
Leeds United
FA Cup
-
Birmingham City
0 : 0
West Bromwich Albion
Championship
-
Birmingham City
2 : 1
Leicester City
Championship
-
Oxford United
0 : 2
Birmingham City
Championship
Birmingham City lineup
Goalkeeper
-
25
James Beadle
Defenders
-
24
Tomoki Iwata
-
5
Phil Neumann
-
4
Christoph Klarer
-
31
Kai Wagner
Midfielders
-
14
Jhon Solís
-
28
Jay Stansfield
-
8
Paik Seung-ho
Forwards
-
23
Carlos Vicente
-
33
Marvin Ducksch
-
17
Ibrahim Osman
Prediction
Only one of the last five meetings between these sides produced more than two goals, and the historical average from the last two fixtures stands at just 1.80 per game. Birmingham are unbeaten in 10 across all competitions, while Millwall have lost just once in five. With both teams in steady form, a tight 1-1 draw looks a fair outcome.
Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game
- Only one of the last five meetings between Millwall and Birmingham City produced more than two goals.
- Three of the last four away games of Birmingham City ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Bets on under 2.5 goals won in two of the last four games of Millwall in the Championship.
Main prediction Millwall - Birmingham City
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
1xBet
1.81
Millwall vs Birmingham City standings in Championship
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 68 - 36 | +32 | 65 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 50 - 33 | +17 | 62 |
| 3 | Millwall | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 42 - 40 | +2 | 56 |
| 4 | Ipswich Town | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54 - 34 | +20 | 54 |
| 5 | Hull City | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51 - 46 | +5 | 54 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51 - 44 | +7 | 51 |
| 7 | Birmingham City | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 45 - 40 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 | Derby County | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 47 - 41 | +6 | 48 |
| 9 | Watford | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 43 - 38 | +5 | 48 |
| 10 | Preston North End | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40 - 37 | +3 | 48 |
| 11 | Southampton | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 49 - 45 | +4 | 47 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 45 - 41 | +4 | 47 |
| 13 | Queens Park Rangers | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 46 - 47 | -1 | 47 |
| 14 | Sheffield United | 33 | 14 | 3 | 16 | 47 - 46 | +1 | 45 |
| 15 | Swansea City | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 39 - 39 | 0 | 45 |
| 16 | Stoke City | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 36 - 31 | +5 | 44 |
| 17 | Charlton Athletic | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32 - 42 | -10 | 40 |
| 18 | Norwich City | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 43 - 44 | -1 | 39 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33 - 41 | -8 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 - 41 | -10 | 38 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 32 - 49 | -17 | 34 |
| 22 | Leicester City | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 46 - 53 | -7 | 33 |
| 23 | Oxford United | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 28 - 44 | -16 | 29 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday | 33 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 20 - 66 | -46 | -7 |