Middlesbrough vs West Brom Albion prediction 19.09.2025 | Championship

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough

Kick off:

Date:

West Bromwich Albion

West Bromwich Albion

1

2.17

X

3.34

2

3.28

  • Competition: Championship
  • Date: Friday, 19th September, 2025
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CEST
  • Venue: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

The league's leader, Middlesbrough, will welcome West Brom Albion in the sixth round of the Championship at Riverside Stadium in Middlesbrough. The hosts are trying to extend their unbeaten run to six, while West Brom Albion hopes to bounce back after losing their first Championship game of the season. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this tie.

Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Middlesbrough

    2 : 0

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

  2. West Bromwich Albion

    0 : 1

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  3. Middlesbrough

    1 : 0

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

  4. West Bromwich Albion

    4 : 2

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  5. West Bromwich Albion

    2 : 0

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  6. Middlesbrough

    1 : 1

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

Middlesbrough have been much better in recent h2h games, winning three straight with a 4:0 goal difference. Looking further back, in the previous ten h2h games, Middlesbrough won five times, while WBA won three times.

Regarding the number of goals, eight of the last ten h2h games ended with fewer than three goals, while both teams scored on six occasions.

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough team overview

In the previous 16 seasons, Middlesbrough spent only one season in the English top-flight division. In the last two seasons, they even failed to reach the playoffs and are hoping to change that this season. And indeed, they opened the season great and are deservedly in the top spot. Their only poor result was in the EFL Cup against Doncaster, but they were probably not interested in that competition. 

After a 2:2 draw with Preston, coach Rob Edwards spoke to the media. He said they showed character after coming twice from behind and getting something from the game. "I loved the reaction from the team both times after going behind. We didn't show disappointment. We got on with it," the coach added.

Last matches of Middlesbrough

  1. Preston North End

    2 : 2

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  2. Middlesbrough

    1 : 0

    Sheffield United

    Championship

  3. Norwich City

    1 : 2

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  4. Millwall

    0 : 3

    Middlesbrough

    Championship

  5. Middlesbrough

    0 : 4

    Doncaster Rovers

    Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Sol Brynn

Defenders

  • 12

    Luke Ayling

  • 26

    Darragh Lenihan

  • 5

    Alfie Jones

Midfielders

  • 2

    Callum Brittain

  • 18

    Aidan Morris

  • 7

    Hayden Hackney

  • 3

    Matt Targett

Forwards

  • 11

    Morgan Whittaker

  • 9

    Tommy Conway

  • 20

    Kaly Sene

West Bromwich Albion

West Brom Albion team overview

West Brom Albion suffered relegation from the Premier League in the 2020/21 season and haven't had much success in the following three seasons. They eventually managed to reach the Playoffs just once. This season, the Baggies started pretty well, winning ten points in the first five rounds (2.0 per game). That is almost 0.6 points per game more than last season. 

After a 1:0 loss vs Derby in the previous match, coach Ryan Mason spoke to the media. He was frustrated by missed opportunities and said they have to score with that many chances. "I think anyone watching the game will say we didn't deserve to lose it when conceding your first shot on target in the 84th minute," the coach added.

Last matches of West Bromwich Albion

  1. West Bromwich Albion

    0 : 1

    Derby County

    Championship

  2. Stoke City

    0 : 1

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

  3. West Bromwich Albion

    1 : 1

    Portsmouth

    Championship

  4. Wrexham

    2 : 3

    West Bromwich Albion

    Championship

  5. West Bromwich Albion

    2 : 3

    Derby County

    Carabao Cup

West Bromwich Albion lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 20

    Josh Griffiths

Defenders

  • 6

    George Cambell

  • 2

    Chris Mepham

  • 3

    Nat Phillips

  • 4

    Callum Styles

Midfielders

  • 27

    Alex Mowatt

  • 21

    Isaac Price

  • 8

    Jayson Molumby

Forwards

  • 7

    Jed Wallace

  • 19

    Aune Heggebo

  • 11

    Mikey Johnston

Prediction

Middlesbrough have been excellent defensively this season, keeping a clean sheet in three out of six games - 50%. Also, both home (league) games ended with the same result, 1:0 against Sheffield Utd and Swansea. 

Meanwhile, West Brom have constantly played low-scoring games this season. They went under 2.5 goals in five out of six games across the competitions - 83%. Still, that is not a surprise considering they were under 2.5 goals in 63% Championship games last season. Just like their opponents, WBA also did pretty well defensively, keeping a clean sheet twice in the first five Championship rounds. 

Moreover, we saw fewer than three goals in the last three h2h games with an average of only 1.33 goals per game! Considering the trend in the previous h2h games, both teams' great defensive performances, and all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Championship tie.

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Middlesbrough kept their net intact in three out of six games across the competitions
  2. WBA were under 2.5 goals in five out of six games in all competitions
  3. The last three h2h games ended with fewer than three goals

Main prediction Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

58% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Middlesbrough vs West Bromwich Albion standings in Championship

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0 9 - 3 +6 13
2 Stoke City 5 4 0 1 9 - 3 +6 12
3 Bristol City 5 3 2 0 12 - 4 +8 11
4 Leicester City 5 3 1 1 8 - 5 +3 10
5 West Bromwich Albion 5 3 1 1 6 - 4 +2 10
6 Coventry City 5 2 3 0 15 - 7 +8 9
7 Swansea City 5 2 2 1 6 - 4 +2 8
8 Preston North End 5 2 2 1 6 - 5 +1 8
9 Portsmouth 5 2 2 1 4 - 3 +1 8
10 Norwich City 5 2 1 2 7 - 6 +1 7
11 Birmingham City 5 2 1 2 4 - 5 -1 7
12 Queens Park Rangers 5 2 1 2 9 - 12 -3 7
13 Millwall 5 2 1 2 4 - 7 -3 7
14 Ipswich Town 5 1 3 1 9 - 5 +4 6
15 Southampton 5 1 3 1 6 - 6 0 6
16 Blackburn Rovers 5 2 0 3 5 - 5 0 6
17 Watford 5 1 2 2 5 - 6 -1 5
18 Charlton Athletic 5 1 2 2 3 - 5 -2 5
19 Derby County 5 1 2 2 8 - 11 -3 5
20 Hull City 5 1 2 2 7 - 11 -4 5
21 Wrexham 5 1 1 3 8 - 10 -2 4
22 Oxford United 5 0 2 3 6 - 9 -3 2
23 Sheffield Wednesday 5 0 1 4 3 - 12 -9 1
24 Sheffield United 5 0 0 5 1 - 12 -11 0

Middlesbrough vs West Brom Albion – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Middlesbrough this season?

The average xG for Middlesbrough in the Championship this season is 1.36.

? How much is the average xG for West Brom Albion this season?

The average xG for West Brom Albion in the Championship this season is 1.56.