Marseille vs Metz Prediction 10.04.2026 | Ligue 1
Marseille
Kick off:
Date:
Metz
1
1.28
X
6.60
2
12.10
Contents
- Competition: France - Ligue 1
- Date: Friday, 10th, April 2026
- Kickoff: 20:05 UK / 21:05 CEST
- Venue: Stade Velodrome (Marseille)
Seeking to regain their footing in the Champions League qualification race, Marseille welcome basement-dwelling Metz to the Orange Velodrome on Friday night.
The hosts find themselves in a precarious position after back-to-back league defeats, while the visitors arrive in Provence having failed to win any of their last 16 top-flight matches.
Marseille vs Metz Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Metz
0 : 3
Marseille
Ligue 1
-
Marseille
1 : 1
Metz
Ligue 1
-
Metz
2 : 2
Marseille
Ligue 1
-
Metz
1 : 2
Marseille
Ligue 1
-
Marseille
0 : 0
Metz
Ligue 1
-
Metz
1 : 1
Marseille
Ligue 1
Marseille will be aiming to get their pursuit of an automatic Champions League spot back on track, as they can draw confidence from a 10-match unbeaten run against Metz, although six of those encounters have ended in draws.
Marseille team overview
Marseille head into Friday night’s encounter under mounting pressure to reignite their push for a Champions League qualification spot, having slipped to fourth place in Ligue 1 following successive league setbacks against Monaco and LOSC Lille.
In truth, Les Phoceens have turned the Stade Velodrome into a high-scoring arena, boasting the division’s most potent home attack with an average of 2.42 goals per game, yet their defensive frailties remain a concern, with just one shutout recorded across their last six outings on home soil.
With the race for a podium finish intensifying, Marseille can ill afford any slip-up against a side languishing at the foot of the table, viewing this fixture as a must-win opportunity to restore momentum in an increasingly competitive European battle.
On the team news front, Morocco international Nayef Aguerd is set to miss a fifth consecutive match due to a groin issue, while experienced midfielder Geoffrey Kondogbia remains a doubt after sitting out last weekend’s clash with Monaco through a thigh injury.
Last matches of Marseille
-
Monaco
2 : 1
Marseille
Ligue 1
-
Marseille
1 : 2
Lille
Ligue 1
-
Marseille
1 : 0
Auxerre
Ligue 1
-
Toulouse
0 : 1
Marseille
Ligue 1
-
Marseille
3 : 4
Toulouse
Coupe de France
Marseille lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gerónimo Rulli
Defenders
-
28
Benjamin Pavard
-
5
Leonardo Balerdi
-
32
Facundo Medina
Midfielders
-
14
Igor Paixão
-
27
Quinten Timber
-
23
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
-
22
Timothy Weah
Forwards
-
9
Amine Gouiri
-
10
Mason Greenwood
-
17
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Metz team overview
In contrast, Metz make the trip to Provence looking destined for a return to the second tier, currently rooted to the foot of the Ligue 1 table and weighed down by a demoralising 16-game winless run (W4 L12), a sequence that has left them 12 points adrift of safety and eight shy of the relegation playoff spot.
Les Grenats possess the most fragile defensive record in the division, having already conceded a league-high 60 goals this season, a vulnerability further exposed by persistent travel struggles that have seen them ship an alarming average of 2.64 goals per away fixture.
Having dropped more points from winning positions than any other side in the bottom half, Metz appear a team rich in effort but lacking in resilience, and they may require something close to extraordinary at the Velodrome to keep their fading survival hopes alive.
Manager Benoit Tavenot, however, has received a timely boost ahead of this contest, with Alpha Toure returning from a one-match suspension and set to slot back into the starting XI as his side braces for a daunting test against the league’s most potent home attack.
Last matches of Metz
-
Metz
0 : 0
Nantes
Ligue 1
-
Rennes
0 : 0
Metz
Ligue 1
-
Metz
3 : 4
Toulouse
Ligue 1
-
RC Lens
3 : 0
Metz
Ligue 1
-
Metz
0 : 1
Brest
Ligue 1
Metz lineup
Goalkeeper
-
61
Pape Sy
Defenders
-
2
Maxime Colin
-
4
Michel Mboula
-
38
Sadibou Sané
-
39
Koffi Kouao
Midfielders
-
12
Alpha Touré
-
5
Jean-Philippe Gbamin
-
7
Giorgi Tsitaishvili
-
10
Gauthier Hein
-
70
Bouna Sarr
Forwards
-
30
Habib Diallo
Prediction
While Marseille enter this contest nursing a bruised ego, the gulf in class between these two sides remains a vast chasm that even a defensive crisis is unlikely to bridge.
The Grenats have developed a worrying habit of crumbling under the atmospheric pressure of France's largest club stadiums, and their league-high 60 goals conceded this term suggests they lack the structural integrity to withstand a 90-minute siege.
Ultimately, we expect a professional "statement" performance from Habib Beye’s men, who should navigate this fixture with minimal fuss to reignite their Champions League aspirations and consign the winless Grenats to another sobering night in their seemingly inevitable slide toward the second tier.
Four Reasons we expect AH1 -1.5
- Metz have gone scoreless in four consecutive Ligue 1 away matches.
- The first encounter between these teams ended with a comfortable 3-0 win for Marseille.
- Marseille scores nearly three goals per game at their Velodrome this season.
- Metz concedes an alarming 2.64 goals on average away from home.
Main prediction Marseille - Metz
AH1 (-1.5)
Best Odds:
22bet
1.76
Marseille vs Metz standings in Ligue 1
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61 - 23 | +38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54 - 27 | +27 | 59 |
| 3 | LOSC Lille | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 45 - 34 | +11 | 50 |
| 4 | Olympique Marseille | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 55 - 37 | +18 | 49 |
| 5 | Monaco | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 49 - 39 | +10 | 49 |
| 6 | Olympique Lyonnais | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 41 - 29 | +12 | 48 |
| 7 | Rennes | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47 - 40 | +7 | 47 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46 - 34 | +12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 38 - 42 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 39 - 35 | +4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37 - 43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers SCO | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 - 37 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Paris | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 33 - 44 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 23 - 36 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Nice | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 33 - 55 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 - 37 | -14 | 23 |
| 17 | Nantes | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 - 45 | -21 | 18 |
| 18 | Metz | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25 - 60 | -35 | 15 |