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Marseille vs Liverpool prediction 21.01.2026 | Champions League

Marseille

Marseille

Kick off:

Date:

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

3.75

X

3.75

2

1.93

  • Competition: Champions League
  • Date: Wednesday, 21st January 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

On Wednesday night, the two teams that should be part of the knockout phase, Marseille and Liverpool, will meet in another interesting Champions League tie. The English side won only one of the last five matches across all competitions and now will travel to France for another tough test. Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

Marseille vs Liverpool Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Liverpool

    1 : 0

    Marseille

    Champions League

  2. Marseille

    1 : 2

    Liverpool

    Champions League

  3. Marseille

    0 : 4

    Liverpool

    Champions League

  4. Liverpool

    0 : 1

    Marseille

    Champions League

Liverpool won the last three H2H matches against Marseille. However, the most recent meeting between the two teams was in 2008, when the English side won 1-0. 

Marseille

Marseille team overview

Marseille have a good 2025/26 season. In the French Ligue 1, they are third in the standings, while in the Champions League, Roberto De Zerbi's team collected nine points in six matches and is close to the knockout phase. Marseille are in solid form with five victories in the last seven games across all competitions. In the most recent outing, De Zerbi's team won 5-2 on the road against Angers. The guests had a 4-0 lead late in the first half, so there was never any doubt who would come away with victory.  

After three points last weekend, Marseille's head coach, Roberto De Zerbi, commented on the upcoming game against Liverpool. He said, "Liverpool is a very strong team. So we'll have to improve even more to be able to stay in the game for the full 90 minutes. We can be very strong, but if we're not focused, we can lose against anyone. If we're well prepared, we can compete against anyone."

Neal Maupay, Theo Vermot, Ruben Blanco, and Benjamin Pavard are unavailable for the game against Liverpool, while Bilal Nadir is questionable.

Last matches of Marseille

  1. Angers

    2 : 5

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  2. Bayeux

    0 : 9

    Marseille

    Coupe de France

  3. PSG

    4 : 1

    Marseille

    Super Cup

  4. Marseille

    0 : 2

    Nantes

    Ligue 1

  5. Bourg-en-Bresse

    0 : 6

    Marseille

    Coupe de France

Marseille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Geronimo Rulli

Defenders

  • 62

    Amir Murillo

  • 5

    Leonardo Balerdi

  • 32

    Facundo Medina

  • 33

    Emerson

Midfielders

  • 18

    Arthur Vermeeren

  • 10

    Mason Greenwood

  • 23

    Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg

Forwards

  • 22

    Timothy Weah

  • 9

    Amine Gouiri

  • 20

    Hamed Traore

Liverpool

Liverpool team overview

Before the season started, Liverpool were expected to be at least in contention for another Premier League title. Instead, they are 14 points behind the league leader, Arsenal, so top-four status is the only thing they can hope for. In the Champions League, they had two unexpected defeats, but they are not without chances to finish among the best eight teams in the competition and qualify for the 1/8 final phase. 

Liverpool remain unbeaten in their last 12 matches, yet their recent form has been far from convincing. Four of their last five games ended in draws, some of which were particularly surprising. One of the shocking draws was last weekend, when Arne Slot's team played only 1-1 at home against Burnley. The home side ended with an xG of 3.19, while the guests had only 0.40, but despite creating numerous chances, they were unable to convert their superiority into three points.

Although Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 12 matches, Arne Slot's position remains under serious pressure. There are reports that the board is losing patience and could lose its job soon. Xabi Alonso, who Real Madrid recently sacked, is considered the preferred replacement should the Reds decide to make a managerial change.

Stefan Bajcetic, Conor Bradley, Alexander Isak, Giovanni Leoni, Callum Scanlon, and Rhys are unavailable for the trip to Marseille. Also, Mohamed Salah could be available after the African Cup of Nations ended last weekend. 

Last matches of Liverpool

  1. Liverpool

    1 : 1

    Burnley

    Premier League

  2. Liverpool

    4 : 1

    Barnsley

    FA Cup

  3. Arsenal

    0 : 0

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  4. Fulham

    2 : 2

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  5. Liverpool

    0 : 0

    Leeds United

    Premier League

Liverpool lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Alisson

Defenders

  • 30

    Jeremie Frimpong

  • 4

    Virgil van Dijk

  • 5

    Ibrahima Konate

  • 6

    Milos Kerkez

Midfielders

  • 38

    Ryan Gravenberch

  • 17

    Curtis Jones

  • 8

    Dominik Szoboszlai

Forwards

  • 7

    Florian Wirtz

  • 22

    Hugo Ekitike

  • 18

    Cody Gakpo

Prediction

Both teams are scoring goals pretty regularly. Marseille scored at least one goal in six of the last seven matches, while Liverpool scored in 11 of the previous 13 games. We should expect goals on both sides on Wednesday at Stade Velodrome. 

3 Reasons why we should expect both teams to score in this match

  1. Marseille scored at least one goal in six of the last seven matches
  2. Marseille conceded 2+ goals in three of the previous four games
  3. Liverpool scored in 11 of the last 13 matches

Main prediction Marseille - Liverpool

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

6 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

Melbet

1.55

Bet here

Marseille vs Liverpool standings in Champions League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 6 6 0 0 17 - 1 +16 18
2 FC Bayern München 6 5 0 1 18 - 7 +11 15
3 Paris Saint Germain 6 4 1 1 19 - 8 +11 13
4 Manchester City 7 4 1 2 13 - 9 +4 13
5 Atalanta 6 4 1 1 8 - 6 +2 13
6 Inter 6 4 0 2 12 - 4 +8 12
7 Real Madrid 6 4 0 2 13 - 7 +6 12
8 Atlético Madrid 6 4 0 2 15 - 12 +3 12
9 Liverpool 6 4 0 2 11 - 8 +3 12
10 Borussia Dortmund 6 3 2 1 19 - 13 +6 11
11 Tottenham Hotspur 6 3 2 1 13 - 7 +6 11
12 Newcastle United 6 3 1 2 13 - 6 +7 10
13 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 13 - 8 +5 10
14 Sporting CP 6 3 1 2 12 - 8 +4 10
15 FC Barcelona 6 3 1 2 14 - 11 +3 10
16 Olympique Marseille 6 3 0 3 11 - 8 +3 9
17 Juventus 6 2 3 1 12 - 10 +2 9
18 Galatasaray 6 3 0 3 8 - 8 0 9
19 Monaco 6 2 3 1 7 - 8 -1 9
20 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 2 3 1 10 - 12 -2 9
21 PSV 6 2 2 2 15 - 11 +4 8
22 Qarabağ 6 2 1 3 10 - 13 -3 7
23 Club Brugge 7 2 1 4 12 - 17 -5 7
24 Napoli 6 2 1 3 6 - 11 -5 7
25 FC København 6 2 1 3 10 - 16 -6 7
26 Bodø / Glimt 7 1 3 3 12 - 14 -2 6
27 Benfica 6 2 0 4 6 - 8 -2 6
28 Pafos FC 6 1 3 2 4 - 9 -5 6
29 Union Saint-Gilloise 6 2 0 4 7 - 15 -8 6
30 Athletic Club 6 1 2 3 4 - 9 -5 5
31 Olympiacos F.C. 6 1 2 3 6 - 13 -7 5
32 Eintracht Frankfurt 6 1 1 4 8 - 16 -8 4
33 Slavia Praha 6 0 3 3 2 - 11 -9 3
34 Ajax 6 1 0 5 5 - 18 -13 3
35 Villarreal 6 0 1 5 4 - 13 -9 1
36 Kairat 7 0 1 6 5 - 19 -14 1

Marseille vs Liverpool – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Marseille this season?

The average xG for Marseille in the Champions League this season is 1.44.

? How much is the average xG for Liverpool this season?

The average xG for Liverpool in the Champions League this season is 2.19.