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Marseille vs Lille prediction 22.03.2026 | Ligue 1

Marseille

Marseille

Kick off:

Date:

Lille

Lille

1

1.97

X

3.86

2

4.00

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Sunday, 22nd March 2026
  • Kickoff: 16:15 UK / 17:15 CET
  • Venue: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

The derby in the upcoming Ligue 1 round will be played in Marseille, where Olympique will welcome Lille. Both teams are excellent this season and are candidates to finish among the best four teams in the competition. Can the visitors from northern France steal points from Stade Velodrome? Let's find the best betting option. 

Marseille vs Lille Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lille

    1 : 0

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  2. Marseille

    3 : 4

    Lille

    Coupe de France

  3. Marseille

    1 : 1

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  4. Lille

    3 : 1

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  5. Marseille

    0 : 0

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  6. Lille

    2 : 1

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

Lille won four of the last seven H2H matches against Marseille, with three draws. The previous victory for the team from Velodrome was in 2022. In the only meeting this season, Lille won 1-0. Also, it is worth noting that three of the last four encounters ended with two or fewer goals. 

Marseille

Marseille team overview

It is hard to compete with PSG in Ligue 1 for the championship title, so Marseille can be very satisfied to be on course for another Champions League appearance. However, a few teams behind them are very close, so the next few weeks could be very interesting for Olympique. Marseille played well recently, with three wins in the last four matches. In the previous games, they won 1-0 at home against Auxerre. The hosts had so many problems creating opportunities against well-organized guests, but Marseille eventually broke the deadlock late in the second half and secured all three points.

Marseille's head coach, Habib Beye, was very satisfied after a victory against Auxerre. He commented, "I'm very satisfied with the result, the three points, and keeping a clean sheet. We had a lackluster first half, which is understandable given the circumstances. We struggled to find our rhythm. In the second half, we really picked up the pace. We needed to stay focused. The change of system and the substitutions made a difference. The first half wasn't as good as the second. The players went out and got the three points, which is great for us right now."

Naif Aguerd, Leonardo Balerdi, and Bilal Nadir are injured and will not play on Sunday afternoon.

Last matches of Marseille

  1. Marseille

    1 : 0

    Auxerre

    Ligue 1

  2. Toulouse

    0 : 1

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  3. Marseille

    3 : 4

    Toulouse

    Coupe de France

  4. Marseille

    3 : 2

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  5. Brest

    2 : 0

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

Marseille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Geronimo Rulli

Defenders

  • 22

    Timothy Weah

  • 28

    Benjamin Pavard

  • 4

    CJ Egan-Riley

  • 32

    Facundo Medina

Midfielders

  • 19

    Geoffrey Kondogbia

  • 27

    Quinten Timber

  • 23

    Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg

Forwards

  • 10

    Mason Greenwood

  • 17

    Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

  • 14

    Igor Paixao

Lille

Lille team overview

Lille have a solid season, too. They are three points behind the top four teams in the competition, and every game could be crucial in their quest for a spot in the Champions League. Lille played well recently, with only two defeats in the last seven matches. Interestingly, both losses came against Aston Villa in the Europa League. In the most recent outing, Bruno Genesio's team lost 2-0 on the road to the English side.

Lille lost 3-0 on aggregate score against Aston Villa, and the head coach, Bruno Genesio, admitted a significant difference between the two sides. He said, "Over the two matches, we saw the difference between a team that plays at the top of the Premier League table, which has experience, and a team that has a lot of quality but still has a lot to learn."

Lille have big problems with injuries. They will be without Benjamin Andre, Marc-Aurele Caillard, Hamza Igamane, Ethan Mbappe, Gaetan Perrin, Osame Sahraoui, and Ousmane Toure on Sunday in Marseille.

Last matches of Lille

  1. Aston Villa

    2 : 0

    Lille

    Europa League

  2. Rennes

    1 : 2

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  3. Lille

    0 : 1

    Aston Villa

    Europa League

  4. Lille

    1 : 1

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  5. Lille

    1 : 0

    Nantes

    Ligue 1

Lille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Berke Ozer

Defenders

  • 18

    Chancel Mbemba

  • 4

    Alexsandro

  • 3

    Nathan Ngoy

Midfielders

  • 12

    Thomas Meunier

  • 6

    Nabil Bentaleb

  • 32

    Ayyoub Bouaddi

  • 15

    Romain Perraud

Forwards

  • 17

    Ngalayel Mukau

  • 9

    Olivier Giroud

  • 27

    Felix Correia

Prediction

Marseille scored only two goals in the last two matches. On the other hand, Lille scored eight goals in the previous 11 games. Also, three of the last four meetings between these two teams ended with two or fewer goals. We should expect another low-scoring tie on Sunday afternoon. 

4 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than two goals in this match

  1. Marseille scored two goals in the last two matches
  2. Lille scored eight goals in the previous 11 games
  3. There were two or fewer goals in 12 of the last 13 Lille matches
  4. Marseille and Lille went under 2.5 goals in three of the previous four games

Main prediction Marseille - Lille

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

52% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.10

Bet here

Marseille vs Lille standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Lens 27 19 2 6 54 - 24 +30 59
2 Paris Saint Germain 25 18 3 4 54 - 22 +32 57
3 Olympique Marseille 26 15 4 7 53 - 33 +20 49
4 Olympique Lyonnais 26 14 5 7 40 - 27 +13 47
5 LOSC Lille 26 13 5 8 40 - 33 +7 44
6 Monaco 26 13 4 9 45 - 37 +8 43
7 Rennes 26 12 7 7 43 - 37 +6 43
8 Strasbourg 26 10 7 9 40 - 31 +9 37
9 Lorient 26 9 10 7 37 - 40 -3 37
10 Brest 26 10 6 10 34 - 36 -2 36
11 Toulouse 26 9 7 10 37 - 32 +5 34
12 Angers SCO 27 9 5 13 24 - 37 -13 32
13 Paris 26 6 10 10 29 - 41 -12 28
14 Le Havre 26 6 9 11 20 - 32 -12 27
15 Nice 26 7 6 13 32 - 48 -16 27
16 Auxerre 26 4 7 15 19 - 36 -17 19
17 Nantes 25 4 5 16 22 - 42 -20 17
18 Metz 26 3 4 19 25 - 60 -35 13

Marseille vs Lille – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Marseille this season?

The average xG for Marseille in Ligue 1 this season is 1.65.

? How much is the average xG for Lille this season?

The average xG for Lille in Ligue 1 this season is 1.61.