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Marseille vs Auxerre prediction 13.03.2026 | Ligue 1

Marseille

Marseille

Kick off:

Date:

Auxerre

Auxerre

1

1.50

X

4.88

2

7.06

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Friday, 13th March, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille)

The 26th round of Ligue 1 will open with only one game on Friday's schedule - Marseille vs Auxerre. These two teams have totally different goals this year: Marseille seeks a top-3 finish and a place in the Champions League next season, while Auxerre are desperately trying to avoid relegation. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Ligue 1 tie.

Marseille vs Auxerre Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Auxerre

    0 : 1

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  2. Auxerre

    3 : 0

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  3. Marseille

    1 : 3

    Auxerre

    Ligue 1

  4. Marseille

    2 : 1

    Auxerre

    Ligue 1

  5. Auxerre

    0 : 2

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  6. Auxerre

    0 : 2

    Marseille

    Coupe de France

In the first H2H game of the season, Marseille won 1:0. However, Auxerre had their chances, and a draw would have been the fairest result. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Marseille have won six and Auxerre two. 

Regarding the number of goals, five of the past ten H2H matches ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in four of them.

Marseille

Marseille team overview

Marseille had a good first part of the season, but in 2026, the Olympians haven't been at the expected level. They suffered elimination from the Champions League, which eventually resulted in coach De Zerbi leaving the club. However, they had a chance to improve the overall picture of the season with a Cup title, especially since PSG suffered an unexpected elimination by Paris FC. Unfortunately, the Olympians were knocked out of the Coupe de France Quarter Finals by Toulouse. After their elimination last week, Marseille bounced back with a league win against the same opponent. Now, after 25 rounds in Ligue 1, Marseille are 3rd with 46 points, but on a level with 4th-placed Lyon. 

After a 1:0, coach Habib Beye spoke to the media. He praised the team after an important victory, especially after suffering elimination from the Cup by the same opponent. The coach noted it was a collective effort by the squad. 

Last matches of Marseille

  1. Toulouse

    0 : 1

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  2. Marseille

    3 : 4

    Toulouse

    Coupe de France

  3. Marseille

    3 : 2

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  4. Brest

    2 : 0

    Marseille

    Ligue 1

  5. Marseille

    2 : 2

    Strasbourg

    Ligue 1

Marseille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Gerónimo Rulli

Defenders

  • 28

    Benjamin Pavard

  • 5

    Leonardo Balerdi

  • 32

    Facundo Medina

Midfielders

  • 22

    Timothy Weah

  • 19

    Geoffrey Kondogbia

  • 23

    Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

  • 27

    Quinten Timber

Forwards

  • 14

    Igor Paixão

  • 10

    Mason Greenwood

  • 17

    Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Auxerre

Auxerre team overview

Auxerre came into this season after a really good one previously. This year, it became obvious from the start that they could have problems surviving. After 25 rounds, they are in 16th place with a mere 19 points and are five points away from the safe zone. With their backs against the wall, they started playing a bit better and lost just once in the past six games. Even though the overall season has been pretty bad thus far, they are still in a solid position to avoid relegation.

Striker Lassine Sinayoko will serve his one-game suspension after collecting his sixth yellow card earlier. He scored six goals and assisted on three, contributing to 47% of Auxerre's league goals! His absence could be a massive factor. 

Moreover, the players who missed the previous games with injuries should remain sidelined - Lasso Coulibaly, Oussama El Azzouzi, Romain Faivre, and Telli Siwe. 

Last matches of Auxerre

  1. Auxerre

    0 : 0

    Strasbourg

    Ligue 1

  2. Lorient

    2 : 2

    Auxerre

    Ligue 1

  3. Auxerre

    0 : 3

    Rennes

    Ligue 1

  4. Metz

    1 : 3

    Auxerre

    Ligue 1

  5. Auxerre

    0 : 0

    Paris FC

    Ligue 1

Auxerre lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 16

    Donovan Léon

Defenders

  • 27

    Lamine Sy

  • 20

    Sinaly Diomandé

  • 24

    Bryan Okoh

  • 29

    Marvin Senaya

Midfielders

  • 5

    Kévin Danois

  • 19

    Danny Namaso

  • 42

    Elisha Owusu

  • 14

    Gideon Mensah

Forwards

  • 7

    Josué Casimir

  • 22

    Fredrik Oppegård

Prediction

With 52 goals in 25 rounds (2.08 per game), Marseille have the second-best offense in Ligue 1 and the best at home, with 2.7 goals per game. That alone says a lot about their offensive potential. However, they have had major defensive problems in recent matches, conceding two or more goals in five of the past six games. Due to a great offense and pretty poor defense, they went over 2.5 goals in 16 of 25 rounds - the most in Ligue 1. 

Auxerre haven't been as great for this type throughout the season, but that has changed lately as they went over 2.5 goals in three of the past four games. Also, they had problems scoring on the road, but it seemed they overcame that after scoring five goals in back-to-back games against Metz and Lorient.

Moreover, we saw three or more goals in the past three H2H games at Stade Vélodrome. Considering all the above, we believe that an over 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Ligue 1 tie.

4 Reasons why we should see three or more goals

  1. Marseille have the best offense at home in Ligue 1, averaging 2.7 per game
  2. Marseille went over 2.5 goals in 16 of 25 rounds
  3. Auxerre went over 2.5 goals in three of the past four games
  4. We saw three or more goals in the past three H2H games at Stade Vélodrome

Main prediction Marseille - Auxerre

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

8 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.76

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Marseille vs Auxerre standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 25 18 3 4 54 - 22 +32 57
2 Lens 25 18 2 5 48 - 21 +27 56
3 Olympique Marseille 25 14 4 7 52 - 33 +19 46
4 Olympique Lyonnais 25 14 4 7 40 - 27 +13 46
5 Rennes 25 12 7 6 42 - 35 +7 43
6 LOSC Lille 25 12 5 8 38 - 32 +6 41
7 Monaco 25 12 4 9 43 - 37 +6 40
8 Strasbourg 25 10 6 9 40 - 31 +9 36
9 Brest 25 10 6 9 34 - 34 0 36
10 Lorient 25 8 10 7 35 - 39 -4 34
11 Angers SCO 25 9 5 11 23 - 30 -7 32
12 Toulouse 25 8 7 10 33 - 29 +4 31
13 Paris 25 6 9 10 29 - 41 -12 27
14 Le Havre 25 6 8 11 20 - 32 -12 26
15 Nice 25 6 6 13 30 - 48 -18 24
16 Auxerre 25 4 7 14 19 - 35 -16 19
17 Nantes 25 4 5 16 22 - 42 -20 17
18 Metz 25 3 4 18 22 - 56 -34 13

Marseille vs Auxerre – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Marseille this season?

The average xG for Marseille in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.64.

? How much is the average xG for Auxerre this season?

The average xG for Auxerre in the Ligue 1 this season is 1.20.