Manchester City vs Newcastle United prediction 21.02.2026 | Premier League
Manchester City
Kick off:
Date:
Newcastle United
1
1.51
X
5.33
2
5.99
Contents
- Competition: Premier League
- Date: 21st February 2026
- Kick-off: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
- Venue: Etihad Stadium
Manchester City head into Saturday knowing the title race leaves little margin for error. Pep’s side are second, close enough to the top to keep believing. Newcastle sit 10th, seventeen points behind, which makes this look uneven at first glance. Still, matches are not played on spreadsheets. The Citizens are clear favourites. However, the Magpies arrive after a 6-1 thrashing of Qarabag. That kind of win can shift a mood.
Manchester City vs Newcastle United Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Manchester City
3 : 1
Newcastle United
Carabao Cup
-
Newcastle United
0 : 2
Manchester City
Carabao Cup
-
Newcastle United
2 : 1
Manchester City
Premier League
-
Manchester City
4 : 0
Newcastle United
Premier League
-
Newcastle United
1 : 1
Manchester City
Premier League
-
Manchester City
2 : 0
Newcastle United
FA Cup
City and Newcastle have already met twice this season. The Citizens controlled both and won 5-1 on aggregate. Across the last seven meetings, Pep Guardiola’s side claimed five wins and lost once. Goals are common too, averaging 3.14 per match in that stretch.
Manchester City team overview
Finishing third last season felt underwhelming by City standards. This campaign started unevenly as well. However, momentum is building.
The Citizens are unbeaten in seven, winning the last four, including victories over Newcastle and Liverpool at Anfield. That is not trivial.
At home, City have won six straight competitive matches. The Etihad has become familiar territory again.Erling Haaland and Bernardo Silva return after missing the FA Cup win over Salford City and should start. John Stones is back from a long layoff. Nico is available too, while doubts linger over Jérémy Doku and Savinho.
Last matches of Manchester City
-
Manchester City
2 : 0
Salford City
FA Cup
-
Manchester City
3 : 0
Fulham
Premier League
-
Liverpool
1 : 2
Manchester City
Premier League
-
Manchester City
3 : 1
Newcastle United
Carabao Cup
-
Tottenham Hotspur
2 : 2
Manchester City
Premier League
Manchester City lineup
Goalkeeper
-
25
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Defenders
-
27
Matheus Nunes
-
3
Rúben Dias
-
15
Marc Guéhi
-
21
Rayan Aït-Nouri
Midfielders
-
20
Bernardo Silva
-
16
Rodri
-
33
Nico O'Reilly
Forwards
-
47
Phil Foden
-
9
Erling Haaland
-
42
Antoine Semenyo
Newcastle United team overview
Two top five finishes in the last three seasons suggested Newcastle were climbing steadily. This year feels different. The Magpies are 10th, and away form explains much of that. Just three league wins in thirteen on the road.
History at the Etihad is sobering. One win in 23 visits. You can almost picture the frustration. Yet Eddie Howe’s side have won three straight in all competitions, including away victories over Tottenham and Aston Villa.
The 6-1 thrashing of Qarabag will have lifted spirits. Whether that translates here is another question. Tino Livramento remains out with hamstring problem, while Emil Krafth is dealing with a knee issue. Howe’s other injury concerns are Fabian Schar, Bruno Guimaraes and Lewis Miley.
Last matches of Newcastle United
-
Qarabag FK
1 : 6
Newcastle United
Champions League
-
Aston Villa
1 : 3
Newcastle United
FA Cup
-
Tottenham Hotspur
1 : 2
Newcastle United
Premier League
-
Newcastle United
2 : 3
Brentford
Premier League
-
Manchester City
3 : 1
Newcastle United
Carabao Cup
Newcastle United lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Nick Pope
Defenders
-
3
Lewis Hall
-
33
Dan Burn
-
12
Malick Thiaw
-
2
Kieran Trippier
Midfielders
-
28
Joe Willock
-
27
Nick Woltemade
-
8
Sandro Tonali
Forwards
-
11
Harvey Barnes
-
10
Anthony Gordon
-
20
Anthony Elanga
Prediction
Six straight wins at the Etihad tell you plenty about City’s mood right now. Pep’s side are unbeaten in seven and have scored at least twice in each of those matches. Newcastle, by contrast, have only three away league wins and just one victory in 23 visits here. Given that contrast, 3-1 to the Citizens seems reasonable.
Four reasons we expect over 3.5 goals in this game
- Newcastle scored at least twice in each of their last four matches.
- Manchester scored two or more goals in each of their last seven matches.
- Five of the last six games of Newcastle produced four or more goals.
- 8 of the last 12 league meetings between City and Newcastle at this ground produced at least four goals.
Main prediction Manchester City - Newcastle United
Over 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
1xBet
2.12
Manchester City vs Newcastle United standings in Premier League
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 52 - 20 | +32 | 58 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 54 - 24 | +30 | 53 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 37 - 27 | +10 | 50 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 47 - 37 | +10 | 45 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 47 - 30 | +17 | 44 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41 - 35 | +6 | 42 |
| 7 | Brentford | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 40 - 35 | +5 | 40 |
| 8 | Everton | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29 - 30 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 | AFC Bournemouth | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 43 - 45 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | Newcastle United | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 37 - 37 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 27 - 30 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Fulham | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 35 - 40 | -5 | 34 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28 - 32 | -4 | 32 |
| 14 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 34 - 34 | 0 | 31 |
| 15 | Leeds United | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 - 45 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 - 37 | -1 | 29 |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 25 - 38 | -13 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham United | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 32 - 49 | -17 | 24 |
| 19 | Burnley | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 28 - 51 | -23 | 18 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 27 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 18 - 50 | -32 | 10 |