Manchcester City vs Manchester United prediction 14.09.2025 | Premier League

Manchester City

Manchester City

Kick off:

Date:

Manchester United

Manchester United

1

1.81

X

4.16

2

4.31

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Sunday, 14th September 2025
  • Kickoff: 16:30 UK / 17:30 CEST
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium (Manchester)

On Sunday afternoon at Etihad Stadium, Manchester City and Manchester United will meet in surely the biggest game of the weekend. Neither of the two teams has started the season as expected, and the upcoming derby will be a good opportunity to return to the right track. Bookies see Manchester City as the favorites for Sunday, but can Manchester United take something from the upcoming tie? Let's break down the matchup and find out the best possible betting option. 

Manchester City vs Manchester United Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Manchester United

    0 : 0

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  2. Manchester City

    1 : 2

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  3. Manchester City

    7 : 6

    Manchester United

    Community Shield

  4. Manchester City

    1 : 2

    Manchester United

    FA Cup

  5. Manchester City

    3 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  6. Manchester United

    0 : 3

    Manchester City

    Premier League

Although Manchester City are a significantly better team over the last ten years, Manchester United are surprisingly unbeaten in the previous four H2H matches. Another interesting fact is that there weren't more than three goals in either of those four games. Last season at Etihad Stadium, the Red Devils won 2-1. 

Manchester City

Manchester City team overview

Last season was turbulent for Manchester City, but they managed to salvage it to some extent, finishing third in the table and securing another Champions League berth. Manchester City should be among the league favorites for the title, but nothing suggests that to be realistic, as Pep Guardiola's team has won only three points in the opening three league rounds. In the previous game, they lost 2-1 on the road against Brighton. The guests had an advantage at halftime, but the home side was brilliant in the second half, leaving Manchester City empty-handed. 

James Trafford started as a goalkeeper in the opening three Premier League rounds, but that should change from the upcoming weekend as Manchester City signed Gianluigi Donnarumma from PSG. 

Manchester City have big problems with missing players. They will be without Mathis Cherki, Mateo Kovacic, Kalvin Phillips, Omar Marmoush, and Marcus Bettinelli on Sunday in the Manchester derby. Also, John Stones, Phil Foden, Savinho, and Josko Gvardiol are questionable and their status will be clearer closer to the kickoff. 

Last matches of Manchester City

  1. Brighton & Hove Albion

    2 : 1

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  2. Manchester City

    0 : 2

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

  3. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    0 : 4

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  4. Palermo

    0 : 3

    Manchester City

    Club Friendlies 1

  5. Juventus

    2 : 5

    Manchester City

    FIFA Club World Cup

Manchester City lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 27

    Matheus Nunes

  • 45

    Abdukodir Khusanov

  • 3

    Ruben Dias

  • 21

    Rayan Ait-Nouri

Midfielders

  • 20

    Bernardo Silva

  • 16

    Rodri

  • 4

    Tijjani Reijnders

Forwards

  • 52

    Oscar Bobb

  • 9

    Erling Haaland

  • 11

    Jeremy Doku

Manchester United

Manchester United team overview

Last season was one of the worst in Manchester United's history, as they ended 15th on the table. The Red Devils again spent a lot of money this summer, but can they return among the best English teams? September games showed that they are still far from their glorious days as they started the season with three games in a row without victory in all competitions, including a shocking defeat in the EFL Cup against Grimsby. The bad run was ended in their most recent outing with a 3-2 win at home against Burnley. 

Since the last game, Manchester United has also added a goalkeeper. They spent 21 million euros on Senne Lammens, who came from Antwerp. We will see on Sunday whether he starts or the head coach will continue with Altay Bayindir. 

Lisandro Martinez and Matheus Cunha are injured and will not play on Sunday afternoon, while Diogo Dalot and Mason Mount are questionable. 

Last matches of Manchester United

  1. Manchester United

    3 : 2

    Burnley

    Premier League

  2. Grimsby Town

    12 : 11

    Manchester United

    Carabao Cup

  3. Fulham

    1 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  4. Manchester United

    1 : 1

    Fiorentina

    Club Friendlies 1

  5. Manchester United

    2 : 2

    Everton

    Premier League Summer Series

Manchester United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 31

    Senne Lammens

Defenders

  • 23

    Luke Shaw

  • 4

    Matthijs de Ligt

  • 15

    Leny Yoro

Midfielders

  • 16

    Amad Diallo

  • 18

    Casemiro

  • 8

    Bruno Fernandes

  • 13

    Patrick Dorgu

Forwards

  • 19

    Bryan Mbeumo

  • 30

    Benjamin Sesko

  • 7

    Mason Mount

Prediction

Neither of these two teams impressed in the attack at the start of the 2025/26 season. Manchester City scored five goals in the opening three Premier League rounds, while Manchester United scored one goal fewer. The last four H2H matches between these two teams ended with three or fewer goals. That trend should continue on Sunday afternoon at Etihad Stadium. Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals

3 Reasons why we shouldn't expect more than three goals in this match

  1. Manchester City scored five goals in three matches in the new season
  2. Manchester United scored four goals in three league games
  3. Every one of the last four H2H matches between Manchester City and Manchester United went under 3.5 goals

Main prediction Manchester City - Manchester United

Under 3.5 goals

Updated

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During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

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Manchester City vs Manchester United standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Liverpool 3 3 0 0 8 - 4 +4 9
2 Chelsea 3 2 1 0 7 - 1 +6 7
3 Arsenal 3 2 0 1 6 - 1 +5 6
4 Tottenham Hotspur 3 2 0 1 5 - 1 +4 6
5 Sunderland 3 2 0 1 5 - 3 +2 6
6 Everton 3 2 0 1 5 - 3 +2 6
7 AFC Bournemouth 3 2 0 1 4 - 4 0 6
8 Crystal Palace 3 1 2 0 4 - 1 +3 5
9 Manchester United 3 1 1 1 4 - 4 0 4
10 Nottingham Forest 3 1 1 1 4 - 5 -1 4
11 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 1 1 1 3 - 4 -1 4
12 Leeds United 3 1 1 1 1 - 5 -4 4
13 Manchester City 3 1 0 2 5 - 4 +1 3
14 Burnley 3 1 0 2 4 - 6 -2 3
15 Brentford 3 1 0 2 3 - 5 -2 3
16 West Ham United 3 1 0 2 4 - 8 -4 3
17 Newcastle United 3 0 2 1 2 - 3 -1 2
18 Fulham 3 0 2 1 2 - 4 -2 2
19 Aston Villa 3 0 1 2 0 - 4 -4 1
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3 0 0 3 2 - 8 -6 0

Manchester City vs Manchester United – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Manchester City this season?

The average xG for Manchester City in the Premier League this season is 1.42.

? How much is the average xG for Manchester United this season?

The average xG for Manchester United in the Premier League this season is 1.98.