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Lyon vs Paris FC prediction 08.03.2026 | Ligue 1

Lyon

Lyon

Kick off:

Date:

Paris FC

Paris FC

1

1.76

X

4.04

2

5.02

  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: 8th March 2026
  • Kick-off: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Groupama Stadium

Lyon walk into Sunday night with a clear objective. A win would steady their grip on a top three spot in Ligue 1. Les Gones currently sit third, only two points ahead of Marseille in fourth. Paris FC arrive much lower down the table, eleven places behind.

Most bookmakers lean toward Lyon here. That makes sense on paper. Still, football has a habit of ignoring tidy predictions. Paris FC snapped a frustrating six match winless stretch last weekend, and confidence can change quickly in this league.

Lyon vs Paris FC Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Paris FC

    3 : 3

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

The history between these two sides is, oddly enough, very short. Only one previous meeting exists. That came in October in the reverse fixture. It was chaotic. Lyon raced into a three goal lead by the 58th minute and looked comfortable. Yet the game slipped away. Paris FC clawed back and the match finished 3–3.

Lyon

Lyon team overview

Les Gones sit third with 45 points from 24 matches. Hold that position until May and it would mark Lyon’s best Ligue 1 finish since the 2020–21 campaign, when the club ended fourth.

Strangely though, the recent form has been shaky. Paulo Fonseca’s side have gone three matches without a win. League defeats to Strasbourg and Marseille hurt. Then came the French Cup exit against Lens after a 2–2 draw and penalties.

Still, Groupama Stadium has treated Lyon kindly. The home crowd has seen five straight league wins there. Nine goals scored, just one conceded.

Roman Yaremchuk is still waiting for his first Ligue 1 goal since arriving from Olympiacos. The Ukrainian striker may start alongside Real Madrid loanee Endrick, who already has three goals and three assists in the league.

Injury concerns remain. Ernest Nuamah, Ruben Kluivert, Afonso Moreira and Pavel Sulc are all expected to miss the match.

Last matches of Lyon

  1. Lyon

    4 : 5

    RC Lens

    Coupe de France

  2. Marseille

    3 : 2

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  3. Strasbourg

    3 : 1

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  4. Lyon

    2 : 0

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  5. Nantes

    0 : 1

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

Lyon lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Dominik Greif

Defenders

  • 3

    Nicolás Tagliafico

  • 19

    Moussa Niakhaté

  • 22

    Clinton Mata

  • 98

    Ainsley Maitland-Niles

Midfielders

  • 8

    Corentin Tolisso

  • 23

    Tyler Morton

  • 6

    Tanner Tessmann

Forwards

  • 99

    Noah Nartey

  • 77

    Roman Yaremchuk

  • 9

    Endrick

Paris FC

Paris FC team overview

Paris FC stepped into Ligue 1 this season after finishing second in Ligue 2 last year. Many expected a difficult campaign. That usually happens with promoted clubs.

Yet the Blues have handled the jump better than predicted. Not perfectly, but well enough. Stéphane Gilli’s side even knocked out PSG in the French Cup earlier in the season. A moment supporters will probably replay for years. In the league table, Paris FC sit nine points clear of the bottom two. That breathing room matters.

Confidence also returned last weekend. A tight 1–0 victory over Nice ended a six match winless run across all competitions. Away form offers a bit of encouragement too. The Blues avoided defeat in four of the last five league trips. Lyon will still look stronger, but Paris FC might believe something is possible.

There are absences though. Thibault De Smet is suspended after a stoppage time red card against Nice. Pierre-Yves Hamel and Hamari Traoré remain sidelined with injuries.

Last matches of Paris FC

  1. Paris FC

    1 : 0

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  2. Toulouse

    1 : 1

    Paris FC

    Ligue 1

  3. Paris FC

    0 : 5

    RC Lens

    Ligue 1

  4. Auxerre

    0 : 0

    Paris FC

    Ligue 1

  5. Lorient

    2 : 0

    Paris FC

    Coupe de France

Paris FC lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 35

    Kevin Trapp

Defenders

  • 42

    Diego Coppola

  • 5

    Moustapha Mbow

  • 4

    Vincent Marchetti

Midfielders

  • 17

    Adama Camara

  • 33

    Pierre Lees-Melou

  • 18

    Marshall Munetsi

  • 27

    Moses Simon

Forwards

  • 10

    Ilan Kebbal

  • 36

    Ciro Immobile

  • 93

    Jonathan Ikoné

Prediction

Lyon might not arrive in perfect form, yet Groupama Stadium has recently been a difficult place for visiting sides. Les Gones have won their last five league games there, conceding just once. Paris FC compete hard, especially away, but scoring regularly remains an issue. A controlled performance from Fonseca’s side feels likely. Lyon 2–0 Paris FC looks a sensible call.

Three reasons we expect under 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Only one of the last five games of Paris FC produced more than two goals.
  2. Paris FC average one goal per game over the course of their last five away league games.
  3. Lyon kept a clean sheet in three of their last four home games.

Main prediction Lyon - Paris FC

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

22bet

2.03

Bet here

Lyon vs Paris FC standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain 25 18 3 4 54 - 22 +32 57
2 Lens 24 17 2 5 45 - 21 +24 53
3 Olympique Lyonnais 24 14 3 7 39 - 26 +13 45
4 Olympique Marseille 24 13 4 7 51 - 33 +18 43
5 Monaco 25 12 4 9 43 - 37 +6 40
6 LOSC Lille 24 12 4 8 37 - 31 +6 40
7 Rennes 24 11 7 6 38 - 35 +3 40
8 Strasbourg 24 10 5 9 40 - 31 +9 35
9 Brest 24 9 6 9 32 - 34 -2 33
10 Lorient 24 8 9 7 34 - 38 -4 33
11 Toulouse 24 8 7 9 33 - 28 +5 31
12 Angers SCO 24 8 5 11 22 - 30 -8 29
13 Le Havre 24 6 8 10 20 - 30 -10 26
14 Paris 24 6 8 10 28 - 40 -12 26
15 Nice 24 6 6 12 30 - 44 -14 24
16 Auxerre 24 4 6 14 19 - 35 -16 18
17 Nantes 24 4 5 15 22 - 41 -19 17
18 Metz 24 3 4 17 22 - 53 -31 13

Lyon vs Paris FC – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Sunday’s Ligue 1 contest⁠ between Lyon and Paris.

? What⁠ is Paris FC’s average number⁠ of corners in their league away matches this season?

3.00

? What is Lyon’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in their Ligue 1home encounters this season?

1.82