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Lorient vs Metz prediction 04.01.2026 | Ligue 1

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  • Competition: Ligue 1
  • Date: Sunday, 4th January 2025
  • Kickoff: 16:15 UK / 17:15 CET
  • Venue: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

The French Ligue 1 continues this weekend, and in another intriguing match, Lorient and Metz will meet. The guests are in a tough position, and they urgently need points to come out of the relegation zone. Can Lorient continue their good form and win on Sunday afternoon? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option. 

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lorient

    0 : 0

    Metz

    Ligue 2

  2. Metz

    1 : 1

    Lorient

    Ligue 2

  3. Metz

    1 : 2

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  4. Lorient

    2 : 3

    Metz

    Ligue 1

  5. Lorient

    1 : 0

    Metz

    Ligue 1

  6. Metz

    4 : 1

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

There is no dominant side between Lorient and Metz as both sides have won four of the last 11 H2H matches, while three games ended in draws. The most recent encounter was almost one year ago, when it was 0-0 at Stade du Moustoir. 

Lorient team overview

After returning to Ligue 1, Lorient's primary goal this season is to avoid relegation. After almost half of the season, Les Merlus are six points above the drop zone. The previous few weeks were excellent for Lorient, as Olivier Pantaloni's team are undefeated in the last six matches in a row. In the most recent outing, Lorient won 7-0 on the road in the cup against AS Le Gosier. The team based in Guadeloupe didn't stand a chance as Les Merlus scored six goals already in the first half and secured an easy victory.

The January transfer window has started, and Lorient could experience some changes. During December, there was a lot of speculation that several clubs are interested in the midfielder Arthur Avom. The Cameroonian is probably the most promising Lorient player, and his eventual transfer could cause a lot of problems for Les Merlus, who would have to act quickly on the market. Also, according to reports, Atalanta are interested in striker Mohamed Bamba. 

Lorient have big problems with missing players. Darlin Yongwa, Aiyegun Tosin, Montassar Talbi, Arsene Kouassi, and Arthur Avom are currently at the African Cup of Nations, while Abdoulaye Faye, Panos Katseris, and Isaak Toure are unavailable for Sunday due to injuries. 

Last matches of

  1. AS Gosier

    0 : 7

    Lorient

    Coupe de France

  2. Strasbourg

    0 : 0

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

  3. Lorient

    1 : 0

    Lyon

    Ligue 1

  4. Lorient

    3 : 1

    OGC Nice

    Ligue 1

  5. Nantes

    1 : 1

    Lorient

    Ligue 1

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 38

    Yvon Mvogo

Defenders

  • 2

    Igor Silva

  • 5

    Bamo Meite

  • 32

    Nathaniel Adjei

Midfielders

  • 11

    Theo Le Bris

  • 29

    Dermane Karim

  • 6

    Laurent Abergel

  • 93

    Joel Mvuka

Forwards

  • 17

    Jean-Victor Makengo

  • 28

    Sambou Soumano

  • 10

    Pablo Pagis

Metz team overview

Metz also returned to the strongest French league this season. However, unlike Lorient, they are at the bottom of the standings with five points fewer than safety. The last few weeks of 2025 were tough for Les Grenats, as they lost the previous four league matches. The negative streak ended in the most recent game, when Metz won 3-0 on the road in the cup against Biesheim. The visitors, as expected, dominated and recorded a rare victory. 

Metz could add Bouna Sarr soon, as the right-back trains with the team for the last few weeks. Sarr, who played for Metz, Marseille, and Bayern Munich, recovered from the cruciate ligament tear and could be an interesting addition to Stephane Le Mignan's team. 

Metz's Cheikh Sabaly, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, and Habibou Diallo are at the African Cup of Nations and will not play on Sunday afternoon. Pape Sy and Joseph Mangondo are out too, and will not travel to Lorient. 

Last matches of

  1. Biesheim

    0 : 3

    Metz

    Coupe de France

  2. Metz

    2 : 3

    PSG

    Ligue 1

  3. Auxerre

    3 : 1

    Metz

    Ligue 1

  4. Metz

    0 : 1

    Rennes

    Ligue 1

  5. Brest

    3 : 2

    Metz

    Ligue 1

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jonathan Fischer

Defenders

  • 39

    Koffi Kouao

  • 38

    Sadibou Sane

  • 15

    Terry Yegbe

  • 2

    Maxime Colin

Midfielders

  • 20

    Jessy Deminguet

  • 10

    Gauthier Hein

  • 8

    Boubacar Traore

Forwards

  • 11

    Malick Mbaye

  • 23

    Ibou Sane

  • 7

    Giorgi Tsitaishvili

Prediction

Lorient have played well lately. They are unbeaten in the last six matches. On the other hand, Metz lost the previous four Ligue 1 games. We should expect Lorient to continue their excellent form and to win on Sunday at Stade du Moustoir. 

3 Reasons why we should expect Lorient to win against Metz

  1. Lorient are undefeated in the last six matches
  2. Metz lost the previous four league games
  3. Metz conceded ten goals in the last four Ligue 1 rounds

Main prediction -

to win

Updated

clock
winrate

52% winrate

wins

7 wins in a row

During 15 years of betting, Nemanja gradually improved his skills to help others bet wisely. He's been playing basketball on a youth level, but is interested basically in every sport, especially football and tennis.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.88

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vs standings in Ligue 1

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Lens 17 13 1 3 31 - 13 +18 40
2 Paris Saint Germain 17 12 3 2 37 - 15 +22 39
3 Olympique Marseille 17 10 2 5 36 - 17 +19 32
4 LOSC Lille 17 10 2 5 33 - 22 +11 32
5 Olympique Lyonnais 17 9 3 5 25 - 17 +8 30
6 Rennes 17 8 6 3 29 - 24 +5 30
7 Strasbourg 17 7 3 7 26 - 21 +5 24
8 Toulouse 17 6 5 6 24 - 22 +2 23
9 Monaco 17 7 2 8 27 - 30 -3 23
10 Angers SCO 17 6 4 7 18 - 20 -2 22
11 Brest 17 6 4 7 23 - 27 -4 22
12 Lorient 17 4 7 6 20 - 29 -9 19
13 Le Havre 17 4 6 7 15 - 23 -8 18
14 Nice 17 5 3 9 20 - 30 -10 18
15 Paris 17 4 4 9 22 - 31 -9 16
16 Nantes 17 3 5 9 16 - 28 -12 14
17 Auxerre 17 3 3 11 14 - 27 -13 12
18 Metz 17 3 3 11 18 - 38 -20 12

Lorient vs Metz – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Lorient this season?

The average xG for Lorient in Ligue 1 this season is 1.32.

? How much is the average xG for Metz this season?

The average xG for Metz in Ligue 1 this season is 1.03.