Liverpool vs Everton prediction 20.09.2025 | Premier League

Liverpool

Liverpool

Kick off:

Date:

Everton

Everton

1

1.46

X

4.96

2

7.19

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Saturday, 20th September, 2025
  • Kickoff: 12:30 UK / 13:30 CEST
  • Venue: Anfield (Liverpool)

After a dramatic 3:2 win over Atletico Madrid in the Champions League opener, Liverpool returns to Premier League action with a city derby against Everton at Anfield.

Let's break down the following Merseyside derby and find the best possible bet.

Liverpool vs Everton Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Liverpool

    1 : 0

    Everton

    Premier League

  2. Everton

    2 : 2

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  3. Everton

    2 : 0

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  4. Liverpool

    2 : 0

    Everton

    Premier League

  5. Liverpool

    2 : 0

    Everton

    Premier League

  6. Everton

    0 : 0

    Liverpool

    Premier League

Thus far, we have seen a total of 246 Merseyside derbies. Liverpool managed to secure 100 wins and Everton 68, while 78 duels finished as draws. 

In recent H2H games, Liverpool were a better team, especially at Anfield, where the Reds secured four wins in a row. 

Regarding the number of goals, six of the last seven H2H games ended with fewer than three goals, while both teams scored on one occasion. 

Liverpool

Liverpool team overview

Liverpool had a fantastic last season, winning the title in the first year under coach Arne Slot. Over the summer, they appear to have strengthened even further, and the recent signing of Alexander Isak could be the final piece that makes them even more formidable.

This season, the Reds picked up where they left off last season. Yes, they lost the Community Shield at the start of the season, but then won four Premier League games in a row and also won the first Champions League game against Atletico Madrid. 

After a 3:2 win over Atletico Madrid, coach Arne Slot spoke to the media. He said there is frustration with letting Atletico back in the game. Still, the coach praised the squad for their strong mentality and the team's fitness. Slot noted they had the ability to "push" in the last moments of the game, which eventually led them to victory. 

Last matches of Liverpool

  1. Liverpool

    3 : 2

    Atletico Madrid

    Champions League

  2. Burnley

    0 : 1

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  3. Liverpool

    1 : 0

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  4. Newcastle United

    2 : 3

    Liverpool

    Premier League

  5. Liverpool

    4 : 2

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

Liverpool lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Alisson

Defenders

  • 30

    Jeremie Frimpong

  • 4

    Virgil van Dijk

  • 5

    Ibrahima Konaté

  • 26

    Andrew Robertson

Midfielders

  • 8

    Dominik Szoboszlai

  • 38

    Ryan Gravenberch

  • 7

    Florian Wirtz

Forwards

  • 11

    Mohamed Salah

  • 9

    Alexander Isak

  • 18

    Cody Gakpo

Everton

Everton team overview

Everton are one of the few teams from the Premier League that have played all 34 seasons since it was founded (this format) in 1992/93. However, they were constantly in the lower part of the league's table in the previous four years. This time, the popular Toffees are doing a better job as they sit in sixth place with seven points out of the first four rounds. 

After a goalless draw with Aston Villa, coach David Moyes said they were a better team and expressed frustration that they couldn't secure a victory. Still, he was very satisfied with his team's performance. 

Last matches of Everton

  1. Everton

    0 : 0

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  2. Wolverhampton Wanderers

    2 : 3

    Everton

    Premier League

  3. Everton

    2 : 0

    Mansfield Town

    Carabao Cup

  4. Everton

    2 : 0

    Brighton & Hove Albion

    Premier League

  5. Leeds United

    1 : 0

    Everton

    Premier League

Everton lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Jordan Pickford

Defenders

  • 15

    Jake O'Brien

  • 5

    Michael Keane

  • 6

    James Tarkowski

  • 37

    James Garner

Midfielders

  • 27

    Idrissa Gueye

  • 22

    Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall

  • 42

    Tim Iroegbunam

Forwards

  • 10

    Iliman Ndiaye

  • 9

    Beto

  • 18

    Jack Grealish

Prediction

While Liverpool had some questionable defensive performances this season, we believe they are getting better in that department, as they kept a clean sheet in the last two Premier League games. We are convinced they will only get better as time passes. 

Meanwhile, Everton have been fantastic for this bet as they went under 3.5 goals in four out of five games across the competition. They are also a very good defensive team, which have kept their net intact in three out of five matches thus far.

Additionally, we rarely see high-scoring games in the Merseyside derby. In the last seven H2H games, they were only once over the 3.5 goal line.

Considering the trend in the previous H2H games, both teams' excellent defensive performances, and all the above, we believe that an under 3.5 goals bet is the safest option for the 247th Merseyside derby. 

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than four goals

  1. Liverpool won the last two PL games 1:0 vs Arsenal and Burnley
  2. Everton went under 3.5 goals in four out of five games across the competitions
  3. Six of the last seven H2H games ended with fewer than four goals

Main prediction Liverpool - Everton

Under 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

58% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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Liverpool vs Everton standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Liverpool 4 4 0 0 9 - 4 +5 12
2 Arsenal 4 3 0 1 9 - 1 +8 9
3 Tottenham Hotspur 4 3 0 1 8 - 1 +7 9
4 AFC Bournemouth 4 3 0 1 6 - 5 +1 9
5 Chelsea 4 2 2 0 9 - 3 +6 8
6 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 5 - 3 +2 7
7 Everton 4 2 1 1 5 - 3 +2 7
8 Manchester City 4 2 0 2 8 - 4 +4 6
9 Crystal Palace 4 1 3 0 4 - 1 +3 6
10 Newcastle United 4 1 2 1 3 - 3 0 5
11 Fulham 4 1 2 1 3 - 4 -1 5
12 Brentford 4 1 1 2 5 - 7 -2 4
13 Brighton & Hove Albion 4 1 1 2 4 - 6 -2 4
14 Manchester United 4 1 1 2 4 - 7 -3 4
15 Nottingham Forest 4 1 1 2 4 - 8 -4 4
16 Leeds United 4 1 1 2 1 - 6 -5 4
17 Burnley 4 1 0 3 4 - 7 -3 3
18 West Ham United 4 1 0 3 4 - 11 -7 3
19 Aston Villa 4 0 2 2 0 - 4 -4 2
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 4 0 0 4 2 - 9 -7 0

Liverpool vs Everton – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Liverpool this season?

The average xG for Liverpool in the Premier League this season is 1.72.

? How much is the average xG for Everton this season?

The average xG for Everton in the Premier League this season is 1.29.