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Lille vs Freiburg prediction 29.01.2026 | Europa League

Lille

Lille

Kick off:

Date:

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

2.02

X

3.66

2

4.03

  • Competition: Europa League
  • Date: Thursday, 29th January, 2026
  • Kickoff: 20:00 UK / 21:00 CET
  • Venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

The Europa League (league phase) is slowly coming to an end. One of the more interesting duels of the round will be between Lille and Freiburg in their first-ever head-to-head game. Lille needs a positive result from the match to have a chance of securing the knockout phase, but are coming to the match on a five-game losing streak across the competitions. On the other hand, Freiburg are in a fantastic position because even a potential loss would most likely secure them a top-eight spot.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Europa League tie.

Lille

Lille team overview

Lille have been either the fourth or fifth-best placed team in Ligue 1 over the previous three seasons. Even though they did well for most of this season, after losing three in a row in the league, they dropped to 5th place. Now, the Mastiffs are six points away from the desired third place and the Champions League appearance next season. They are generally in a terrible momentum, having lost five games across the competitions! 

In the Europa League, the Mastiffs haven't been impressive, sitting in 21st place with nine points in seven rounds. Depending on the other results, they could secure a 1/16 Finals even with a loss, while one point would almost certainly secure them a place in the knockout phase. 

After a 4:1 loss to Strasbourg in the previous round, coach Bruno Genesio spoke to the media. He said it was a very bad performance, admitting they didn't play well. Genesio also pointed to the team's injury problems, explaining that the depleted squad contributed to several misunderstandings in defense.

Last matches of Lille

  1. Lille

    1 : 4

    Strasbourg

    Ligue 1

  2. Celta Vigo

    2 : 1

    Lille

    Europa League

  3. PSG

    3 : 0

    Lille

    Ligue 1

  4. Lille

    1 : 2

    Lyon

    Coupe de France

  5. Lille

    0 : 2

    Rennes

    Ligue 1

Lille lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Berke Özer

Defenders

  • 22

    Tiago Santos

  • 23

    Aïssa Mandi

  • 18

    Chancel Mbemba

  • 3

    Nathan Ngoy

  • 15

    Romain Perraud

Midfielders

  • 8

    Ethan Mbappé

  • 32

    Ayyoub Bouaddi

  • 17

    Ngal'ayel Mukau

Forwards

  • 7

    Matías Fernández-Pardo

  • 9

    Olivier Giroud

SC Freiburg

Freiburg team overview

Freiburg have been a stable Bundesliga team lately and had an excellent last season. They came super close to securing the Champions League but lost the last game of the season and missed the competition by only two points. This season, Freiburg aren't doing as well in the Bundesliga, considering they are in 7th place - five points away from a top six and Europe next season. On the other hand, the popular "Breisgau Brazilians" have been amazing in the Europa League, winning 17 points in seven rounds and are one of the only three undefeated teams in the competition. 

After a 2:1 win over FC Koln, coach Julian Schuster spoke to the media. He was impressed with the team after going down 1:0 early. The coach praised his team, especially their effort and energy in defending late after missing a chance to make it 3:1. 

Last matches of SC Freiburg

  1. SC Freiburg

    2 : 1

    FC Koln

    Bundesliga

  2. SC Freiburg

    1 : 0

    Maccabi Tel Aviv

    Europa League

  3. Augsburg

    2 : 2

    SC Freiburg

    Bundesliga

  4. RB Leipzig

    2 : 0

    SC Freiburg

    Bundesliga

  5. SC Freiburg

    2 : 1

    Hamburger SV

    Bundesliga

SC Freiburg lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Noah Atubolu

Defenders

  • 30

    Christian Günter

  • 37

    Max Rosenfelder

  • 28

    Matthias Ginter

  • 29

    Philipp Treu

Midfielders

  • 6

    Patrick Osterhage

  • 8

    Maximilian Eggestein

  • 14

    Yuito Suzuki

Forwards

  • 19

    Niklas Beste

  • 31

    Igor Matanovic

  • 7

    Derry Scherhant

Prediction

Lille are in terrible form, having lost five in a row while allowing 13 goals - 2.6 per game. To be fair, it was a pretty challenging schedule, but it is still a terrible record. Also, in the Europa League, the Mastiffs lost four out of seven matches - 57%. 

Meanwhile, Freiburg are in excellent form, having lost just once in the past eight games across competitions. They have also been amazing in the Europa League as they are yet to lose a game there! 

Considering the difference in form and both teams' performances in the EL, we believe the visitors will secure at least one point in this game. 

3 Reasons why Freiburg should win or draw

  1. Lille lost five in a row with 13 allowed goals
  2. Freiburg haven't lost in seven EL games
  3. Freiburg lost just once in the last eight games across competitions

Main prediction Lille - SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg win or draw (X2)

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.88

Bet here

Lille vs SC Freiburg standings in Europa League

League Stage P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Olympique Lyonnais 7 6 0 1 14 - 3 +11 18
2 Aston Villa 7 6 0 1 11 - 4 +7 18
3 SC Freiburg 7 5 2 0 10 - 3 +7 17
4 FC Midtjylland 7 5 1 1 16 - 8 +8 16
5 Sporting Braga 7 5 1 1 11 - 5 +6 16
6 Roma 7 5 0 2 12 - 5 +7 15
7 Ferencvárosi 7 4 3 0 12 - 7 +5 15
8 Real Betis 7 4 2 1 11 - 6 +5 14
9 Porto 7 4 2 1 10 - 6 +4 14
10 Genk 7 4 1 2 9 - 6 +3 13
11 Crvena Zvezda 7 4 1 2 6 - 5 +1 13
12 PAOK 7 3 3 1 15 - 10 +5 12
13 VfB Stuttgart 7 4 0 3 12 - 7 +5 12
14 Celta de Vigo 7 4 0 3 14 - 10 +4 12
15 Bologna 7 3 3 1 11 - 7 +4 12
16 Nottingham Forest 7 3 2 2 11 - 7 +4 11
17 Viktoria Plzeň 7 2 5 0 7 - 3 +4 11
18 Fenerbahçe 7 3 2 2 9 - 6 +3 11
19 Panathinaikos 7 3 2 2 10 - 8 +2 11
20 Dinamo Zagreb 7 3 1 3 12 - 14 -2 10
21 LOSC Lille 7 3 0 4 11 - 9 +2 9
22 Brann 7 2 3 2 9 - 10 -1 9
23 Young Boys 7 3 0 4 8 - 13 -5 9
24 Celtic 7 2 2 3 9 - 13 -4 8
25 Ludogorets 7 2 1 4 11 - 15 -4 7
26 Feyenoord 7 2 0 5 10 - 13 -3 6
27 Basel 7 2 0 5 9 - 12 -3 6
28 Salzburg 7 2 0 5 8 - 12 -4 6
29 FCSB 7 2 0 5 8 - 15 -7 6
30 Go Ahead Eagles 7 2 0 5 6 - 14 -8 6
31 Rangers 7 1 1 5 4 - 11 -7 4
32 Sturm Graz 7 1 1 5 4 - 11 -7 4
33 Nice 7 1 0 6 7 - 14 -7 3
34 FC Utrecht 7 0 1 6 3 - 11 -8 1
35 Malmö FF 7 0 1 6 3 - 13 -10 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 7 0 1 6 2 - 19 -17 1

Lille vs Freiburg – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Lille this season?

The average xG for Lille in the Europa League this season is 1.77.

? How much is the average xG for Freiburg this season?

The average xG for Freiburg in the Europa League this season is 1.83.