Lille vs Brest prediction 14.02.2026 | Ligue 1

Lille have built a habit of finishing inside the top five. Three straight seasons now. That consistency deserves credit. However, the current campaign feels slightly uneven. Fifth place is respectable, yet nine points off the top three hints at a ceiling that has not quite been broken.

Bruno Génésio’s men head into this match without a win in two and, more concerning, without a goal in either game. At home, results have wobbled. Three defeats in the last four at Stade Pierre-Mauroy across competitions.

Olivier Giroud, with four league goals, should lead the line. Experience still counts in tight fixtures. Hákon Haraldsson, who has five, tends to find pockets between midfield and defence. Ethan Mbappé remains sidelined until March with a leg injury.

Marc-Aurèle Caillard is nursing an elbow problem. Ousmane Touré, Hamza Igamane, Osame Sahraoui and Thomas Meunier are also unavailable.

Brest’s third place finish in 2023-24 felt almost surreal. Seventeen wins and genuine belief. Since then, reality has settled in. Ninth last year. Twelfth now. That is not collapse, but it is a step back.

Éric Roy’s side sit 12 points clear of the bottom two, which offers breathing room. Relegation talk feels distant. Form has flickered.

A strong 2-0 win over Auxerre opened the year, followed by two defeats. More recently, four points from two games, including a 2-0 victory against Lorient, suggest steadier footing. Mama Baldé misses out with a leg problem. Beyond that, Roy has a fairly healthy squad.