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Leeds vs Manchester City prediction 28.02.2026 | Premier League

Leeds United

Leeds United

Kick off:

Date:

Manchester City

Manchester City

1

5.63

X

4.57

2

1.62

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: Saturday, 28th February, 2026
  • Kickoff: 17:30 UK / 18:30 CET
  • Venue: Elland Road (Leeds)

On Saturday evening, two in-form teams, Leeds and Manchester City, will face off in the 28th round of the English top flight. The Whites are currently on a four-game unbeaten run, while the Citizens are trying to extend their winning streak to six. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Premier League tie.

Leeds United vs Manchester City Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Manchester City

    3 : 2

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  2. Manchester City

    2 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  3. Leeds United

    1 : 3

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  4. Leeds United

    0 : 4

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  5. Manchester City

    7 : 0

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  6. Manchester City

    1 : 2

    Leeds United

    Premier League

In the first H2H game of the season, Manchester City won the duel 3:2 in a super exciting match. Looking further back, we could see the Citizens dominating their recent H2H duels, winning five in a row.

Regarding the number of goals, the last six ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in four of those six. 

Leeds United

Leeds team overview

After securing a return to the Premier League last season by winning the Championship trophy, Leeds only looks to survive. At the start, the Whites had their issues, but despite poor results, they were consistently above the danger zone throughout the season. But lately, it seemed they found their rhythm and suffered only one defeat in the past eight games across competitions. In the Premier League, they are in 15th place, a comfortable six points away from the danger zone. Also, the Whites have recently secured their place in the FA Cup 1/8 Finals and can undoubtedly be happy with their season thus far.

After a 1:1 draw with Aston Villa, coach Daniel Farke spoke to the media. He said they deserved more than just a point from the game and called his players "warriors". The coach was very happy with the performance, despite allowing a late goal to the Villans. 

Last matches of Leeds United

  1. Aston Villa

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  2. Birmingham City

    2 : 4

    Leeds United

    FA Cup

  3. Chelsea

    2 : 2

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  4. Leeds United

    3 : 1

    Nottingham Forest

    Premier League

  5. Leeds United

    0 : 4

    Arsenal

    Premier League

Leeds United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 26

    Karl Darlow

Defenders

  • 2

    Jayden Bogle

  • 5

    Pascal Struijk

  • 6

    Joe Rodon

  • 24

    James Justin

  • 3

    Gabriel Gudmundsson

Midfielders

  • 18

    Anton Stach

  • 44

    Ilia Gruev

  • 4

    Ethan Ampadu

  • 11

    Brenden Aaronson

Forwards

  • 9

    Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Manchester City

Manchester City team overview

After an initial poor start, at least by their standards, Manchester City are undoubtedly on the rise. This season reminds us very much of the 2022/23 and 2023/24 seasons when Arsenal created a big lead early, but the Citizens eventually lifted the PL trophy. At the moment, the Citizens are in 2nd place - five points behind Arsenal, but with one game played less. 

Earlier this month, the Citizens already secured their place in the EFL Cup Finals and the FA Cup 1/8 Finals, while also securing their place in the Champions League 1/8 Finals. They are generally in very good form, but had problems on the road, and this game against Leeds will likely not be as easy as the odds suggest. 

After a 2:1 win over Newcastle, coach Pep Guardiola spoke to the media. He said it was a massive win given Newcastle's strong form. The coach said they need to rest briefly and prepare for the next match against Leeds. 

Last matches of Manchester City

  1. Manchester City

    2 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Premier League

  2. Manchester City

    2 : 0

    Salford City

    FA Cup

  3. Manchester City

    3 : 0

    Fulham

    Premier League

  4. Liverpool

    1 : 2

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  5. Manchester City

    3 : 1

    Newcastle United

    Carabao Cup

Manchester City lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 25

    Gianluigi Donnarumma

Defenders

  • 27

    Matheus Nunes

  • 15

    Marc Guéhi

  • 3

    Rúben Dias

  • 21

    Rayan Aït-Nouri

Midfielders

  • 16

    Rodri

  • 20

    Bernardo Silva

  • 33

    Nico O'Reilly

Forwards

  • 42

    Antoine Semenyo

  • 9

    Erling Haaland

  • 7

    Omar Marmoush

Prediction

Leeds have been excellent for this type of bet, with the last four games finishing with both teams scoring. They also scored at least one goal in nine out of ten of their last games against good competition. We believe they could score at least once, given that Manchester City haven't kept a clean sheet in their past four road matches.

On the other hand, Manchester City are in great form. They won five in a row and scored a total of 12 goals. Moreover, the Citizens scored two or more goals in the past eight games and should do so against Leeds as well. 

In the first H2H game, we saw a 3:2 win for Manchester City. Considering the previous H2H game and both teams' excellent recent form, we expect both teams to score in this Premier League tie. 

4 Reasons why we should see both teams scoring

  1. Both teams scored in Leeds' last four games
  2. Leeds scored at least one goal in nine of the past ten games
  3. Manchester City scored two or more goals in the last eight games
  4. Manchester City won the first H2H game 3:2

Main prediction Leeds United - Manchester City

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

3 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Megapari

1.66

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Leeds United vs Manchester City standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 28 18 7 3 56 - 21 +35 61
2 Manchester City 27 17 5 5 56 - 25 +31 56
3 Aston Villa 27 15 6 6 38 - 28 +10 51
4 Manchester United 27 13 9 5 48 - 37 +11 48
5 Chelsea 27 12 9 6 48 - 31 +17 45
6 Liverpool 27 13 6 8 42 - 35 +7 45
7 Brentford 27 12 4 11 40 - 37 +3 40
8 AFC Bournemouth 27 9 11 7 43 - 45 -2 38
9 Everton 27 10 7 10 29 - 31 -2 37
10 Fulham 27 11 4 12 38 - 41 -3 37
11 Newcastle United 27 10 6 11 38 - 39 -1 36
12 Sunderland 27 9 9 9 28 - 33 -5 36
13 Crystal Palace 27 9 8 10 29 - 32 -3 35
14 Brighton & Hove Albion 27 8 10 9 36 - 34 +2 34
15 Leeds United 27 7 10 10 37 - 46 -9 31
16 Tottenham Hotspur 27 7 8 12 37 - 41 -4 29
17 Nottingham Forest 27 7 6 14 25 - 39 -14 27
18 West Ham United 27 6 7 14 32 - 49 -17 25
19 Burnley 27 4 7 16 29 - 52 -23 19
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 28 1 7 20 18 - 51 -33 10

Leeds vs Manchester City – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Leeds this season?

The average xG for Leeds in the Premier League this season is 1.36.

? How much is the average xG for Manchester City this season?

The average xG for Manchester City in the Premier League this season is 1.68.