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Leeds vs Aston Villa prediction 23.11.2025 | Premier League

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  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: 23rd November, 2025
  • Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CET
  • Venue: Elland Road

On Sunday, Leeds United welcome Aston Villa to Elland Road in what promises to be a compelling Premier League fixture. Leeds, newly promoted under Daniel Farke, are grappling with defensive fragility, while Villa, under Unai Emery, are hunting for consistency in attack. With both sides showing contrasting strengths and weaknesses this season, the match could hinge on how well Leeds defend at home and whether Villa can convert their chances on the other end.

vs Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Aston Villa

    2 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  2. Leeds United

    0 : 0

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  3. Aston Villa

    1 : 0

    Leeds United

    Queensland Champions Cup

  4. Leeds United

    0 : 3

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  5. Aston Villa

    3 : 3

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  6. Leeds United

    0 : 1

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

Historically, the fixture has been relatively balanced. In their previous 12 league meetings, Leeds have won 3, Aston Villa have won 4, and 5 have ended in draws. Looking at their most recent Premier League history, Villa boast a record of five undefeated matches against Leeds.

Leeds team overview

Leeds’ return to the Premier League has been rocky. Even with only a quarter of the season played, it is clear that Daniel Farke’s men are likely to be involved in the relegation battle, as they currently sit 16th-only one point above the drop zone. Victories have been scarce in the opening phase of the campaign, with Leeds managing to beat only fellow relegation strugglers Wolves and West Ham during this period.

The opening-day win against Everton remains the only instance in which Leeds collected all three points against a side not currently in the bottom three. Their recent form has been poor: they have managed just one win in their last five Premier League fixtures and continue to struggle defensively. Clean sheets have been difficult to come by, with Leeds preventing the opposition from scoring in only 18% of their league matches.

One positive for Leeds is the lack of injuries. Reports suggest that Farke’s squad will be at full strength heading into this match.

Last matches of

  1. Nottingham Forest

    3 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  2. Brighton & Hove Albion

    3 : 0

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  3. Leeds United

    2 : 1

    West Ham United

    Premier League

  4. Burnley

    2 : 0

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. Leeds United

    1 : 2

    Tottenham Hotspur

    Premier League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Lucas Perri

Defenders

  • 2

    Jayden Bogle

  • 6

    Joe Rodon

  • 15

    Jaka Bijol

  • 3

    Gabriel Gudmundsson

Midfielders

  • 4

    Ethan Ampadu

  • 8

    Sean Longstaff

  • 18

    Anton Stach

Forwards

  • 11

    Brenden Aaronson

  • 19

    Noah Okafor

  • 14

    Lukas Nmecha

Aston Villa team overview

Aston Villa have enjoyed a more stable campaign under Unai Emery. After a slow and discouraging start to the 2025/26 season - failing to win any of their first five league matches - Villa have since turned their fortunes around and climbed the table. They are currently one of the in-form teams in the division, having collected five wins from a possible six over the past couple of months. Their only defeat in that period came away to Liverpool on the first day of November. However, despite this significant upturn, Villa’s away form remains questionable. They have won just once in five league matches on the road (against Tottenham) and, more concerningly, have failed to score in three of those five away fixtures.

Unlike Leeds, the visitors face limitations in squad selection. Konsa, Onana, and Cash have all been ruled out through injury.

Last matches of

  1. Aston Villa

    4 : 0

    AFC Bournemouth

    Premier League

  2. Aston Villa

    2 : 0

    Maccabi Tel Aviv

    Europa League

  3. Liverpool

    2 : 0

    Aston Villa

    Premier League

  4. Aston Villa

    1 : 0

    Manchester City

    Premier League

  5. Go Ahead Eagles

    2 : 1

    Aston Villa

    Europa League

lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 23

    Emiliano Martínez

Defenders

  • 2

    Matty Cash

  • 4

    Ezri Konsa

  • 14

    Pau Torres

  • 12

    Lucas Digne

Midfielders

  • 24

    Amadou Onana

  • 44

    Boubacar Kamara

  • 7

    John McGinn

  • 10

    Emiliano Buendía

Forwards

  • 11

    Ollie Watkins

  • 27

    Morgan Rogers

Prediction

Given the available data, this looks like a game that could lean in Villa’s favour - not through a blitz of attacks but through disciplined defence and efficient chance conversion. Leeds’ inability to score consistently and their defensive fragility make them vulnerable, especially at home. However, Villa do struggle to keep clean sheets on the road - they have only kept one clean sheet in five away fixtures, while Leeds have scored in three consecutive home matches.

Prediction: Both teams to score (BTTS).

Three reasons we expect BTTS

  1. Aston Villa have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five away fixtures.
  2. Leeds have scored in three consecutive home matches in the league. 
  3. BTTS landed in five of Leeds’ last seven league encounters.

Main prediction -

Both Teams to Score

Updated

clock
winrate

55% winrate

wins

2 wins in a row

I have been familiar with sports betting and football betting in particular for 10 years, so I have a good knowledge of analysing and researching football bets to make the best possible predictions.

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vs standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 11 8 2 1 20 - 5 +15 26
2 Chelsea 12 7 2 3 23 - 11 +12 23
3 Manchester City 11 7 1 3 23 - 8 +15 22
4 Sunderland 11 5 4 2 14 - 10 +4 19
5 Tottenham Hotspur 11 5 3 3 19 - 10 +9 18
6 Aston Villa 11 5 3 3 13 - 10 +3 18
7 Manchester United 11 5 3 3 19 - 18 +1 18
8 Liverpool 11 6 0 5 18 - 17 +1 18
9 AFC Bournemouth 11 5 3 3 17 - 18 -1 18
10 Crystal Palace 11 4 5 2 14 - 9 +5 17
11 Brighton & Hove Albion 11 4 4 3 17 - 15 +2 16
12 Brentford 11 5 1 5 17 - 17 0 16
13 Everton 11 4 3 4 12 - 13 -1 15
14 Newcastle United 11 3 3 5 11 - 14 -3 12
15 Fulham 11 3 2 6 12 - 16 -4 11
16 Leeds United 11 3 2 6 10 - 20 -10 11
17 Burnley 12 3 1 8 14 - 24 -10 10
18 West Ham United 11 3 1 7 13 - 23 -10 10
19 Nottingham Forest 11 2 3 6 10 - 20 -10 9
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 11 0 2 9 7 - 25 -18 2

Leeds vs Aston Villa – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can watch Leeds take on Aston Villa on the Sofascore app.

? What is the average number of corners Leeds have won in the Premier League season 2025/26?

4.3

? What is the average number of corners Aston Villa have won in the Premier League season 2025/26?

5.4