Leeds vs Aston Villa prediction 23.11.2025 | Premier League
Leeds United
1 - 2
Elapsed: FT
Half time: 1 - 0
Full time: 1 - 2
Kick off:
Date:
Aston Villa
The match has ended, you can view today's football predictions and football predictions for tomorrow.
Contents
- Competition: Premier League
- Date: 23rd November, 2025
- Kickoff: 14:00 UK / 15:00 CET
- Venue: Elland Road
On Sunday, Leeds United welcome Aston Villa to Elland Road in what promises to be a compelling Premier League fixture. Leeds, newly promoted under Daniel Farke, are grappling with defensive fragility, while Villa, under Unai Emery, are hunting for consistency in attack. With both sides showing contrasting strengths and weaknesses this season, the match could hinge on how well Leeds defend at home and whether Villa can convert their chances on the other end.
Leeds United vs Aston Villa Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Aston Villa
2 : 1
Leeds United
Premier League
-
Leeds United
0 : 0
Aston Villa
Premier League
-
Aston Villa
1 : 0
Leeds United
Queensland Champions Cup
-
Leeds United
0 : 3
Aston Villa
Premier League
-
Aston Villa
3 : 3
Leeds United
Premier League
-
Leeds United
0 : 1
Aston Villa
Premier League
Historically, the fixture has been relatively balanced. In their previous 12 league meetings, Leeds have won 3, Aston Villa have won 4, and 5 have ended in draws. Looking at their most recent Premier League history, Villa boast a record of five undefeated matches against Leeds.
Leeds team overview
Leeds’ return to the Premier League has been rocky. Even with only a quarter of the season played, it is clear that Daniel Farke’s men are likely to be involved in the relegation battle, as they currently sit 16th-only one point above the drop zone. Victories have been scarce in the opening phase of the campaign, with Leeds managing to beat only fellow relegation strugglers Wolves and West Ham during this period.
The opening-day win against Everton remains the only instance in which Leeds collected all three points against a side not currently in the bottom three. Their recent form has been poor: they have managed just one win in their last five Premier League fixtures and continue to struggle defensively. Clean sheets have been difficult to come by, with Leeds preventing the opposition from scoring in only 18% of their league matches.
One positive for Leeds is the lack of injuries. Reports suggest that Farke’s squad will be at full strength heading into this match.
Last matches of Leeds United
-
Nottingham Forest
3 : 1
Leeds United
Premier League
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
3 : 0
Leeds United
Premier League
-
Leeds United
2 : 1
West Ham United
Premier League
-
Burnley
2 : 0
Leeds United
Premier League
-
Leeds United
1 : 2
Tottenham Hotspur
Premier League
Leeds United lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Lucas Perri
Defenders
-
2
Jayden Bogle
-
6
Joe Rodon
-
15
Jaka Bijol
-
3
Gabriel Gudmundsson
Midfielders
-
4
Ethan Ampadu
-
8
Sean Longstaff
-
18
Anton Stach
Forwards
-
11
Brenden Aaronson
-
19
Noah Okafor
-
14
Lukas Nmecha
Aston Villa team overview
Aston Villa have enjoyed a more stable campaign under Unai Emery. After a slow and discouraging start to the 2025/26 season - failing to win any of their first five league matches - Villa have since turned their fortunes around and climbed the table. They are currently one of the in-form teams in the division, having collected five wins from a possible six over the past couple of months. Their only defeat in that period came away to Liverpool on the first day of November. However, despite this significant upturn, Villa’s away form remains questionable. They have won just once in five league matches on the road (against Tottenham) and, more concerningly, have failed to score in three of those five away fixtures.
Unlike Leeds, the visitors face limitations in squad selection. Konsa, Onana, and Cash have all been ruled out through injury.
Last matches of Aston Villa
-
Aston Villa
4 : 0
AFC Bournemouth
Premier League
-
Aston Villa
2 : 0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Europa League
-
Liverpool
2 : 0
Aston Villa
Premier League
-
Aston Villa
1 : 0
Manchester City
Premier League
-
Go Ahead Eagles
2 : 1
Aston Villa
Europa League
Aston Villa lineup
Goalkeeper
-
23
Emiliano Martínez
Defenders
-
2
Matty Cash
-
4
Ezri Konsa
-
14
Pau Torres
-
12
Lucas Digne
Midfielders
-
24
Amadou Onana
-
44
Boubacar Kamara
-
7
John McGinn
-
10
Emiliano Buendía
Forwards
-
11
Ollie Watkins
-
27
Morgan Rogers
Prediction
Given the available data, this looks like a game that could lean in Villa’s favour - not through a blitz of attacks but through disciplined defence and efficient chance conversion. Leeds’ inability to score consistently and their defensive fragility make them vulnerable, especially at home. However, Villa do struggle to keep clean sheets on the road - they have only kept one clean sheet in five away fixtures, while Leeds have scored in three consecutive home matches.
Prediction: Both teams to score (BTTS).
Three reasons we expect BTTS
- Aston Villa have failed to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five away fixtures.
- Leeds have scored in three consecutive home matches in the league.
- BTTS landed in five of Leeds’ last seven league encounters.
Main prediction Leeds United - Aston Villa
Both Teams to Score
Leeds United vs Aston Villa standings in Premier League
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 58 - 22 | +36 | 64 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 57 - 25 | +32 | 59 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 50 - 38 | +12 | 51 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 38 - 30 | +8 | 51 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 48 - 39 | +9 | 48 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 49 - 33 | +16 | 45 |
| 7 | Brentford | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 44 - 40 | +4 | 44 |
| 8 | Everton | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 34 - 33 | +1 | 43 |
| 9 | AFC Bournemouth | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 44 - 46 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Fulham | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 40 - 42 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 30 - 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38 - 35 | +3 | 37 |
| 13 | Newcastle United | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40 - 42 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30 - 34 | -4 | 35 |
| 15 | Leeds United | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 37 - 48 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham Hotspur | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 38 - 43 | -5 | 29 |
| 17 | Nottingham Forest | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 - 41 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham United | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34 - 54 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 | Burnley | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32 - 58 | -26 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 22 - 52 | -30 | 16 |