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Leeds vs Arsenal prediction 31.01.2026 | Premier League

Leeds United

Leeds United

Kick off:

Date:

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

6.50

X

4.10

2

1.52

  • Competition: Premier League
  • Date: 31st January 2026
  • Kick-off: 15:00 UK / 16:00 CET
  • Venue: Elland Road

Leeds United host Arsenal on Saturday afternoon with very different pressures hanging over each side. The table gap looks huge on paper. Twenty four points. Fourteen places. Yet it does not quite tell the full story. Leeds are hovering just above the relegation line, while Arsenal are setting the pace at the top. The betting markets lean toward the Gunners, although anyone who has watched Leeds at home lately might hesitate before calling this straightforward.

Leeds United vs Arsenal Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Arsenal

    5 : 0

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  2. Arsenal

    4 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  3. Leeds United

    0 : 1

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  4. Arsenal

    2 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. Leeds United

    1 : 4

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  6. Arsenal

    4 : 2

    Leeds United

    Premier League

Since 2021, these two have crossed paths seven times in competitive matches. Arsenal have owned the fixture, winning all seven and keeping three clean sheets. That dominance has come with goals too. Almost four per game on average, which says something about how open these meetings usually become.

Leeds United

Leeds team overview

Promotion via a Championship title last season gave Leeds a platform, and the Whites have used it reasonably well. Survival is the target and, for now, Daniel Farke’s side are doing enough.

Six points clear of trouble, unbeaten in three, and more importantly, hard to beat at Elland Road. Home form has carried a lot of the weight. Outright wins over Chelsea and Palace as well as draws against Liverpool and Manchester United have given fans reason to believe.

You can picture the place on Saturday, loud, restless, hopeful. Dominic Calvert-Lewin remains central to that belief, nine league goals making him the reference point up front.

Brenden Aaronson adds energy and end product just behind him. Daniel James, however, is still missing with a hamstring issue and will not be rushed back.

Last matches of Leeds United

  1. Everton

    1 : 1

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  2. Leeds United

    1 : 0

    Fulham

    Premier League

  3. Derby County

    1 : 3

    Leeds United

    FA Cup

  4. Newcastle United

    4 : 3

    Leeds United

    Premier League

  5. Leeds United

    1 : 1

    Manchester United

    Premier League

Leeds United lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 26

    Karl Darlow

Defenders

  • 5

    Pascal Struijk

  • 6

    Joe Rodon

  • 23

    Sebastiaan Bornauw

Midfielders

  • 24

    James Justin

  • 44

    Ilia Gruev

  • 4

    Ethan Ampadu

  • 18

    Anton Stach

  • 2

    Jayden Bogle

Forwards

  • 9

    Dominic Calvert-Lewin

  • 11

    Brenden Aaronson

Arsenal

Arsenal team overview

Arsenal arrive with bigger ambitions than simply three points. After three straight second place finishes, this feels like the year Arteta’s side want to turn promise into something tangible.

The Gunners sit four points clear at the summit and have been built on control, conceding just 17 league goals so far. Europe has been smooth sailing too. Eight wins from eight underline that confidence.

Viktor Gyökeres comes into this one in good rhythm after midweek, likely flanked by Bukayo Saka and Leandro Trossard.

Declan Rice and Mikel Merino return after serving European suspensions, which helps. Injuries are light. Calafiori and Havertz are back in training after their recent spells on the sidelines, giving Arteta many options.

Last matches of Arsenal

  1. Arsenal

    3 : 2

    Kairat Almaty

    Champions League

  2. Arsenal

    2 : 3

    Manchester United

    Premier League

  3. Inter Milan

    1 : 3

    Arsenal

    Champions League

  4. Nottingham Forest

    0 : 0

    Arsenal

    Premier League

  5. Chelsea

    2 : 3

    Arsenal

    Carabao Cup

Arsenal lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    David Raya

Defenders

  • 12

    Jurrien Timber

  • 2

    William Saliba

  • 6

    Gabriel Magalhães

  • 49

    Myles Lewis-Skelly

Midfielders

  • 8

    Martin Ødegaard

  • 36

    Martín Zubimendi

  • 41

    Declan Rice

Forwards

  • 7

    Bukayo Saka

  • 14

    Viktor Gyökeres

  • 19

    Leandro Trossard

Prediction

Arsenal look well placed to take this 3–1. The Gunners have won all seven meetings with Leeds since 2021, averaging nearly four goals per game in that run. Arteta’s side also boast the league’s best defence, yet Leeds have scored in each of their last nine home matches, suggesting goals at both ends.

Four reasons we expect over 2.5 goals in this game

  1. Leeds United finished only two of their last 21 games without conceding.
  2. Arsenal boast just one clean sheet from their last six matches.
  3. Five of the last six games of Arsenal produced 4+ goals.
  4. Four of the last five meeting between Leeds and Arsenal ended with over 2.5 goals.

Main prediction Leeds United - Arsenal

Over 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

60% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Strategic Betting Analyst: Expert in Developing and Implementing Data-Driven, Profitable Sports Betting Strategies.

Best Odds:

1xBet

1.98

Bet here

Leeds United vs Arsenal standings in Premier League

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Arsenal 23 15 5 3 42 - 17 +25 50
2 Manchester City 23 14 4 5 47 - 21 +26 46
3 Aston Villa 23 14 4 5 35 - 25 +10 46
4 Manchester United 23 10 8 5 41 - 34 +7 38
5 Chelsea 23 10 7 6 39 - 25 +14 37
6 Liverpool 23 10 6 7 35 - 32 +3 36
7 Fulham 23 10 4 9 32 - 32 0 34
8 Brentford 23 10 3 10 35 - 32 +3 33
9 Newcastle United 23 9 6 8 32 - 29 +3 33
10 Everton 23 9 6 8 25 - 26 -1 33
11 Sunderland 23 8 9 6 24 - 26 -2 33
12 Brighton & Hove Albion 23 7 9 7 33 - 31 +2 30
13 AFC Bournemouth 23 7 9 7 38 - 43 -5 30
14 Tottenham Hotspur 23 7 7 9 33 - 31 +2 28
15 Crystal Palace 23 7 7 9 24 - 28 -4 28
16 Leeds United 23 6 8 9 31 - 38 -7 26
17 Nottingham Forest 23 7 4 12 23 - 34 -11 25
18 West Ham United 23 5 5 13 27 - 45 -18 20
19 Burnley 23 3 6 14 25 - 44 -19 15
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 23 1 5 17 15 - 43 -28 8

Leeds vs Arsenal – FAQ

? Where to watc⁠h?

Camel1 Live i⁠s free and a good alternati⁠ve to stream Saturay’s Premier League contest⁠ between Leeds and Arsenal.

? What⁠ is Arsenal’s average number⁠ of corners in their away league matches this season?

5.91

? What is Leeds United’s average num⁠ber of yellow c⁠ards received in their Premier League home encounters this season?

1.73