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Lazio vs Sassuolo prediction 09.03.2026 | Serie A

Lazio

Lazio

Kick off:

Date:

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

1

2.22

X

3.38

2

3.72

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Monday, 9th March, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

After a 2:2 draw with Atalanta in the first leg of the Coppa Italia semi-finals, Lazio will continue their Serie A campaign. Biancocelesti are currently on a four-game league winless streak and will welcome Sassuolo, which have won three in a row and five of the past six. 

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Serie A tie. 

Lazio vs Sassuolo Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Sassuolo

    1 : 0

    Lazio

    Serie A

  2. Lazio

    1 : 1

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  3. Sassuolo

    0 : 2

    Lazio

    Serie A

  4. Lazio

    2 : 0

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  5. Sassuolo

    0 : 2

    Lazio

    Serie A

  6. Lazio

    2 : 1

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

In the first H2H game this season, Sassuolo won 1:0 in a super close match that could easily have resulted in a draw. Looking further back, over the past ten H2H games, Lazio won five times, while Sassuolo won three games.

When it comes to the number of goals, three of the past ten H2H games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored five times. 

Lazio

Lazio team overview

Lazio are playing their worst season in a very long time, currently sitting in 11th place with 34 points from 27 rounds, and are 13 points away from European spots. Many football pundits call this probably the darkest period for Lazio in their lifetime, and most of the blame falls on the board for lack of signings, especially up front. The fans are extremely unhappy, and most did not want to enter the stadium for the Cup game against Atalanta. It seems that winning the Cup is the only thing that can somewhat save their season. 

After a 2:2 draw with Atalanta, coach Maurizio Sarri spoke to the media. He was satisfied with the performance, but said the lack of fans in the stadium affected the result. The coach admitted there was regret because Lazio took the lead twice but failed to hold it. 

Last matches of Lazio

  1. Lazio

    2 : 2

    Atalanta

    Coppa Italia

  2. Torino

    2 : 0

    Lazio

    Serie A

  3. Cagliari

    0 : 0

    Lazio

    Serie A

  4. Lazio

    0 : 2

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  5. Bologna

    1 : 4

    Lazio

    Coppa Italia

Lazio lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 94

    Ivan Provedel

Defenders

  • 77

    Adam Marusic

  • 34

    Mario Gila

  • 13

    Alessio Romagnoli

  • 17

    Nuno Tavares

Midfielders

  • 24

    Kenneth Taylor

  • 32

    Danilo Cataldi

  • 7

    Fisayo Dele-Bashiru

Forwards

  • 18

    Gustav Isaksen

  • 27

    Daniel Maldini

  • 10

    Mattia Zaccagni

Sassuolo

Sassuolo team overview

Sassuolo suffered an unexpected relegation from Serie A in 2023/24 but returned the following season instantly. This season, Neroverdi had some ups and downs, but with the latest stint of five wins in the past six games, we can safely say the season was a success. At the moment, Neroverdi are in 9th place with 38 points - four points above their next opponent, Lazio. Still, reaching the European spots seems pretty distant, but we doubt that was their goal before the start of the season. 

In the previous game against Atalanta, Sassuolo won 2:1 despite Andrea Pinamonti receiving a red card in the 16th minute. The 26-year-old will serve his suspension in the Lazio game, along with Nemanja Matic, who collected his fifth yellow card in the previous match. Additionally, winger Alieu Fadera suffered an injury and will most likely miss the upcoming game as well. 

Last matches of Sassuolo

  1. Sassuolo

    2 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  2. Sassuolo

    3 : 0

    Hellas Verona

    Serie A

  3. Udinese

    1 : 2

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

  4. Sassuolo

    0 : 5

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  5. Pisa

    1 : 3

    Sassuolo

    Serie A

Sassuolo lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 49

    Arijanet Murić

Defenders

  • 25

    Woyo Coulibaly

  • 21

    Jay Idzes

  • 80

    Tarik Muharemović

  • 23

    Ulisses Garcia

Midfielders

  • 42

    Kristian Thorstvedt

  • 35

    Luca Lipani

  • 90

    Ismaël Koné

Forwards

  • 10

    Domenico Berardi

  • 8

    M'Bala Nzola

  • 45

    Armand Laurienté

Prediction

Lazio are in terrible form, having failed to win any of their past six games across competitions, at least in regular time. At Olimpico, they won just once in the past eight games! Also, the home pitch won't be such a factor in this game because Lazio's fans will most likely boycott the match.

Sassuolo, on the other hand, won five of the past six games. Right now, Neroverdi are one of the hottest teams in Serie A, and we believe they will secure a positive result. Also, in 13 Serie A road games, Sassuolo lost five matches. However, four of those five losses came against the top-five teams. 

In the first H2H game this season, Sassuolo won 1:0. Considering all the above, we expect Neroverdi to win at least one point.

3 Reasons why Sassuolo should win or draw

  1. Lazio failed to win in the past six matches
  2. Sassuolo won five of the past six games
  3. Sassuolo won the first H2H game this season 1:0

Main prediction Lazio - Sassuolo

Sassuolo win or draw (X2)

Updated

clock
winrate

53% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

22bet

1.74

Bet here

Lazio vs Sassuolo standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 27 22 1 4 64 - 21 +43 67
2 AC Milan 27 16 9 2 43 - 20 +23 57
3 Napoli 28 17 5 6 43 - 29 +14 56
4 Roma 27 16 3 8 37 - 19 +18 51
5 Como 28 14 9 5 46 - 21 +25 51
6 Juventus 28 14 8 6 50 - 28 +22 50
7 Atalanta 28 12 10 6 39 - 26 +13 46
8 Bologna 27 11 6 10 36 - 32 +4 39
9 Sassuolo 27 11 5 11 34 - 36 -2 38
10 Udinese 28 10 6 12 33 - 41 -8 36
11 Lazio 27 8 10 9 26 - 27 -1 34
12 Parma 27 8 9 10 20 - 32 -12 33
13 Cagliari 28 7 9 12 30 - 38 -8 30
14 Torino 28 8 6 14 28 - 49 -21 30
15 Genoa 27 6 9 12 32 - 39 -7 27
16 Cremonese 27 5 9 13 21 - 38 -17 24
17 Fiorentina 27 5 9 13 30 - 42 -12 24
18 Lecce 27 6 6 15 18 - 36 -18 24
19 Pisa 28 1 12 15 20 - 48 -28 15
20 Hellas Verona 27 2 9 16 20 - 48 -28 15

Lazio vs Sassuolo – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Lazio this season?

The average xG for Lazio in the Serie A this season is 1.25.

? How much is the average xG for Sassuolo this season?

The average xG for Sassuolo in the Serie A this season is 1.20.