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Lazio vs Napoli prediction 04.01.2026 | Serie A

Lazio

Lazio

0 - 2

Elapsed: FT

Half time: 0 - 2

Full time: 0 - 2

Kick off:

Date:

Napoli

Napoli

1

4.16

X

3.09

2

2.14

match ended

The match has ended, you can view today's football predictions and football predictions for tomorrow.

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Sunday, 4th January, 2026
  • Kickoff: 11:30 UK / 12:30 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

The Italian Serie A is set to restart in 2026, and in the 18th round, one of the most interesting matches will be between Lazio and the reigning champions, Napoli. The hosts come into this game on a five-match unbeaten run, while Napoli arrive after winning the Super Cup in Saudi Arabia and following that up with a league victory over Cremonese in their final match of 2025.

The Biancocelesti are hoping for a win that would move them into the top six and the European qualification places, while Gli Azzurri are aiming to climb back to the top of the table with another victory.

Lazio vs Napoli Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Lazio

    2 : 2

    Napoli

    Serie A

  2. Napoli

    0 : 1

    Lazio

    Serie A

  3. Lazio

    3 : 1

    Napoli

    Coppa Italia

  4. Lazio

    0 : 0

    Napoli

    Serie A

  5. Napoli

    1 : 2

    Lazio

    Serie A

  6. Napoli

    0 : 1

    Lazio

    Serie A

In the previous season, these teams met three times - twice in the league and once in the Cup. Lazio won twice, and one game ended as a draw. Looking further back, over the past ten h2h games, each team has won four times. 

Regarding the number of goals, six out of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (six).

Lazio

Lazio team overview

After finishing second in Serie A in the 2022/23 season, Lazio had two seventh-place finishes in the following season. This season, they even missed out on Europe and are only focused on the domestic competitions. Unfortunately, Biancocelesti are not playing as great as expected, considering they are in 8th place with 24 points from 17 matches. The main issue this season is their terrible road record, because they are averaging around 0.87 points per game less there. Therefore, it is crucial to continue with good results at Stadio Olimpico.

After a 1:1 draw in the previous game vs Udinese, coach Maurizio Sarri spoke to the media. He was furious at Udinese's late equalizer, as he felt it was a clear handball in the buildup to the action, and it was ignored by VAR. Due to his frustration, the coach decided to withdraw from the post-media duties. 

For the upcoming game, Boulaye Dia and Fisayo Dele-Bashiru are unavailable as they are participating in the ongoing AFCON. Additionally, Nicolo Rovella and Samuel Gigot will remain sidelined with their long-term injuries.

Last matches of Lazio

  1. Udinese

    1 : 1

    Lazio

    Serie A

  2. Lazio

    0 : 0

    Cremonese

    Serie A

  3. Parma

    0 : 1

    Lazio

    Serie A

  4. Lazio

    1 : 1

    Bologna

    Serie A

  5. Lazio

    1 : 0

    AC Milan

    Coppa Italia

Lazio lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 94

    Ivan Provedel

Defenders

  • 77

    Adam Marusic

  • 34

    Mario Gila

  • 13

    Alessio Romagnoli

  • 3

    Luca Pellegrini

Midfielders

  • 5

    Matías Vecino

  • 32

    Danilo Cataldi

  • 21

    Reda Belahyane

Forwards

  • 22

    Matteo Cancellieri

  • 14

    Tijjani Noslin

  • 10

    Mattia Zaccagni

Napoli

Napoli team overview

Napoli won their fourth Scudetto last season, their second in the past three seasons. This season, Gli Azzurri continued with very good results in Serie A and are currently just two points away from the top spot. Unfortunately, their performance in the Champions League could have been much better, as they barely secured a place in the next phase, finishing 23rd. But besides their unimpressive Champions League appearance, they can be satisfied with the season thus far. At the moment, the bookies see Napoli as the second favorite for the title, with the odds between 4 and 5, while Inter are the main favorite with odds between 1.6 and 1.7.

Napoli's season has been particularly impressive, given their constant injury problems. For the upcoming game, they could miss up to six players - Alex Meret, Mathias Olivera, Romelu Lukaku, Billy Gilmour, Kevin De Bruyne, and Sam Beukema.

Last matches of Napoli

  1. Cremonese

    0 : 2

    Napoli

    Serie A

  2. Napoli

    2 : 0

    Bologna

    Super Cup

  3. Napoli

    2 : 0

    AC Milan

    Super Cup

  4. Udinese

    1 : 0

    Napoli

    Serie A

  5. Benfica

    2 : 0

    Napoli

    Champions League

Napoli lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 32

    Vanja Milinković-Savić

Defenders

  • 22

    Giovanni Di Lorenzo

  • 13

    Amir Rrahmani

  • 5

    Juan Jesus

Midfielders

  • 21

    Matteo Politano

  • 68

    Stanislav Lobotka

  • 8

    Scott McTominay

  • 37

    Leonardo Spinazzola

Forwards

  • 7

    David Neres

  • 19

    Rasmus Højlund

  • 20

    Eljif Elmas

Prediction

With 12 conceded goals in 17 rounds, Lazio have the second-best defense in the league, just behind AS Roma. Due to a great defense and not that great offense, Lazio went under 2.5 goals in 14 out of 17 Serie A games - 82%. That is by far the most in the league. 

Napoli went under 2.5 goals in five consecutive games. They are also a team that often struggles to score goals on the road, failing to do so in five out of the past ten matches - 50%. So, we do not expect a great offensive performance against one of the best defensive teams in the league. Another great thing about this bet is that Napoli kept a clean sheet in three consecutive games against Cremonese, Bologna, and AC Milan.

Considering both teams' excellent defensive performances and all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Serie A tie. 

4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals

  1. Lazio went under 2.5 goals in 14 out of 17 Serie A games
  2. Lazio allowed just 12 goals in 17 Serie A rounds
  3. Napoli went under 2.5 goals in five consecutive games across the competitions
  4. Napoli failed to score in five of the past ten road matches.

Main prediction Lazio - Napoli

Under 2.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

5 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

Best Odds:

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1.55

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Lazio vs Napoli standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 17 13 0 4 38 - 15 +23 39
2 AC Milan 17 11 5 1 28 - 13 +15 38
3 Napoli 17 12 1 4 26 - 13 +13 37
4 Juventus 18 9 6 3 24 - 16 +8 33
5 Roma 18 11 0 7 20 - 12 +8 33
6 Como 17 8 6 3 23 - 12 +11 30
7 Bologna 17 7 5 5 25 - 17 +8 26
8 Atalanta 18 6 7 5 21 - 19 +2 25
9 Lazio 18 6 6 6 18 - 14 +4 24
10 Torino 18 6 5 7 20 - 28 -8 23
11 Sassuolo 18 6 5 7 23 - 22 +1 23
12 Udinese 18 6 4 8 18 - 29 -11 22
13 Cremonese 18 5 6 7 18 - 21 -3 21
14 Cagliari 18 4 6 8 19 - 25 -6 18
15 Parma 17 4 6 7 12 - 19 -7 18
16 Lecce 17 4 5 8 12 - 23 -11 17
17 Genoa 18 3 6 9 18 - 28 -10 15
18 Hellas Verona 17 2 6 9 13 - 28 -15 12
19 Pisa 18 1 9 8 13 - 25 -12 12
20 Fiorentina 18 2 6 10 18 - 28 -10 12

Lazio vs Napoli – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Lazio this season?

The average xG for Lazio in the Serie A this season is 1.28.

? How much is the average xG for Napoli this season?

The average xG for Napoli in the Serie A this season is 1.54.