Lazio vs Napoli prediction 04.01.2026 | Serie A
Lazio
0 - 2
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Half time: 0 - 2
Full time: 0 - 2
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Date:
Napoli
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Contents
- Competition: Serie A
- Date: Sunday, 4th January, 2026
- Kickoff: 11:30 UK / 12:30 CET
- Venue: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)
The Italian Serie A is set to restart in 2026, and in the 18th round, one of the most interesting matches will be between Lazio and the reigning champions, Napoli. The hosts come into this game on a five-match unbeaten run, while Napoli arrive after winning the Super Cup in Saudi Arabia and following that up with a league victory over Cremonese in their final match of 2025.
The Biancocelesti are hoping for a win that would move them into the top six and the European qualification places, while Gli Azzurri are aiming to climb back to the top of the table with another victory.
Lazio vs Napoli Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Lazio
2 : 2
Napoli
Serie A
-
Napoli
0 : 1
Lazio
Serie A
-
Lazio
3 : 1
Napoli
Coppa Italia
-
Lazio
0 : 0
Napoli
Serie A
-
Napoli
1 : 2
Lazio
Serie A
-
Napoli
0 : 1
Lazio
Serie A
In the previous season, these teams met three times - twice in the league and once in the Cup. Lazio won twice, and one game ended as a draw. Looking further back, over the past ten h2h games, each team has won four times.
Regarding the number of goals, six out of the past ten h2h games ended with three or more goals, while both teams scored in the same number of games (six).
Lazio team overview
After finishing second in Serie A in the 2022/23 season, Lazio had two seventh-place finishes in the following season. This season, they even missed out on Europe and are only focused on the domestic competitions. Unfortunately, Biancocelesti are not playing as great as expected, considering they are in 8th place with 24 points from 17 matches. The main issue this season is their terrible road record, because they are averaging around 0.87 points per game less there. Therefore, it is crucial to continue with good results at Stadio Olimpico.
After a 1:1 draw in the previous game vs Udinese, coach Maurizio Sarri spoke to the media. He was furious at Udinese's late equalizer, as he felt it was a clear handball in the buildup to the action, and it was ignored by VAR. Due to his frustration, the coach decided to withdraw from the post-media duties.
For the upcoming game, Boulaye Dia and Fisayo Dele-Bashiru are unavailable as they are participating in the ongoing AFCON. Additionally, Nicolo Rovella and Samuel Gigot will remain sidelined with their long-term injuries.
Last matches of Lazio
-
Udinese
1 : 1
Lazio
Serie A
-
Lazio
0 : 0
Cremonese
Serie A
-
Parma
0 : 1
Lazio
Serie A
-
Lazio
1 : 1
Bologna
Serie A
-
Lazio
1 : 0
AC Milan
Coppa Italia
Lazio lineup
Goalkeeper
-
94
Ivan Provedel
Defenders
-
77
Adam Marusic
-
34
Mario Gila
-
13
Alessio Romagnoli
-
3
Luca Pellegrini
Midfielders
-
5
Matías Vecino
-
32
Danilo Cataldi
-
21
Reda Belahyane
Forwards
-
22
Matteo Cancellieri
-
14
Tijjani Noslin
-
10
Mattia Zaccagni
Napoli team overview
Napoli won their fourth Scudetto last season, their second in the past three seasons. This season, Gli Azzurri continued with very good results in Serie A and are currently just two points away from the top spot. Unfortunately, their performance in the Champions League could have been much better, as they barely secured a place in the next phase, finishing 23rd. But besides their unimpressive Champions League appearance, they can be satisfied with the season thus far. At the moment, the bookies see Napoli as the second favorite for the title, with the odds between 4 and 5, while Inter are the main favorite with odds between 1.6 and 1.7.
Napoli's season has been particularly impressive, given their constant injury problems. For the upcoming game, they could miss up to six players - Alex Meret, Mathias Olivera, Romelu Lukaku, Billy Gilmour, Kevin De Bruyne, and Sam Beukema.
Last matches of Napoli
-
Cremonese
0 : 2
Napoli
Serie A
-
Napoli
2 : 0
Bologna
Super Cup
-
Napoli
2 : 0
AC Milan
Super Cup
-
Udinese
1 : 0
Napoli
Serie A
-
Benfica
2 : 0
Napoli
Champions League
Napoli lineup
Goalkeeper
-
32
Vanja Milinković-Savić
Defenders
-
22
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
-
13
Amir Rrahmani
-
5
Juan Jesus
Midfielders
-
21
Matteo Politano
-
68
Stanislav Lobotka
-
8
Scott McTominay
-
37
Leonardo Spinazzola
Forwards
-
7
David Neres
-
19
Rasmus Højlund
-
20
Eljif Elmas
Prediction
With 12 conceded goals in 17 rounds, Lazio have the second-best defense in the league, just behind AS Roma. Due to a great defense and not that great offense, Lazio went under 2.5 goals in 14 out of 17 Serie A games - 82%. That is by far the most in the league.
Napoli went under 2.5 goals in five consecutive games. They are also a team that often struggles to score goals on the road, failing to do so in five out of the past ten matches - 50%. So, we do not expect a great offensive performance against one of the best defensive teams in the league. Another great thing about this bet is that Napoli kept a clean sheet in three consecutive games against Cremonese, Bologna, and AC Milan.
Considering both teams' excellent defensive performances and all the above, an under 2.5 goals bet seems like the best option for this Serie A tie.
4 Reasons why we should see fewer than three goals
- Lazio went under 2.5 goals in 14 out of 17 Serie A games
- Lazio allowed just 12 goals in 17 Serie A rounds
- Napoli went under 2.5 goals in five consecutive games across the competitions
- Napoli failed to score in five of the past ten road matches.
Main prediction Lazio - Napoli
Under 2.5 goals
Best Odds:
Lazio vs Napoli standings in Serie A
| Regular Season | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 17 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 38 - 15 | +23 | 39 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 28 - 13 | +15 | 38 |
| 3 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 26 - 13 | +13 | 37 |
| 4 | Juventus | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24 - 16 | +8 | 33 |
| 5 | Roma | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 20 - 12 | +8 | 33 |
| 6 | Como | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23 - 12 | +11 | 30 |
| 7 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25 - 17 | +8 | 26 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 - 19 | +2 | 25 |
| 9 | Lazio | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18 - 14 | +4 | 24 |
| 10 | Torino | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20 - 28 | -8 | 23 |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23 - 22 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 | Udinese | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18 - 29 | -11 | 22 |
| 13 | Cremonese | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 - 21 | -3 | 21 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 - 25 | -6 | 18 |
| 15 | Parma | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 12 - 19 | -7 | 18 |
| 16 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12 - 23 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | Genoa | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 18 - 28 | -10 | 15 |
| 18 | Hellas Verona | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 13 - 28 | -15 | 12 |
| 19 | Pisa | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 13 - 25 | -12 | 12 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 - 28 | -10 | 12 |