Kasimpasa vs Fatih Karagumruk prediction 16.02.2026 | Super Lig

Fourteen straight seasons in the top flight is not a small achievement. Now that run is wobbling. The Apaches finished fifth and tenth in the last two campaigns, which makes sixteenth feel like a sharp drop. However, two points to safety means survival is still very realistic.

Emre Belözoğlu’s men have not won since November 23rd, an away victory over Alanyaspor. Eight matches without a win. Five defeats in that stretch. More concerning is the attack. Kasimpasa failed to score in five of those games.

At home, the numbers are even tougher to read. Thirteen matches without a victory at the Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadium. Just four goals across the last eight there. You can almost sense the tension when chances go begging.

No new injuries were reported after the 2-1 defeat to ten man Gaziantep, which stung. Changes are expected. Cafú and Ali Yavuz Kol, both used as substitutes last time, could start. Haris Hajradinovic remains out with a cruciate ligament injury. Erdem Çetinkaya is a fitness doubt. Squad depth is not ideal, but there are options.

Fatih Karagumruk earned promotion through the playoffs after finishing third in the second tier. That momentum has faded somewhat. Three wins from 21 league matches tells a blunt story. Survival is the only objective now.

Aleksandar Stanojević’s side ended a ten match competitive winless run with a narrow victory over Antalyaspor. Serginho scored inside five minutes. Sometimes that early goal changes everything. The Black Red will hope it sparks something bigger. However, away form remains fragile. Seven defeats in the last eight league road games is hard to ignore.

Serginho should lead the line again as he chases his fifth league goal. Encouragingly for Stanojević, there are no injuries or suspensions to manage. That continuity might help in a match where nerves will likely play a role.