Ivory Coast vs Burkina Faso prediction 06.01.2026 | Africa Cup of Nations
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Contents
- Competition: Africa Cup of Nations, 1/8 Finals
- Date: Tuesday, 6th January, 2026
- Kickoff: 19:00 UK / 20:00 CET
- Venue: Stade de Marrakech (Marrakech)
On Tuesday evening, the final match of the Africa Cup of Nations Round of 16 will see the reigning champions, Ivory Coast, face Burkina Faso. Ivory Coast arrived at the duel after winning Group F with seven points, while Burkina Faso finished second in Group E with six points.
Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this AFCON tie.
vs Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Burkina Faso
2 : 0
Ivory Coast
African Nations Championship Qualification
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Ivory Coast
2 : 0
Burkina Faso
African Nations Championship Qualification
-
Burkina Faso
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
Friendly International
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Burkina Faso
0 : 0
Ivory Coast
African Nations Championship Qualification
-
Ivory Coast
0 : 0
Burkina Faso
African Nations Championship Qualification
-
Ivory Coast
2 : 1
Burkina Faso
Friendly International
These teams last met in 2024 in the Africa Nations Championship Qualifiers, when both teams won their home games 2:0. However, Burkina Faso eventually advanced after a penalty shootout. Looking at the previous H2H games in the 21st century, these teams met 11 times. Ivory Coast won six times, and Burkina Faso just two times.
When it comes to the number of goals, we saw three or more goals in six out of those 11 games, while both teams scored on three occasions - 27%.
Ivory Coast team overview
Ivory Coast won the last AFCON, securing their third title ever in this competition. Although they struggled to qualify for the World Cup in the previous two cycles, they finally ended that run this year. The Elephants finished 1st in Group F in the World Cup Qualifiers with 26 points in ten rounds - just one point away from second-placed Gabon.
In this AFCON, Ivory Coast won against Mozambique and Gabon and drew with Cameroon. However, the bookies do not trust them to be among the primary candidates for the title, as they are "only" the sixth favorite in this top 16, with the odds around 10-11.
After a 3:2 win over Gabon and securing a place in the AFCON knockout phase, coach Emerse Faé spoke to the media. He said they went 2:0 at halftime but showed character with a strong second half to win the game. The coach also added that they are ready for the challenge ahead and that defending the AFCON title won't be easy.
Last matches of
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Gabon
2 : 3
Ivory Coast
Africa Cup of Nations
-
Ivory Coast
1 : 1
Cameroon
Africa Cup of Nations
-
Ivory Coast
1 : 0
Mozambique
Africa Cup of Nations
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Oman
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
Friendly International
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Saudi Arabia
1 : 0
Ivory Coast
Friendly International
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Yahia Fofana
Defenders
-
17
Guela Doué
-
7
Odilon Kossounou
-
21
Evan Ndicka
-
3
Ghislain Konan
Midfielders
-
8
Franck Kessié
-
6
Seko Fofana
-
18
Ibrahim Sangaré
Forwards
-
15
Amad Diallo
-
9
Vakoun Bayo
-
26
Yan Diomande
Burkina Faso team overview
Burkina Faso have never secured a World Cup appearance but came super close in the last Qualifiers. They ended up 2nd in Group A but missed the WC through the ranking of second-placed teams by one goal! Meanwhile, in the AFCON, the popular Stallions have been pretty good, securing at least the 1/8 Finals in three consecutive tournaments.
In this AFCON, Burkina Faso beat Equatorial Guinea and Sudan but lost to Algeria. Many football experts were critical of Burkina Faso's offense, saying that a game against Algeria proved they aren't capable of scoring against top teams in the tournament.
After securing the knockout phase, coach Brama Traoré spoke to the media. He said that they rested some players in the game against Sudan, to keep them fresh and better prepared for the knockout phase. The coach was generally happy with the team's performance, but also noted that his team is striving to make a difference in the knockout phase and put a golden star on their jersey.
Last matches of
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Sudan
0 : 2
Burkina Faso
Africa Cup of Nations
-
Algeria
1 : 0
Burkina Faso
Africa Cup of Nations
-
Burkina Faso
2 : 1
Equatorial Guinea
Africa Cup of Nations
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Burkina Faso
3 : 0
Benin
Friendly International
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Burkina Faso
3 : 2
Niger
Friendly International
lineup
Goalkeeper
-
16
Hervé Koffi
Defenders
-
25
Steeve Yago
-
14
Issoufou Dayo
-
12
Edmond Tapsoba
-
26
Arsène Kouassi
Midfielders
-
20
Gustavo Sangaré
-
18
Ismahila Ouédraogo
-
6
Mohamed Zougrana
Forwards
-
10
Bertrand Traoré
-
27
Pierre Landry Kabore
-
7
Dango Ouattara
Prediction
While both teams secured two wins in the first three rounds, Ivory Coast proved they can compete with the very best teams in the competition as they drew 1:1 with Cameroon, unlike Burkina Faso, which lost their game against Algeria 1:0. It wasn't a bad loss, but it still proved lack of quality creating goalscoring chances, something that could be a massive problem against Ivory Coast, that have one of the best defnesive squads on the tournament.
Moreover, Ivory Coast are the defending AFCON champions, and that squad has valuable experience and knows what it takes to go all the way. Without a doubt, the Elephants have the edge in experience.
Considering what we have seen from these teams and all the above, we believe Ivory Coast are closer to winning the upcoming AFCON knockout tie.
3 Reasons why Ivory Coast should win
- Ivory Coast won six out of the past 11 h2h games
- Ivory Coast won the previous AFCON title
- Burkina Faso's total market value is around 120 million euros, compared to Ivory Coast's 370 million euros
Main prediction -
to win
Best Odds:
Megapari
2.05
