Contents
- Competition: World Cup qualifications
- Date: Thursday, 26th March 2026
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
- Venue: New Balance Arena (Bergamo)
The World Cup qualifications are reaching the boiling point, and the upcoming days will answer a lot of questions for us. Italy surprisingly didn't end at the top of their group and now have to win two matches to reach the tournament that will be played this summer in North America. Can Northern Ireland stop them? Let's break down the match and find the best betting option.
Italy vs Northern Ireland Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Northern Ireland
0 : 0
Italy
WC Qualification Europe
-
Italy
2 : 0
Northern Ireland
WC Qualification Europe
-
Italy
3 : 0
Northern Ireland
Euro Qualification
-
Northern Ireland
0 : 0
Italy
Euro Qualification
-
Italy
3 : 0
Northern Ireland
Friendly International
H2H textItaly won four of the last six H2H matches against Northern Ireland, while two games ended in draws. The teams last met in 2021, when it was 0-0 in Belfast. Also, it is worth mentioning that Italy won all five encounters with Northern Ireland at home.
Italy team overview
Italy lifted the World Cup title four times, but they shockingly missed the previous two tournaments. In the upcoming days, enormous pressure will be on the head coach, Gennaro Gattuso, and his players, as any defeat will be a huge disappointment. Italy ended the group phase of the qualifications with six wins, but also with two defeats against the perfect Norway. In the most recent outing, they lost 4-1 to Norway at San Siro. Azzurri even had the lead at halftime, but the guests' outstanding second half left the hosts empty-handed.
Italy's head coach, Gennaro Gattuso, admitted that they are nervous ahead of the deciding qualification matches. He said, "It's undeniable that there's nervousness. Only someone without blood running through their veins wouldn't feel it. But we need to do a good job of transmitting a lot of positivity."
Italy have some problems with injuries. Federico Chiesa has already left the team's camp, while Gianluca Scamacca, Alessandro Bastoni, Gianluca Mancini, Sandro Tonali, and Riccardo Calafiori are questionable for Thursday's game.
Last matches of Italy
-
Italy
1 : 4
Norway
WC Qualification Europe
-
Moldova
0 : 2
Italy
WC Qualification Europe
-
Italy
3 : 0
Israel
WC Qualification Europe
-
Israel
4 : 5
Italy
WC Qualification Europe
-
Italy
5 : 0
Estonia
WC Qualification Europe
Italy lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Defenders
-
4
Alessandro Buongiorno
-
21
Alessandro Bastoni
-
13
Riccardo Calafiori
Midfielders
-
2
Marco Palestra
-
18
Nicolo Barella
-
8
Sandro Tonali
-
5
Manuel Locatelli
-
3
Federico Dimarco
Forwards
-
15
Pio Esposito
-
11
Moise Kean
Northern Ireland team overview
Northern Ireland have not appeared at the World Cup since 1986. In the group phase of the qualifications, they finished third but will get a chance in the playoffs via the Nations League. However, Northern Ireland's recent form and only two victories in the last five matches don't provide a lot of confidence that they can win in Italy and after that against Wales or Bosnia and Herzegovina. In the previous game, Northern Ireland won 1-0 at home against Luxembourg.
Northern Ireland's manager, Michael O'Neill, is realistic that Italy are a big favorite on Thursday night, but he still expects a lot from his team. O'Neill commented, "We're going to have to step up. If you look at our squad, there are 13 players in the Championship. There are four at Premier League clubs, and the rest are in League One or playing their football elsewhere. So, it is a big step up for us. But it's a step up we've made in the past. I think we made it in the Germany game, albeit we didn't get the results that we felt we maybe could have done. We have to try and make that step up again."
Northern Ireland will be without Liverpool's Conor Bradley, but also Sunderland's defender Dan Ballard. Both players are huge misses, and it is a big problem with Michael O'Neill.
Last matches of Northern Ireland
-
Northern Ireland
1 : 0
Luxembourg
WC Qualification Europe
-
Slovakia
1 : 0
Northern Ireland
WC Qualification Europe
-
Northern Ireland
0 : 1
Germany
WC Qualification Europe
-
Northern Ireland
2 : 0
Slovakia
WC Qualification Europe
-
Germany
3 : 1
Northern Ireland
WC Qualification Europe
Northern Ireland lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Bailey Peacock-Farrell
Defenders
-
18
Terry Devlin
-
13
Ruairi McConville
-
17
Paddy McNair
-
22
Ciaron Brown
-
5
Trai Hume
Midfielders
-
19
Shea Charles
-
15
Justin Devenny
-
14
Isaac Price
Forwards
-
8
Callum Marshall
-
9
Dion Charles
Prediction
Italy won six of the last seven matches. On the other hand, Northern Ireland have had big problems on the road lately, with four defeats in the last five games. Also, Italy won all five matches at home against Northern Ireland. We should expect Azzurri to win and cover the AH -1.5 spread on Thursday night.
3 Reasons why Italy should win and cover AH -1.5 spread in this match
- Italy won six of the last seven matches
- Northern Ireland lost in four of the previous five road games
- Italy won all five H2H matches against Northern Ireland at home
Main prediction Italy - Northern Ireland
AH1 (-1.5)
Best Odds: