Italy vs Israel prediction 14.10.2025 | World Cup Qualifiers
Italy
Kick off:
Date:
Israel
1
1.21
X
7.85
2
15.00
Contents
- Competition: World Cup Qualifiers
- Date: Tuesday, 14th October, 2025
- Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
- Venue: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine)
On Tuesday evening, one of the European juggernauts, Italy, will welcome Israel in the World Cup Qualifiers at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli in Udine. With Norway firmly first with a maximum of 18 points and by far the best goal difference, this match will most likely decide who will secure second place in the group. This match comes in a totally different form for these teams as Italy are on a four-game winning streak, while Israel comes after a back-to-back loss against Italy and Norway.
Italy vs Israel Head to Head (H2H) stats
-
Israel
4 : 5
Italy
WC Qualification Europe
-
Italy
4 : 1
Israel
UEFA Nations League
-
Israel
1 : 2
Italy
UEFA Nations League
-
Italy
1 : 0
Israel
WC Qualification Europe
-
Israel
1 : 3
Italy
WC Qualification Europe
These teams met just around a month ago on a neutral pitch in Hungary. It was a genuinely entertaining and close match, with Italy winning 5:4 with a goal in stoppage time by Sandro Tonali.
Looking further back, these teams met eight times. Italy won seven times, while the remaining match ended as a goalless draw.
Regarding the number of goals, we saw three or more goals in six out of those eight games, while both teams scored on five occasions.
Italy team overview
Italy have always been one of the World's best national teams. However, the popular Gli Azzurri missed the previous two World Cups, which was a massive disappointment. Before these WC Qualifiers, Italy had a decent run in the UEFA Nations League A, where they reached the Playoffs but eventually lost both games and finished fourth.
In these WC Qualifiers, Italy opened the competition with a massive 3:0 loss against Norway, which could eventually cost them the first place. After that loss, they appointed a new coach (Gennaro Gattuso) and won four straight. Now, they sit in second place with 12 points - six away from the top spot but with a game played less than first-placed Norway.
In the previous game against Estonia, Moise Kean suffered an injury only 15 minutes into the game and had to leave the field. He will most likely miss the Israel game.
Last matches of Italy
-
Israel
4 : 5
Italy
WC Qualification Europe
-
Italy
5 : 0
Estonia
WC Qualification Europe
-
Italy
2 : 0
Moldova
WC Qualification Europe
-
Norway
3 : 0
Italy
WC Qualification Europe
-
Germany
3 : 3
Italy
UEFA Nations League
Italy lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Defenders
-
22
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
-
21
Alessandro Bastoni
-
13
Riccardo Calafiori
Midfielders
-
5
Manuel Locatelli
-
8
Sandro Tonali
-
18
Nicolò Barella
-
3
Federico Dimarco
Forwards
-
10
Giacomo Raspadori
-
9
Mateo Retegui
-
7
Riccardo Orsolini
Israel team overview
Israel only once managed to reach the World Cup, back in 1970 in Mexico. They have also never reached the EURO in their history, but Israel have made some progress as they managed to move from UEFA Nations League C to A. Unfortunately, before the WC Qualifiers, they were knocked out of League A. In the WC Qualifiers, Israel's chances are pretty slim as they are three points away from second-placed Italy and have played one more game. So, in order to have some chance of catching up with thwem, they will have to beat Italy in Udine.
In the previous game against Norway, defender Idan Nachmias suffered an injury and had to leave the field after only 31 minutes.
Last matches of Israel
-
Norway
5 : 0
Israel
WC Qualification Europe
-
Israel
4 : 5
Italy
WC Qualification Europe
-
Moldova
0 : 4
Israel
WC Qualification Europe
-
Slovakia
0 : 1
Israel
Friendly International
-
Estonia
1 : 3
Israel
WC Qualification Europe
Israel lineup
Goalkeeper
-
1
Daniel Peretz
Defenders
-
2
Eli Dasa
-
4
Matan Baltaxa
-
21
Or Blorian
-
3
Roy Revivo
Midfielders
-
15
Eliel Peretz
-
20
Dan Biton
-
16
Mohammed Abu Fani
Forwards
-
13
Anan Khalaili
-
11
Oscar Gloukh
-
10
Manor Solomon
Prediction
Italy went over 3.5 goals in the last three games, with an average of 6.0 goals per game! Under Gattuso, they are not playing defensively, and they often allow goals. In the previous match against Israel, they allowed four, and even failed to keep a clean sheet against Estonia in the last game. We doubt that can change overnight, which should be great for this type of bet.
Israel have been fantastic for this bet as they went over 3.5 goals in five out of six games - 83%. Their defense in the last two games totally collapsed, allowing ten goals in the last two games vs Italy and Norway.
Moreover, the last two h2h games ended with four or more goals. Considering all the above, we expect another game with at least four goals.
3 Reasons why we should see four or more goals
- Italy went over 3.5 goals in the last three games
- Israel went over 3.5 goals in five out of six WC Qualifier games
- Italy won the previous h2h game 5:4
Main prediction Italy - Israel
Over 3.5 goals
Best Odds:
Megapari
2.06
Italy vs Israel standings in WC Qualification Europe
| Group I | P | W | D | L |
G - A
|
GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 29 - 3 | +26 | 18 |
| 2 | Italy | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 - 8 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 | Israel | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 - 16 | -1 | 9 |
| 4 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 - 16 | -10 | 3 |
| 5 | Moldova | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 - 25 | -22 | 0 |