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Inter vs Pisa prediction 23.01.2026 | Serie A

Inter Milan

Inter Milan

Kick off:

Date:

Pisa

Pisa

1

1.18

X

8.45

2

18.50

  • Competition: Serie A
  • Date: Friday, 23rd January, 2026
  • Kickoff: 19:45 UK / 20:45 CET
  • Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

After a 3:1 defeat to Arsenal in the Champions League in midweek, Inter returns to Serie A action. Chivu's side will look to defend their place at the top of the table with a home victory over struggling Pisa, a fellow Nerazzurri, which are still searching for just their second win of the season and their first one away from home.

Let's break down the game and find the best possible bet for this Serie A tie.

Inter Milan vs Pisa Head to Head (H2H) stats

  1. Pisa

    0 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  2. Pisa

    1 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Club Friendlies 1

  3. Inter Milan

    7 : 0

    Pisa

    Club Friendlies 1

In the first h2h game this season, Inter won 2:0 on the road at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani in Pisa. Despite the Nerazzurri winning the game, it was a lot closer than the scoreline suggests. Looking further back, these teams met five times. Inter won four times, while the remaining game ended as a draw.

Regarding the number of goals, two out of five h2h games ended with three or more goals. Moreover, both teams scored in two of those five h2h games.

Inter Milan

Inter team overview

Inter are playing an interesting season thus far. After a strong start in the Champions League, winning the first four games, they lost three in a row and dropped out of the 1/8 Finals spots. While they are still guaranteed a spot in the 1/16 Finals, those losses have significantly complicated their European path. On the other hand, they are in a completely different momentum in Serie A. Nerazzurri had some problems at the start, but are now the hottest team in the competition. At the moment, they are at the top of Serie A, three points away from 2nd-placed AC Milan.

After a 3:1 loss to Arsenal in the previous game, coach Cristian Chivu spoke to the media. He said Arsenal were a superior team, praising their intensity and pace. The coach said they competed well at a 1:1 scoreline, but Arsenal's superior finishing eventually decided the game. 

Last matches of Inter Milan

  1. Inter Milan

    1 : 3

    Arsenal

    Champions League

  2. Udinese

    0 : 1

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

  3. Inter Milan

    1 : 0

    Lecce

    Serie A

  4. Inter Milan

    2 : 2

    Napoli

    Serie A

  5. Parma

    0 : 2

    Inter Milan

    Serie A

Inter Milan lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 1

    Yann Sommer

Defenders

  • 25

    Manuel Akanji

  • 95

    Alessandro Bastoni

  • 31

    Yann Bisseck

Midfielders

  • 11

    Luis Henrique

  • 23

    Nicolò Barella

  • 7

    Piotr Zieliński

  • 22

    Henrikh Mkhitaryan

  • 32

    Federico Dimarco

Forwards

  • 9

    Marcus Thuram

  • 10

    Lautaro Martínez

Pisa

Pisa team overview

Pisa managed to secure promotion last season after a 34-year break! Their only goal this season is to avoid relegation and stay in the Italian top flight. Unfortunately, after 21 rounds, they found themselves in 19th place with 14 points. Still, the safe zone is only three points away, and they aren't playing as poorly as their record suggests. The impression is that they were unlucky or simply lacked talent upfront to turn some of those 11 draws into wins. 

During the transfer window, Pisa tried to address offensive problems by adding 23-year-old Rafiu Durosinmi. The young striker arrived from Plzen and needed only 19 minutes to score in his debut for Pisa in a 1:1 draw vs Atalanta in the previous game. Durosinmi came off the bench in that game, but we wouldn't be surprised if he got a chance to start against Inter. 

After a 1:1 draw vs Atalanta in the previous game, coach Alberto Gilardino spoke to the media. He said it was an important performance from the team both offensively and defensively. The coach also noted that the point was well deserved and should boost their confidence going forward. 

Last matches of Pisa

  1. Pisa

    1 : 1

    Atalanta

    Serie A

  2. Udinese

    2 : 2

    Pisa

    Serie A

  3. Pisa

    0 : 3

    Como

    Serie A

  4. Genoa

    1 : 1

    Pisa

    Serie A

  5. Pisa

    0 : 2

    Juventus

    Serie A

Pisa lineup

Goalkeeper

  • 22

    Simone Scuffet

Defenders

  • 26

    Francesco Coppola

  • 5

    Simone Canestrelli

  • 33

    Arturo Calabresi

Midfielders

  • 15

    Idrissa Touré

  • 6

    Marius Marin

  • 20

    Michel Aebischer

  • 10

    Matteo Tramoni

  • 3

    Samuele Angori

Forwards

  • 32

    Stefano Moreo

  • 17

    Rafiu Durosinmi

Prediction

Inter are playing well, but we cannot say they have been too impressive offensively, scoring just one goal per game in their last three games. That is a significant drop-off, considering they are averaging more than two goals per game in Serie A. 

Meanwhile, Pisa are the third-worst offensive team in the league with 0.76 goals per game, and it is hard to expect a great offensive performance against the league leader. 

Generally speaking, these teams rarely went over this line, going under in 67% of their Serie A rounds (14 out of 21). Also, in the first h2h game, we saw a 2:0 win for Inter. 

Considering all the above, we believe that an under 2.5 goals bet is the safest option for this Serie A tie.

3 Reasons why we should see fewer than four goals

  1. Inter scored three goals in the last three games
  2. Pisa averages only 0.76 goals per game in Serie A
  3. The first h2h game ended as a 2:0 win for Inter

Main prediction Inter Milan - Pisa

Under 3.5 goals

Updated

clock
winrate

54% winrate

wins

7 wins in a row

Nikola has been betting for 10+ years and in the last couple of years he really improved his skills and made a lot of profit. He focuses mostly on football and basketball.

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Inter Milan vs Pisa standings in Serie A

Regular Season P W D L
G - A
GD Pts
1 Inter 21 16 1 4 44 - 17 +27 49
2 AC Milan 21 13 7 1 34 - 16 +18 46
3 Napoli 21 13 4 4 31 - 17 +14 43
4 Roma 21 14 0 7 26 - 12 +14 42
5 Juventus 21 11 6 4 32 - 17 +15 39
6 Como 21 10 7 4 31 - 16 +15 37
7 Atalanta 21 8 8 5 26 - 20 +6 32
8 Bologna 21 8 6 7 30 - 24 +6 30
9 Lazio 21 7 7 7 21 - 19 +2 28
10 Udinese 21 7 5 9 22 - 33 -11 26
11 Torino 21 6 5 10 21 - 34 -13 23
12 Parma 21 5 8 8 14 - 22 -8 23
13 Cremonese 21 5 8 8 20 - 28 -8 23
14 Sassuolo 21 6 5 10 23 - 28 -5 23
15 Cagliari 21 5 7 9 22 - 30 -8 22
16 Genoa 21 4 8 9 22 - 29 -7 20
17 Lecce 21 4 5 12 13 - 29 -16 17
18 Fiorentina 21 3 8 10 23 - 32 -9 17
19 Pisa 21 1 11 9 16 - 31 -15 14
20 Hellas Verona 21 2 8 11 17 - 34 -17 14

Inter vs Pisa – FAQ

? Where to watch?

You can find the match officially on the Arena Sport channel.

? How much is the average xG for Inter this season?

The average xG for Inter in the Serie A this season is 1.93.

? How much is the average xG for Pisa this season?

The average xG for Pisa in the Serie A this season is 1.12.